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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Now the internal blame game begins. Everybody is a genius in retrospect. This is the equivalent of the big hedge fund hot shots who made billions with the US lose monetary policy for 2 years blaming the fed for raising the rates.




Russia's war machine faces ridicule from two Putin allies​

By Guy Faulconbridge
and Felix Light
Russian President Putin oversees the Vostok-2022 military drills in Primorsky Region

Russian President Vladimir Putin makes his annual New Year address to the nation in Moscow

Russia's President Putin meets with head of the Chechen Republic Kadyrov near Moscow

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Russian President Vladimir Putin makes his annual New Year address to the nation in Moscow, Russia December 31, 2021. Kremlin.ru/via REUTERS

  • Summary
  • Chechen leader Kadyrov scolds top generals
  • Prigozhin: top brass should fight on front
  • Russian state television subdued

LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The withdrawal of Russian forces from a strategically important town in eastern Ukraine has prompted two powerful allies of President Vladimir Putin to do something rare in modern Russia: publicly ridicule the war machine's top brass.

Russia's loss of the bastion of Lyman, which puts western parts of Luhansk region under threat, touched a nerve for Ramzan Kadyrov, the leader of the southern Russian republic of Chechnya.

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Kadyrov, who has been close to Putin since his father and former president of Chechnya, Akhmad, was killed in a 2004 bomb attack in Grozny that also killed a Reuters photographer, suggested that Russia should consider using a small tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine in response to the loss.

The nuclear warning caught the headlines, but his public scorn for Russia's top generals may have been just as significant in a Russia where public criticism of the war effort from within the top echelons of the elite has been taboo.

Latest Updates​

"Nepotism in the army will lead to no good," Kadyrov said, adding that the commander of Russian forces in the area should be stripped of his medals and sent to the front line with a gun to wash away his shame with blood.

Such public contempt for the generals running Russia's war is significant because it indicates the level of frustration within Putin's elite over the conduct of the war while also piercing the Kremlin's carefully controlled narrative.

Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Kadyrov, who supports the war and has sent many of his own Chechen units to fight, said his criticism was the bitter truth about a Russian fighting force which he said allowed talentless mediocrities to let down the country.

The defence ministry did not respond to a request for comment. Russian officials say the history of Russian warfare shows that fighting often begins badly until the military can be properly organised. Writing off Russia, they say, is a poor bet.

Asked about Kadyrov's remarks on Monday, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "This is a very emotional moment."

"The heads of regions have the right to express their point of view," Peskov told reporters. "Even at difficult moments, emotions should still be excluded from any assessments."

SETBACKS​

More than seven months into a war that has killed tens of thousands and triggered the biggest confrontation with the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, even Russia's most basic war aims are far from achieved.

The vast army of a former superpower has been humbled on the field of battle by a much smaller Ukrainian force backed up with weapons, intelligence and advice from Western powers led by the United States.

In a fresh setback for Moscow on Monday, a Russian-installed official confirmed Ukrainian advances along the west bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson region in southern Ukraine, one of four regions Putin claimed last week to have annexed.

The defeats in Ukraine could undermine Putin, said Tatiana Stanovaya, non-resident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

"Until September, the Russian elites had made the pragmatic choice to support Putin as a guarantor against defeat," said Stanovaya

"But matters have progressed so far that they may now have to choose among various losing scenarios. That makes Putin far more vulnerable, for he may just find that he and the elites settle on different scenarios."

Putin accuses the West of trying to use Ukraine to destroy Russia itself but says that Moscow will prevail in its "special military operation" there.

In an emotional interview with a pro-Kremlin radio host on Saturday, Andrey Gurulyov, a retired general and member of the State Duma from Putin's United Russia Party said he could not explain the fall of Lyman. He then said troops defending the town had been doomed by "a system ... of constant lying" that saw problems inside Russia's military covered up by superiors.

On Russian state television, humility appeared to be seeping into the usual jingoistic rhetoric.

"I'd really like us to attack Kyiv and take it tomorrow, but I'm aware that the partial mobilisation will take time," presenter Vladimir Solovyov said on Rossiya 1 state television.

"For a certain period of time, things won't be easy for us. We shouldn't be expecting good news right now."

TOP BRASS​

Chechnya's Kadyrov said he had raised the possibility of a defeat at Lyman two weeks ago with Valery Gerasimov, chief of Russia's general staff, but that Gerasimov had dismissed the idea.

Gerasimov, 67, is the third most powerful man in the Russian military after Putin and Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu. Shoigu landed Gerasimov the top military job just a few days after he was appointed defence minister in 2012.

"I do not know what the defence ministry reports to the supreme commander-in-chief (Putin), but in my personal opinion, more drastic measures should be taken," said Kadyrov, who shed tears for the fallen at a ceremony in the Kremlin last week at which Russia formally annexed the four Ukrainian regions.

Asked about Kadyrov's remarks, the powerful founder of the Wagner Group of mercenaries, Yevgeny Prigozhin, congratulated the Chechen leader.

"Ramzan - you rock man!" Prigozhin, known as Putin's chef due to his company's Kremlin catering contracts, said in a statement. "All these bastards should be sent barefoot to the front with automatic guns."

When asked if his words should be considered criticism of the defence ministry, Prigozhin doused his reply with irony: "God forbid".

"These statements are not criticism, but merely a manifestation of love and support," said Prigozhin, who the United States says runs a mercenary army that has dabbled in conflicts in Africa and in Syria.

"I, and Ramzan Akhmatovich even more so, are the most cultured of people," Prigozhin said, using Kadyrov's patronymic as a sign of respect.
 
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There you go. With your low contribution, bringing down the IQ on this forum. Is this all you can think of? mm of shells on paper and population?

China-Japan: larger population, occupied
China-Vietnam: larger population, no victory
USSR-Afghan: larger population, sure defeat

If after this war, your ability to think logicially improves by 1%, that will be an accomplishment


You think like Putin , and don't take that as a complement: just because in Syria, both Syrian Govt and Russia had a small guerilla army on the run that was not a near adversary and had no international support, and only small arms weapons, that this situation will arise here.

Even the talk of nuclear in your own post should indicate that Russia is close to exhausting all options and now may consider it. Its defeated if conversation leads to nuclear.


Pathetic: you are still living in the the world of a decade ago? Wake up , time has moved on and for sure see the title of this thread. You had no value by hiding Putins' humiliation by bringing examples of past defeats. We are living in the present and this is why 5-6 pages get added to this thread daily. We are not living on 2010 or 2005 or any other era

I'm still trying to see how US was defeated according to that Iranian poster. I mean, the Americans destroyed and occupied and killed with impunity. If they had left, their objectives would have changed new threats arose, but they did not lose.
 
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Now the internal blame game begins. Everybody is a genius in retrospect. This is the equivalent of the big hedge fund hot shots who made billions with the US lose monetary policy for 2 years blaming the fed for raising the rates.




Russia's war machine faces ridicule from two Putin allies​

By Guy Faulconbridge
and Felix Light
Russian President Putin oversees the Vostok-2022 military drills in Primorsky Region

Russian President Vladimir Putin makes his annual New Year address to the nation in Moscow

Russia's President Putin meets with head of the Chechen Republic Kadyrov near Moscow's President Putin meets with head of the Chechen Republic Kadyrov near Moscow

1/3
Russian President Vladimir Putin makes his annual New Year address to the nation in Moscow, Russia December 31, 2021. Kremlin.ru/via REUTERS


  • Summary
  • Chechen leader Kadyrov scolds top generals
  • Prigozhin: top brass should fight on front
  • Russian state television subdued

LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The withdrawal of Russian forces from a strategically important town in eastern Ukraine has prompted two powerful allies of President Vladimir Putin to do something rare in modern Russia: publicly ridicule the war machine's top brass.

Russia's loss of the bastion of Lyman, which puts western parts of Luhansk region under threat, touched a nerve for Ramzan Kadyrov, the leader of the southern Russian republic of Chechnya.

Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Kadyrov, who has been close to Putin since his father and former president of Chechnya, Akhmad, was killed in a 2004 bomb attack in Grozny that also killed a Reuters photographer, suggested that Russia should consider using a small tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine in response to the loss.

The nuclear warning caught the headlines, but his public scorn for Russia's top generals may have been just as significant in a Russia where public criticism of the war effort from within the top echelons of the elite has been taboo.

Latest Updates​

"Nepotism in the army will lead to no good," Kadyrov said, adding that the commander of Russian forces in the area should be stripped of his medals and sent to the front line with a gun to wash away his shame with blood.

Such public contempt for the generals running Russia's war is significant because it indicates the level of frustration within Putin's elite over the conduct of the war while also piercing the Kremlin's carefully controlled narrative.

Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Kadyrov, who supports the war and has sent many of his own Chechen units to fight, said his criticism was the bitter truth about a Russian fighting force which he said allowed talentless mediocrities to let down the country.

The defence ministry did not respond to a request for comment. Russian officials say the history of Russian warfare shows that fighting often begins badly until the military can be properly organised. Writing off Russia, they say, is a poor bet.

Asked about Kadyrov's remarks on Monday, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "This is a very emotional moment."

"The heads of regions have the right to express their point of view," Peskov told reporters. "Even at difficult moments, emotions should still be excluded from any assessments."

SETBACKS​

More than seven months into a war that has killed tens of thousands and triggered the biggest confrontation with the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, even Russia's most basic war aims are far from achieved.

The vast army of a former superpower has been humbled on the field of battle by a much smaller Ukrainian force backed up with weapons, intelligence and advice from Western powers led by the United States.

In a fresh setback for Moscow on Monday, a Russian-installed official confirmed Ukrainian advances along the west bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson region in southern Ukraine, one of four regions Putin claimed last week to have annexed.

The defeats in Ukraine could undermine Putin, said Tatiana Stanovaya, non-resident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

"Until September, the Russian elites had made the pragmatic choice to support Putin as a guarantor against defeat," said Stanovaya

"But matters have progressed so far that they may now have to choose among various losing scenarios. That makes Putin far more vulnerable, for he may just find that he and the elites settle on different scenarios."

Putin accuses the West of trying to use Ukraine to destroy Russia itself but says that Moscow will prevail in its "special military operation" there.

In an emotional interview with a pro-Kremlin radio host on Saturday, Andrey Gurulyov, a retired general and member of the State Duma from Putin's United Russia Party said he could not explain the fall of Lyman. He then said troops defending the town had been doomed by "a system ... of constant lying" that saw problems inside Russia's military covered up by superiors.

On Russian state television, humility appeared to be seeping into the usual jingoistic rhetoric.

"I'd really like us to attack Kyiv and take it tomorrow, but I'm aware that the partial mobilisation will take time," presenter Vladimir Solovyov said on Rossiya 1 state television.

"For a certain period of time, things won't be easy for us. We shouldn't be expecting good news right now."

TOP BRASS​

Chechnya's Kadyrov said he had raised the possibility of a defeat at Lyman two weeks ago with Valery Gerasimov, chief of Russia's general staff, but that Gerasimov had dismissed the idea.

Gerasimov, 67, is the third most powerful man in the Russian military after Putin and Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu. Shoigu landed Gerasimov the top military job just a few days after he was appointed defence minister in 2012.

"I do not know what the defence ministry reports to the supreme commander-in-chief (Putin), but in my personal opinion, more drastic measures should be taken," said Kadyrov, who shed tears for the fallen at a ceremony in the Kremlin last week at which Russia formally annexed the four Ukrainian regions.

Asked about Kadyrov's remarks, the powerful founder of the Wagner Group of mercenaries, Yevgeny Prigozhin, congratulated the Chechen leader.

"Ramzan - you rock man!" Prigozhin, known as Putin's chef due to his company's Kremlin catering contracts, said in a statement. "All these bastards should be sent barefoot to the front with automatic guns."

When asked if his words should be considered criticism of the defence ministry, Prigozhin doused his reply with irony: "God forbid".

"These statements are not criticism, but merely a manifestation of love and support," said Prigozhin, who the United States says runs a mercenary army that has dabbled in conflicts in Africa and in Syria.

"I, and Ramzan Akhmatovich even more so, are the most cultured of people," Prigozhin said, using Kadyrov's patronymic as a sign of respect.
That's the problem now Putin is facing.

The hawk part of Russia wants more blood, and Putin wasn't delivering to them in battlefield.

The liberal part of Russia want less action, and Putin draft did not do any good on it.

Now basically everyone is on his tail right now. He can't please both sides, that's a very big problem.
 
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That's the problem now Putin is facing.

The hawk part of Russia wants more blood, and Putin wasn't delivering to them in battlefield.

The liberal part of Russia want less action, and Putin draft did not do any good on it.

Now basically everyone is on his tail right now. He can't please both sides, that's a very big problem.
Putin is a victim of his own propagandaZ.
Russia army performance is terrible, far below expectation. Ukraine military excels far above most western military observers. I hope he realizes it and work out a face saving retreat.
 
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Putin is a victim of his own propagandaZ.
Russia army performance is terrible, far below expectation. Ukraine military excels far above most western military observers. I hope he realizes it and work out a face saving retreat.
Problem is Ukraine aren't going to let him save face.

Ukraine tasted blood and they think they can take on Russia, why wont you be? You have survived what the best Russian can throw at you in term of men, resource and equipment and then you made gain, would anyone (Other than the brainwashed bunch) really think the mobilisation can do what the Prime troop cannot? The chance for Russia turn the battlefield fortune now is almost zero, there are still chances but the chances of me hitting the lotto is probably bigger than the chance this motley army can turn the battlefield around.

Now if he go either way to please either side, it's going to be a straight piss off on the other side, he escalated more, that mean use nuke, how would the liberal Russia part would take it? If he back down, then how would the hawk part of Russia take it?

That's worse than Hitler, at lease he don't have a liberal anti-war part of Germany (or not at all much) during WW2....
 
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Putin is a victim of his own propagandaZ.
Russia army performance is terrible, far below expectation. Ukraine military excels far above most western military observers. I hope he realizes it and work out a face saving retreat.

A video now on Russian social media was filmed by one of the mobilized who was sent to Omsk. They spend days & nights in the open field, eating only what they brought with them & drinking vodka. No command, no uniform, no barracks, no tents, no sleeping bags.

Never make fun of the enemy.

When you have no restriction on the amount of "volunteers" it doesn't matter how many you loose - WW2 taught us that, many Russians didn't even have a gun when sent to the front - life is cheap in the motherland it payed off they beat Germans !

Ukraine ?
 
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Problem is Ukraine aren't going to let him save face.

Ukraine tasted blood and they think they can take on Russia, why wont you be? You have survived what the best Russian can throw at you in term of men, resource and equipment and then you made gain, would anyone (Other than the brainwashed bunch) really think the mobilisation can do what the Prime troop cannot? The chance for Russia turn the battlefield fortune now is almost zero, there are still chances but the chances of me hitting the lotto is probably bigger than the chance this motley army can turn the battlefield around.

Now if he go either way to please either side, it's going to be a straight piss off on the other side, he escalated more, that mean use nuke, how would the liberal Russia part would take it? If he back down, then how would the hawk part of Russia take it?

That's worse than Hitler, at lease he don't have a liberal anti-war part of Germany (or not at all much) during WW2....
One thing is weird. What is behind Russia logic to assault Bakhmut again and again? 3 months now without success. Putin now commits 2 elite regiments to the Bakhmut. He wants to take the city at all cost. Why focusing on Bakhmut, while the other sectors are crumbling.



_DSF6205 Kopie

Stadt an der Front: „Die Russen wollen Bachmut mit aller Gewalt einnehmen“
Quelle: RICARDO GARCIA VILANOVA

 
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A video now on Russian social media was filmed by one of the mobilized who was sent to Omsk. They spend days & nights in the open field, eating only what they brought with them & drinking vodka. No command, no uniform, no barracks, no tents, no sleeping bags.



When you have no restriction on the amount of "volunteers" it doesn't matter how many you loose - WW2 taught us that, many Russians didn't even have a gun when sent to the front - life is cheap in the motherland it payed off they beat Germans !

Ukraine ?

You forgot massive help from Lend-Lease what Soviets got in WW II... is someone going to give Russians 300.000 trucks and jeeps this time?

Russians have around 6,5 million people over 20 year old. When war begun at least 500.000 left, that includes many IT specialists, trained workers, university graduates and now after mobilization up to 350.000 young people, mostly men, of same category have left. Now think what that does to their economy and society. Then you add tens of thousands dead and wounded 20-30 year old who'm Russia has lost in Ukraine.

Putin is literally destroying Russian military and Russias future.
 
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US repeat performance with Putler


The Rockefeller Foundation helped found the German eugenics program and even funded the program that Josef Mengele worked in before he went to Auschwitz.


How Bush's grandfather helped Hitler's rise to power​



a coincidence that the bush family is a cia family. The difference between then and now, is then, they wanted to put Germany on max and crash Germany and keep Germany down. Hitler was the tool to vilify Germans as "evil", who should not have a military because "they are Germans". Putler is backed by the cia cronies because Putler is Entente, so is planned to defeat Europe to keep Germany down. Both Russia and US have the common enemy in three European wars.

There are 400 tons of documents that show the US corporations and other US parties involved in promoting the rise of Hitler and funding the Nazi war and aiding Hitler.
 
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US repeat performance with Putler


The Rockefeller Foundation helped found the German eugenics program and even funded the program that Josef Mengele worked in before he went to Auschwitz.


How Bush's grandfather helped Hitler's rise to power​



a coincidence that the bush family is a cia family. The difference between then and now, is then, they wanted to put Germany on max and crash Germany and keep Germany down. Hitler was the tool to vilify Germans as "evil", who should not have a military because "they are Germans". Putler is backed by the cia cronies because Putler is Entente, so is planned to defeat Europe to keep Germany down. Both Russia and US have the common enemy in three European wars.

There are 400 tons of documents that show the US corporations and other US parties involved in promoting the rise of Hitler and funding the Nazi war and aiding Hitler.
Stalin did terrible terror on Ukraine population. Why not post the story? That explains why Ukrainans are resentful they dislike the Russians. Same feeling for almost east European countries and ex Soviet states.

This Putin terror on Ukraine will create hatred for another 100y.
 
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Now basically everyone is on his tail right now. He can't please both sides, that's a very big problem.

My analysis is that RU establishment, well, doesn't care. Yeltsin had 6% approval rating, but this did not preclude him fighting wars, and winning the 2nd election (which was, at the time, fair, and genuine)
 
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One thing is weird. What is behind Russia logic to assault Bakhmut again and again? 3 months now without success. Putin now commits 2 elite regiments to the Bakhmut. He wants to take the city at all cost. Why focusing on Bakhmut, while the other sectors are crumbling.



_DSF6205 Kopie

Stadt an der Front: „Die Russen wollen Bachmut mit aller Gewalt einnehmen“
Quelle: RICARDO GARCIA VILANOVA

To be honest with you? I don't know........

Whatever Russian did since July does not really mean much sense. Conventionally, if they were drag on for a month and didn't take a town, they should just move on, by-pass it and attack the center of gravity of the area, Ukraine did that, Russia did not, take Sieverodonetsk for example, any conventional military will tell you if you go around Popasna and attack Lysychansk from the South (which is what the Russian eventually did, after grinding for 100 days), yet they dump man and resource and get into a grinding battle which in my opinion is the reason why Ukrainian can save up men and launch that Kharkiv Counter offensive in the first place. But let's go back to May first, what they did was defy military logic, simply put, you just don't do that.

What that do is it let the Ukrainian improve their defensive position elsewhere in Donbas, which is why the Russia try to crack Bakhmut for 3 months, almost going to 4th (They broke thru Lysychansk in July 4 and start the Bakhmut push on the 8th. )

So what do Russian think they can achieve? I would say Russia, most likely Putin, because for all account he is calling the shot right now. Putin has a disconnect from the battlefield, he is expecting something that won't happen to happen. There are several reason behind this. Range from he really think things can change in the battle field, the Svatove line is going to hold and the entire Northern Luhansk will not fold, Kherson will hold and everything will be A-OK so he continue the attack in Bakhmut? Or he is thinking he can stop the bleeding by either threaten nuke or whatever after the annexation and then he try to grab as much land as he could? Or simply he is punishing the people ion the field and see it as their fault and have them achieve the objective that him set out, no matter the cost.

Problem is, all those ways of thinking have a very serious disconnect from the actual situation, sure, if you are an Russian Fan on PDF, that won't do much, but if you are THE OVERALL commander of the Russian Force in the field, that would be a problem. First of all, Ukraine has COMPLETELY retook Kharkiv, all the kharkiv oblast EAST of Oksil river are now under Ukrainian control. Which mean we can literally draw a line from Kuipansk down to Lyman and that line have 18 different battle hardened Ukrainian brigade on the front line facing Russian troop between Troitske, Svatove to Kreminna . Sure, not all those 18 Brigade are going to be used for the offensive. But even if they leave half behind. only use 9 for a general push, that still overwhelming manpower to the Russian line. Because Russian at most have 5 Regiment holding that line. And that is before Lyman fall, so you are talking about 5 Understrength regiment. On the other hand, Ukraine probably only need 6 to 8 Brigade to held back, so you are talking about 5 Understrength Regiment (around 25000 men) facing off against 10 or 11 Brigade (around 45000 men)

Brigade.jpg


There are NO HOLDING the line, in fact, military analyst expects the entire line is going to fill with hole for Ukrainian to exploit. And the South didn't fare very well now either, because the months of isolation is now taking the toll, as I said, I would consider Russia lucky to still hold Kherson after this Winter.

This is the actual situation in Ukraine right now. Yet Putin despite all that, continue to attack Bakhmut. As I said, I can't figure out why. Maybe he truely believe once the mobilising troop start flooding in, it would be better? I don't know, but I will say I have a better chance hitting the next lotto and win millions than that would happen? But hey, you never know, never say never....lol

My analysis is that RU establishment, well, doesn't care. Yeltsin had 6% approval rating, but this did not preclude him fighting wars, and winning the 2nd election (which was, at the time, fair, and genuine)
Well, at least Yeltsin had won that war, instead of getting into the jam like Putin did this time. On the other hand, that war Yeltsin fought put Putin in his position, i am thinking would this war do the same, and who is the next Putin??
 
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