Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[Deino]

Well…

https://twitter.com/x/status/1584912189856571400

 

[sammuel]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585044215247273991

You are aware that in most sane countries leaders change ?


Unlike other places , where the leader does not change, and the opposition leader is thrown into jail for 9 years for no reason . . .

Navalny facing fresh charges and up to 30 years in prison – DW – 10/21/2022

Russian authorities have accused Alexei Navalny of propagating extremism and calling for terrorism, the jailed Putin critic said. Fellow dissident Marina Ovsyannikova has also received new penalties.

www.dw.com

~

 

[Viet]

Wow

The gas market runs amok.

Too much gas on the market

For hours the price sinks to negative territory. Sellers want to sell at every cost.

Buyers get money when they buy natural gas. The more they buy the more money they make.

Putin energy war against EU is not going well.

Energiekrise: Zu viel Gas? Weshalb der Gaspreis jetzt ins Minus rutscht - WELT

Während die Politik in Berlin und Brüssel um die Gaspreis-Bremse verhandelt, brechen die Notierungen für den Brennstoff drastisch ein. Stundenweise müssen die Händler sogar Geld bezahlen, um ihr Gas loszuwerden. Doch Experten warnen vor falschen Schlüssen.

www.welt.de

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585164329145376770

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585156638532861954

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585147108486545408

 

[A.P. Richelieu]

Each wafer have dies of three main grades: Prime, then grades 2 and 3. Overall, the prices for each grade decreases with maturity and maturity equals to higher yield and CONSISTENT yield. Even so, the prime dies will command higher prices than product grades 2 and 3.

At tech nodes below 20 nm, customers are less likely to be interested in buying PGL 2 and 3 dies, whether it is in wafer sales or packaged forms. I said 'less likely', not never. The reason is because at lower than 20 nm, the physical structures of the cell, whether it is processor memory, is small enough that manufacturing defects will create even greater unpredictable FUTURE failure modes. Imagine the cell structures like that of the walls and roof of houses, now imagine them thinner and thinner with each construction of each new house. There will be a point where you can no longer predict how the house will collapse in a storm or even a spring rain. There is a testing process call 'wafer level reliability' (WLR) testing.

Wafer Level Reliability Testing White Paper

Basically, what WLR does is extreme stress on the cell with higher voltage, current, and temperature, then there are fancy algos to calculate the product's estimate lifespans. Since memory is in the news these days, I will use NAND for an example...

http://www.ictest8.com/a/Principle/test_base/2014/01/Testing%20Flash%20Memories.pdf

One of the top five testing conditions is called the 'checkerboard' pattern.

The wafer's dies are injected with ones and zeros in a checkerboard pattern. At tech nodes below 20 nm, the walls between the dies can be thin enough due to various manufacturing defects that data (1) can leak into adjacent (0) dies. Now create the pattern with higher voltage, current, and temperature. By higher temperature, I mean hot enough to bake a pizza or lasagna. Going back to the house analogy, imagine living with your parents and hear them having sex or arguing in the next room. That is data leakage. At tech nodes below 20 nm for some products, prime dies commands the highest contract and spot market prices, PGL 2 dies sells at cost or loss, and PLG 3 dies are scrapped. For other memory products, PGL 3 dies can sell to Joe Schmoe Memory Emporium run out of someone's garage in the middle of Montana or Kansas.

So why would anyone sell such low grade/quality semicon products? To answer your question with a question -- Why not? China have nothing to lose but much Russian cash to gain. Chinese gray markets are notorious at being skilled enough to get their hands on wafers that should have been scrapped. They get them via shell companies that buy these lower grades wafers/dies ostensibly to be used in toys or non-critical electronics. Then they repackage the dies into something 'respectable' looking and sell at a profit.

China is screwing Russia over, if this article is true.

Chinese distributors reportedly dump dud chips on Russia

What? Sanctions-busting sellers aren't interested in your complaints? That's a shame

www.theregister.com

The effects of this ffukking over will not be felt for some time because the semicon crap that Russia is buying now still need to go thru their manufacturing pipelines. Put aside the nuclear option for now and assume Russia is defeated. The economic and technological sanctions from the West will not be lifted and that leave China as the only seller for anything semicon. Russian electronics makers will have no choice but to drop trou, bend over, spread cheeks, and take it without lube. Their companies' reputations for shoddy products, from toasters to cars, will suffer, going back to the Soviet era.

If You have two DDR5 designs with the same spec, and one design (A) gets 10 prime dies on average per wafer, and the other (B) gets 100 prime dies on average per wafer.
There are 3 additional manufacturers with the same two designs, and all four is trying to get into the Apple M4 multichip module. Apple only buys prime die and wants damages if quality is bad.

You claim that design A will sell at a lower price to Apple.
I claim that market pressure will force design B to a lower price.

Apple will expect (wafer cost / prime dies) * marginfactor.

Design A will be 10x the cost of design B, so it will be more expensive.
If the yield can be improved by selling dies not meeting full spec, they can be sold at a lower cost, but that was not the question.

 

[Paul2]

Hmm, it shows two things.

1.) I was right about the Russian soldier ditches their uniform and flee in civilian clothes.
2.) Assuming these Russian soldiers are not trying to flee to the Ukrainian side, that mean this video would be shot quite close to the rear of Russian line in Kherson. Which means Ukraine is taking quite a lot of ground in operation around Kherson.

I have seem photos of Russian 8 inch guns being destroyed, and their 300mm MLRSes. Normally they would be 30km-40km behind the lines.

That means AUF managed to chop that much of the territory controlled somewhere near

 

[sammuel]

~​

​

Ukraine war: Russian forces preparing to defend Kherson, says Ukrainian spy chief​

Russia is sending more troops into the key southern city of Kherson and may be preparing to defend it, Ukraine's spy chief has said.

Ukraine had previously suggested some Russian units might be leaving.
Russia took Kherson in the early days of the war, but has recently come under pressure as Ukrainian troops advance along the Dnipro River.

Russian authorities in the city have ordered thousands of civilians to evacuate.

Kyrylo Budanov, the Ukrainian intelligence chief, dismissed this as an "information operation", telling the Ukrayinska Pravda website Moscow was "trying to create the illusion that everything is lost".

The Russian military is sending in more troops and preparing the streets for defence, he said, adding that the removal of citizens is a pretence to save face in case the city falls to Ukraine.

This is a departure from Kyiv's earlier comments that the invading forces were leaving the city. "They are not preparing to exit now," he said.

The BBC has not verified the precise movements of either sides' troops on the ground. The suggestion that Russian troops are digging in raises the possibility of a fierce fight in the coming weeks.

Ukraine war: Russian forces preparing to defend Kherson, says Ukrainian spy chief

Ukraine had suggested some Russian units were leaving Kherson, a city that fell early in the war.

www.bbc.com

~

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585186606683951106

 

[Paul2]

For duck sake Russia can never lose a war against 32 million people against 160 millions , all Russia can do is destroy their energy infrastructure and Ukrainians will die of cold , Putin is not resorting to it , the outer power which wants to weaken Russia is just prolonging this war just to weaken Russia , Putin ain't that stupid . If Putin is to nuke Ukraine what can the world do? West is using Ukraine as a test ground against Russia nothing else they don't care an inch about Ukrainians lives

FYI, Soviet Union once lost to... Finland with 60 to 1 force ratio

 

[sammuel]

~​

​

Russian anti-war group Stop The Wagons attacks Russian railway heading to Belarus​

A Russian anti-war group has claimed responsibility for an attack on a critical railway near the Russia-Belarus border.

On Monday, an explosive device damaged the railway near the village of Novozybkovo, approximately 15km from the Russia-Belarus border, the governor of Russia’s Belgorod region has announced.

The line is the main rail link between Russia and southern Belarus.


The Russian anti-war group Stop the Wagons (STW) has claimed responsibility for the damage, an update from the British Ministry of Defence said on Wednesday.

This is at least the sixth incident of sabotage against Russian railway infrastructure claimed by STW since June, British Intelligence said.

“This is part of a wider trend of dissident attacks against railways in both Russia and Belarus. The Russian authorities have previously clamped down on STW’s online presence.”

STW said on Telegram: “The results of this small explosive sabotage will have to be eliminated with a complete re-laying of the rails. And that’s great.”

The group disrupts Russian railways to prevent the transport of equipment, fuel, ammunition and other supplies to the war in Ukraine.

It has claimed responsibility for other damaged railways, including an incident in the Amur Oblast on the Trans-Siberian Railway in June.

The Russia military relies heavily on rail transport for transporting forces to Ukraine, but with a network extending to over 33,000km, largely transiting isolated areas, the system is extremely challenging to secure against physical threats.

Russian anti-war group Stop The Wagons attacks Russian railway heading to Belarus

This is at least the sixth incident of sabotage claimed by the group since June

uk.news.yahoo.com

 

[jhungary]

I have seem photos of Russian 8 inch guns being destroyed, and their 300mm MLRSes. Normally they would be 30km-40km behind the lines.

That means AUF managed to chop that much of the territory controlled somewhere near

Some of my source told me they are close to Nova Kakhovka near Beryslav, if that is true then the Ukrainian made around 50km from Dudchany

 

[Viet]

King of artillery

Pzh 2000

Germany sends two MARS II multiple-launch rocket systems and four Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine.

Steinmeier: Germany to send two more MARS II systems, four PzH 2000 howitzers to Ukraine

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1585207857653649408

 

[Hack-Hook]

Bombing a factory which produces washing machines is likely to violate the principle of proportionality, and thus a war crime.

Since when violating proportionality a war-crime , its called escalation, and even for that it all come to the point what was produced at the factory at the time

That says that the military value of a target must be high enough to motivate the damage to civilians.

if there is military value , its justified

Since Western military equipment does not use commercial grade electronics, microcontrollers in washing machines does not have a military value.

if the equipment in that factory is used to maintain those military equipment ?
and also ukraine have more eastern equipment than western ones

Russia, not being competent in designing electronics, have to use commercial components, so they have a military value in Russian hands.

and ukraine is even more incompetent than russia ,otherwise they already had their copy of gran-1 and gran-2

 

[jhungary]

While we focus on the South, the East had made another progress for the Ukrianian.

Ukraine retaken Kyslivka sometime between 14 Oct to 25 Oct. Report states that Russia is bombing Kyslivka

Armed Forces of Ukraine push back Russian forces in east

The Ukrainian troops have pushed back Russian forces in the settlements of Karmazynivka, Myasozharivka, and Nevske in Luhansk region and Novosadove in Donetsk region. — Ukrinform.

www.ukrinform.net

Which mean Ukraine now control both side of P07 highway.