EU definitely does not want Trump. Russia is betting on halting global recovery and recovery of US economy up to 2024, to give Trump momentum going into presidential elections. Of course we know all of this beforehand and I question Russia's ability to be effective at creating such conditions. It will depend on the desperation of Putin and the political process. Biden will create a political process for sake of de-escalation going into 2024, so I believe we are in good hands.
Russia may be also testing the waters here and may attempt a strike on supplies from Poland to Ukraine in the future. I do not believe they will cross that line, however. Seems the stage is being set for political process/negotiations.
Would have agreed with you before Mid-term.
Trump is white hot toxic now for a lot of reason and if Republican uses trump he will most likely lose to any Dem candidate, Biden withstanding, and if Republican ditches Trump, Trump might just go run as an independent and Republican got done again, which is not going to look good for the GOP in 2024.
Whatever Russia wants to do, it won't have any effect on the ground in Ukraine because that war is dead, Russia will need at least 3 times the strength it has now to push Ukrainian counteroffensive back, and then another 3 times to roll back more Ukrainian ground, and by strength, I don't mean send in the mobik.
The problem with Russia is always manpower, they can't generate enough manpower in this war, and they can't train enough to face the frontline, and then that time has come and gone, now we are seeing battlefield with Ukrainian usually having 2 to 1 or even 3 to 1 advantage. This war is lost, If Russian is smart, they would retreat and regroup and get more supplies from Iran, Syria, North Korea or China if they are willing to, and then come back again with a organised attack, sending missile won't change the ground situation, sending mobik soldier won't change the ground situation, it only make the war worse for them.
