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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

that's not my logic that's NATO and USA logic , and double use technology and industry is the term you guys used to prevent letting Iran buy medical equipment like CT-scan , Ultrasonographic and Gama-scan devices also equipment to produce vaccines and drugs. we learnt it from you guys
Bombing a factory which produces washing machines is likely to violate the principle of proportionality, and thus a war crime.
That says that the military value of a target must be high enough to motivate the damage to civilians.
Since Western military equipment does not use commercial grade electronics, microcontrollers in washing machines does not have a military value.
Russia, not being competent in designing electronics, have to use commercial components, so they have a military value in Russian hands.
 
Actually, I do. Am currently working for a major semicon company making NAND, NOR, and DRAM. Sometimes for specific customers, we will make SRAM and older products. Any wafer from any company that have a per wafer yield of less than %50 will be considered by the customers as 'run at risk' (RAR) product lines.

Here are examples of 'risky' product definitions...


1.83 “Risk Starts” shall mean Production Wafer Starts for Products that have yet to be accepted by a customer. Process Development Wafers and Product Development Wafers are not Risk Starts.​


Before the start of risk production the company has already run a number of shuttles with test chips from customers, so foundry and clients are already starting to wring out the more critical structures in the first customer designs.​

RAR products are not confined to just new designs but also from new fabs, new hardware, and/or new processes. A customer can buy wafers/dies from a RAR product line as long as manufacturer and customer are in agreement. RAR products are usually sold at a loss no matter what calculation anyone can use to justify an X price. As a customer, I do not care what it cost you to make that wafer. The per wafer yield is less than %50 and that mean your processes are not good enough. Even if your competitors do not have the same technology, they will have the same products at the older technology so I do not have to take a chance with yours, so here is my X price, take it or leave it.


The point here is that China is dumping shiddy semicon products onto Russia. Products so shiddy that most of the industry would have scrapped the wafers long before the dies make it to extraction and encapsulation. Russia, as a customer, are in such dire straits that the Russians have no choice but to buy these shiddy semicon products. Most likely, the Russians bought them as packaged (encapped) products. The Kommersant article seems to imply that the Russians installed them without testing them, only to find failures upon equipment running. Or not running. Also note that the article mentioned the gray market so this leave Russia in even worse bargaining position.
If you buy wafers, then you are prepared to pay more for a wafer if the yield is guaranteed, but normal people are interested in the cost of a working die in a package.

Wafer sales is a niche market, and as You say Russia is likely to buy packaged die, and for those, the price is lower if the yield is higher. Memories are definitely governed by this rule.


Still You did not explain why someone would
 

That curse stuff is for idiots. Same with the Assad curse. Israel wants Assad in, to have a divided weak Syria. Netanyahu has said this. Putins rabbi has said this. Syrian rebels have pointed this out nearly a decade ago.


A dictator of Assad is going to out last democracies that have leaders come and go.

A president of Ukraine with a long term limit is going to outlast PM whose governments fail, and new PMs are chosen. Italy has many PMs. There was no Ukraine curse in Italy having new PMs. From 2010-2020, Italy had 6 PMs.

Belief in the Assad curse is for the low IQ and weak minded.

Same with the "Zelensky curse". Putin is trying to destabilize Europe and the Russia shills say Zelensky has some curse to harm governments. This is Russia blaming Russian enemies for the economic and inflation crisis that Russia did to Europe.

Russia Republicans are giddy about the Saudis cutting oil production to harm Democrats in the 2022 election. If you can't figure out the Russian faction is trying to destroy the economy to take over the globe, you have not been paying attention.

Gale of stupid laughter

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UKRAINE WAR: FREE TO READ

Ukraine latest: Russia notifies U.S. of planned nuclear exercises​

Zara set to exit Russian market; Zelenskyy wishes British PM Sunak success
https%253A%252F%252Fs3-ap-northeast-1.amazonaws.com%252Fpsh-ex-ftnikkei-3937bb4%252Fimages%252F8%252F7%252F2%252F1%252F42781278-3-eng-GB%252FCropped-16667295702022-10-07T080219Z_81262933_RC2NVW9Y8ZEJ_RTRMADP_3_RUSSIA-PUTIN.JPG

Russian President Putin during a past military exercise. The U.S. has been informed of upcoming drills by Russia's nuclear forces, the Pentagon says. © Reuters
October 7, 2022 17:46 JSTUpdated on October 26, 2022 05:29 JST
The Russian invasion of Ukraine that began on Feb. 24 continues, with casualties rising on both sides.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has announced Russia's annexation of four partially occupied Ukrainian regions following referendums that Western nations called a "sham."
Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces are mounting a strong counteroffensive against Russian troops, reclaiming territory lost when Moscow launched its invasion. Ukraine has managed to withstand the Russian onslaught with the help of Western military aid, but President Volodymyr Zelenskyy regularly calls on the world to do more. For all our coverage, visit our Ukraine war page.
Read our in-depth coverage:
Indo-Pacific more crucial because of Ukraine war: U.K.'s top diplomat
Putin suggests Turkey become regional 'gas hub' to Europe
Germany should provide more weapons to Ukraine, ex-president says
Putin's nuclear threat is real: Wladimir Klitschko
Asia Stream: Asia's Balancing Act with Russia
Note: Nikkei Asia decided on March 5 to suspend its reporting from Russia until further information becomes available regarding the scope of the revised criminal code. Entries include material from wire services and other sources.
Here are the latest developments:
Wednesday, Oct. 26 (Tokyo time)
5:08 a.m.
Russia has given the U.S. notice of planned exercises of nuclear forces -- drills expected to include test-launching ballistic missiles.
"The U.S. was notified, and, as we've highlighted before, this is a routine annual exercise by Russia," said Pentagon spokesman Patrick Ryder, an Air Force brigadier general, in a news briefing. "And so in this regard, Russia is complying with its arms control obligations and its transparency commitments ... to make those notifications."
4:57 a.m. Zara owner Inditex has announced an initial agreement to sell its Russian business to the United Arab Emirates-based Daher group, which has interests in retailing and real estate.
The Spanish apparel group had paused Russian sales in March. It explicitly leaves the door open for returning in the future under a franchise agreement with Daher.
1:00 a.m. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has congratulated new U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on taking office.
"I wish you to successfully overcome all the challenges facing British society and the whole world today," Zelenskyy says in a Twitter post.
Zelenskyy had a cordial relationship with former U.K. leader Boris Johnson, who put Ukraine at the top of his foreign-policy agenda and visited the country multiple times after Russia's invasion. Johnson's successor Liz Truss pledged continued support for Kyiv but resigned after just six weeks in office.
 
If you buy wafers, then you are prepared to pay more for a wafer if the yield is guaranteed, but normal people are interested in the cost of a working die in a package.

Wafer sales is a niche market, and as You say Russia is likely to buy packaged die, and for those, the price is lower if the yield is higher. Memories are definitely governed by this rule.


Still You did not explain why someone would
Each wafer have dies of three main grades: Prime, then grades 2 and 3. Overall, the prices for each grade decreases with maturity and maturity equals to higher yield and CONSISTENT yield. Even so, the prime dies will command higher prices than product grades 2 and 3.

At tech nodes below 20 nm, customers are less likely to be interested in buying PGL 2 and 3 dies, whether it is in wafer sales or packaged forms. I said 'less likely', not never. The reason is because at lower than 20 nm, the physical structures of the cell, whether it is processor memory, is small enough that manufacturing defects will create even greater unpredictable FUTURE failure modes. Imagine the cell structures like that of the walls and roof of houses, now imagine them thinner and thinner with each construction of each new house. There will be a point where you can no longer predict how the house will collapse in a storm or even a spring rain. There is a testing process call 'wafer level reliability' (WLR) testing.


Basically, what WLR does is extreme stress on the cell with higher voltage, current, and temperature, then there are fancy algos to calculate the product's estimate lifespans. Since memory is in the news these days, I will use NAND for an example...


One of the top five testing conditions is called the 'checkerboard' pattern.

pgvylg0.png


The wafer's dies are injected with ones and zeros in a checkerboard pattern. At tech nodes below 20 nm, the walls between the dies can be thin enough due to various manufacturing defects that data (1) can leak into adjacent (0) dies. Now create the pattern with higher voltage, current, and temperature. By higher temperature, I mean hot enough to bake a pizza or lasagna. Going back to the house analogy, imagine living with your parents and hear them having sex or arguing in the next room. That is data leakage. At tech nodes below 20 nm for some products, prime dies commands the highest contract and spot market prices, PGL 2 dies sells at cost or loss, and PLG 3 dies are scrapped. For other memory products, PGL 3 dies can sell to Joe Schmoe Memory Emporium run out of someone's garage in the middle of Montana or Kansas.

So why would anyone sell such low grade/quality semicon products? To answer your question with a question -- Why not? China have nothing to lose but much Russian cash to gain. Chinese gray markets are notorious at being skilled enough to get their hands on wafers that should have been scrapped. They get them via shell companies that buy these lower grades wafers/dies ostensibly to be used in toys or non-critical electronics. Then they repackage the dies into something 'respectable' looking and sell at a profit.

China is screwing Russia over, if this article is true.


The effects of this ffukking over will not be felt for some time because the semicon crap that Russia is buying now still need to go thru their manufacturing pipelines. Put aside the nuclear option for now and assume Russia is defeated. The economic and technological sanctions from the West will not be lifted and that leave China as the only seller for anything semicon. Russian electronics makers will have no choice but to drop trou, bend over, spread cheeks, and take it without lube. Their companies' reputations for shoddy products, from toasters to cars, will suffer, going back to the Soviet era.
 
There is a plan to destroy the global economy and have Putin and Trump take over Europe politically with destabilization, economically with bitcoin after the collapse of currencies, and militarily in Ukraine and perhaps elsewhere. cia Russian Republicans support Putin and Trump. cia asset kissinger support Putin and Trump. So do cia asset tucker, cia asset Musk, cia asset Berlusconi. The other cia shills around the globe are for this Trump, Putin, bitcoin plan to have Putin be the catalyst into a loss of freedoms and liberty.

Yeltsin was a cia puppet, says Former Chairman of the Russian Parliament. Yeltsin picked Putin with the cia vetting Putin. Putin is as fake a populist as Trump. Both are cia assets.


The cia is the deepstate that is the shadow government in the US, and their deepstate leader is Trump in the US:


Making the Qanon bitcoin movement a cia movement:


Satoshi Nakamoto Means “Central Intelligence”. Satoshi Nakamoto literally translates to "Central Intelligent/Intelligence" in Japanese.


Bitcoin is extremely scarce and a global economy based on bitcoin would immediately have a system of haves and have nots. Super wealthy in bitcoin, and those in abject poverty of the new currency. The super wealthy would buy whole countries, the poor would be slaves in the new system.

I covered this in a previous post on how during the gold standard, the poor demanded more silver into money to help increase the money supply for the people. With bitcoin, it is going to be the bitcoin robber barons, and the poor.

Satoshi Nakamoto (cia) mined 1 million btc in the first few years. 5% of the supply of bitcoin owned by the cia. Other cia shills are aware of this replacement of currencies and national central banks to the new central bank of bitcoin.

This roll out is planned to happen with Putin shills in the capitals of Europe. Russian system of autocracy and no freedoms exported around the globe. cia controlling things hidden from view. This is the plan. Do you want no freedom, poverty for the good, and no access to truth/information as Russia has a of lack of freedom of thought, speech and information.

This guy is pretty close to things:


Where he is off on things. Is the cia founded bitcoin, as stated above, while Putin and Trumpers are part of the promoting bitcoin agenda. For the purpose of preventing gold and silver returning as money when the central banks collapse from monetary hyperinflation crisis.

Washington wanted to control dollars and anti-dollars. The anti-dollars were gold reserves. Washington hates gold and silver, you can't have endless wars with gold and silver, since you cannot print gold and silver. The debt money we have as our currencies funds economic growth and funds government spending and sustainable debt.

The Bush cia in 2006-2008 was panicked by gold and silver getting out of control, fearful of the mainstream buying of gold and silver by investors concerned about currency collapse, the cia invented bitcoin to be the replacement of gold commodity. Bitcoin was recently called a commodity by the US government:


Putin is a cia Trump asset. Putin is a cia Yeltsin appointee. Therefore part of the agenda by cia Republicans to destroy the economy and have bitcoin as the global currency.

So yes, Putin and the alt-wrong are behind bitcoin. So is Trump and Qanon behind bitcoin.

cia and cia allies and cia assets are the largest owners of bitcoin. And therefore are to own the globe after bitcoin becomes the global currency.

The plan is for bitcoin to go to 100 million dollars (in today's dollar valuation) per bitcoin. And collapse the currencies to get there.

Gales of Stupid laughter in 5, 4, 3, 2,....
 
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Putin’s Winter Offensive
Source: The Unz Review
“Every dead Russian and Ukrainian in this war, every family anywhere in the world that suffers the consequences of this war, every business that shuts down because of the economic damage this war is causing and the increased risk of nuclear annihilation, it’s all US Govt made.” Twitter @KimDotcom
Proxy War (def)– a war instigated by a major power which does not itself become involved.
Written by Mike Whitney. Originally published by The Unz Review

Ukrainian gains on the battlefield have been met by a widely-anticipated Russian escalation. On September 21, in a rare national address, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the mobilsation of 300,000 reservists who would be called to serve in the war in Ukraine.

In recent weeks, the Russian army has suffered a number of setbacks due to its lack of sufficient manpower in the battlespace. Simply put, the Russians did not have enough combat troops to carry out their mission or to defend the vast area that has recently been annexed by Moscow. Russia’s Special Military Operation was never designed to seize and occupy great swaths of Ukrainian territory. In essence, the SMO was a police operation aimed at locating and eliminating the Ukrainian forces that had been bombarding and killing ethnic Russians living in east Ukraine.

After numerous clashes with advancing NATO-trained battalions, it’s clear that Russia needs significant reinforcements to roll back Ukrainian forces and impose a security buffer around its new provinces. Russia’s critics see the under-staffing as an indication of military incompetence but, in fact, Moscow is merely adapting to a fluid situation in which both parties continue to raise the stakes. Here is an excerpt from a post by Big Serge at Substack that helps to clarify what’s going on:

Of all the phantasmagorical claims that have been made about the Russo-Ukrainian War, few are as difficult to believe as the claim that Russia intended to conquer Ukraine with fewer than 200,000 men. Indeed, a central truth of the war that observers simply must come to grasp with is the fact that the Russian army has been badly outnumbered from day one…. On paper, Russia has committed an expeditionary force of less than 200,000 men, though of course that full amount has not been on the frontline in active combat lately.
The light force deployment is related to Russia’s rather unique service model, which has combined “contract soldiers” – the professional core of the army – with a reservist pool that is generated with an annual conscription wave….The transition from a Soviet mobilization scheme to a smaller, leaner, professional ready force was part and parcel of Russia’s neoliberal austerity regime throughout much of the Putin years.
…. This Russian contract force can still accomplish a great deal, militarily speaking – it can destroy Ukrainian military installations, wreak havoc with artillery, bash its way into urban agglomerations in the Donbas, and destroy much of Ukraine’s indigenous war-making potential. It cannot, however, wage a multi-year continental war against an enemy which outnumbers it by at least four to one, and which is sustained with intelligence, command and control, and material which are beyond its immediate reach…
More force deployment is needed. Russia must transcend the neoliberal austerity army. It has the material capacity to mobilize the needed forces – it has many millions in its reservist pool, enormous inventories of equipment, and indigenous production capacity undergirded by the natural resources and production potential of the Eurasian bloc that has closed ranks around it. But remember – military mobilization is also political mobilization.” (“Politics By Other Means; Putin and Clausewitz”, Big Serge Thoughts, Substack)
Russia’s critics, of course, will dismiss this explanation as nonsense, even so, the calling up of 300,000 reservists shows that Putin’s generals realize they cannot achieve their strategic objectives with merely an “expeditionary force” but must adjust to changes on the ground. And that is precisely what they are doing; they are beefing up their forces at a time when Putin’s public approval rating is at an eye-watering 77%. So, while an earlier mobilization would have undoubtedly been met with widespread condemnation and rejection, the great majority of Russians now fully support the policy. Simply put, Putin has won the hearts and minds of the Russian people. He has convinced them that their country, traditions, culture and lives face an unprecedented existential threat. Here’s more from Big Serge:

Putin and those around him conceived of the Russo-Ukrainian War in existential terms from the very beginning. It is unlikely, however, that most Russians understood this….
What has happened in the months since February 24 is rather remarkable. The existential war for the Russian nation has been incarnated and made real for Russian citizens. Sanctions and anti-Russian propaganda – demonizing the entire nation as “orcs” – has rallied even initially skeptical Russians behind the war, and Putin’s approval rating has soared. A core western assumption, that Russians would turn on the government, has reversed. Videos showing the torture of Russian POWs by frothing Ukrainians, of Ukrainian soldiers calling Russian mothers to mockingly tell them their sons are dead, of Russian children killed by shelling in Donetsk, have served to validate Putin’s implicit claim that Ukraine is a demon possessed state that must be exorcised with high explosives… The government of Ukraine (in now deleted tweets) publicly claimed that Russians are prone to barbarism because they are a mongrel race with Asiatic blood mixing.” (Big Serge, Substack)
In short, the establishment media and political class have made Putin’s job easier for him by persuading even left-leaning Russians that the western nations –led by the US– despise all-things Russian and are determined to destroy their country and subjugate their people. Here’s Putin:

I want to underscore again that their insatiability and determination to preserve their unfettered dominance are the real causes of the hybrid war that the collective West is waging against Russia. They do not want us to be free; they want us to be a colony. They do not want equal cooperation; they want to loot. They do not want to see us a free society, but a mass of soulless slaves….I would like to remind you that in the past, ambitions of world domination have repeatedly shattered against the courage and resilience of our people. Russia will always be Russia. We will continue to defend our values and our Motherland.
We have never agreed to and will never agree to such political nationalism and racism. What else, if not racism, is the Russophobia being spread around the world? What, if not racism, is the West’s dogmatic conviction that its civilisation and neoliberal culture is an indisputable model for the entire world to follow?…
Today, we are fighting so that it would never occur to anyone that Russia, our people, our language, or our culture can be erased from history. Today, we need a united society, and this unification can only be based on sovereignty, freedom, creation, and justice. Our values are humanity, mercy and compassion.” (Speech on the Accession of the New Regions to Russia, Vladimir Putin, Unz Review)
According to Putin, the collective west wants to plunder Russia, enslave its people, and create a colony whose wealth can be siphoned off by tyrannical bigots and foreign profiteers. The media’s relentless attack on Russian athletes, scholars, scientists, musicians and even businessmen has only reinforced the view among ordinary Russians that they have entered the crosshairs of a violent and out-of-control western coalition that intends to deliver the same lethal death-blow to Russia that they did to Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan and countless other nations. Putin’s soaring public approval ratings underscore the fact that most Russians think the threat is real and that the battle must be joined. Here’s more from Big Serge:

“Putin has … achieved his project of formal annexation of Ukraine’s old eastern rim. This has also legally transformed the war into an existential struggle. Further Ukrainian advances in the east are now, in the eyes of the Russian state, an assault on sovereign Russian territory and an attempt to destroy the integrity of the Russian state. Recent polling shows that a supermajority of Russians support defending these new territories at any cost.” (Substack)
The speed at which Putin annexed the four regions in Ukraine suggests that the real purpose of the action goes far beyond the expansion of Russia’s western border. The real reason Putin rushed through the measure was to fundamentally change the rules of engagement. Needless to say, a Special Military Operation is worlds apart from the defense of one’s own sovereign territory. In other words, the real purpose of the referendum was to indicate that “the gloves are off” and that Russia is going to respond to Ukraine’s attacks with unexpected ferocity. Here’s Serge again:

A political consensus for higher mobilization and greater intensity has been achieved. Now all that remains is the implementation of this consensus in the material world of fist and boot, bullet and shell, blood and iron.”
….. Russia is massing for a winter escalation and offensive, and is currently engaged in a calculated trade wherein they give up space in exchange for time and Ukrainian casualties.Russia continues to retreat where positions are either operationally compromised or faced with overwhelming Ukrainian numbers, but they are very careful to extract forces out of operational danger….
Russia will likely continue to pull back over the coming weeks, withdrawing units intact under their artillery and air umbrella, grinding down Ukrainian heavy equipment stocks and wearing away their manpower. Meanwhile, new equipment continues to congregate in Belgorod, Zaporizhia, and Crimea. My expectation remains the same: episodic Russian withdrawal until the front stabilizes roughly at the end of October, followed by an operational pause until the ground freezes, followed by escalation and a winter offensive by Russia once they have finished amassing sufficient units.
There is an eerie calm radiating from the Kremlin….. The disconnect between the Kremlin’s stoicism and the deterioration of the front are striking. Perhaps Putin and the entire Russian general staff really are criminally incompetent – perhaps the Russian reserves really are nothing but a bunch of drunks. Perhaps there is no plan.
Or perhaps, Russia’s sons will answer the call of the motherland again, as they did in 1709, in 1812, and in 1941.
As the wolves once more prowl at the door, the old bear rises again to fight.” (Big Serge, Substack)
Bottom line: Russia has now laid the groundwork for a broader and more violent conflict. 300,000 reservists have been called up, vast amounts of military hardware are being shipped to the front, and public opinion overwhelmingly supports the war-effort. All the signs point to a significant escalation in the fighting that will leave much of Ukraine in ruins while pushing Washington and Moscow closer to a direct confrontation.

Mearsheimer’s Chilling Prediction: “The Russians are going to turn Ukraine into rubble.” (2 minute video)

John Mearsheimer called it right in 2015 and he called it right again 7 months ago. Maybe the US Govt should hire him as a fire alarm. pic.twitter.com/8CvbMPyUO6
— Kim Dotcom (@KimDotcom) October 12, 2022
Michael Whitney is a renowned geopolitical and social analyst based in Washington State. He initiated his career as an independent citizen-journalist in 2002 with a commitment to honest journalism, social justice and World peace. He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
 

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