Am not advocating for a nuclear war, if that is what you think. But what I did was put a dose of reality into the many trolls who mindlessly said how Russia would 'destroy' the US.
What Estonia PM Kaja Kallas said is that for the Soviet/Russia method, if you want something that you do not have, just take it by force and negotiate from there. In a manner of speaking, you will be negotiating from a position of strength -- that you are in possession of that thing and it will require force to take it from you. Then as you drag out the negotiation, delays or teases of concessions, eventually someone from the other side will get tire and advises their leaders to give A, B, and/or C. You may get %100 of that thing, or you may get partial, but at least you get something from nothing.
The problem of Ukraine is that Russia failed to secure what Russia wanted, even partial of Ukraine so Russia have nothing to even tease of concessions to induce that tiredness of negotiation. If only the Ukrainians put a difficult fight, then Russia would have that position of strength, but the Ukrainians, with NATO assist, put up more than just difficult and for now, actually winning. So why should anyone from the West be tired of negotiations? Why should we put up any inducements? Elon Musk is being called out a 'simp' for his social media comments. Same for some Fox News talking heads when they tacitly advised giving Russia something because they are scared of Poutine.
You can bet whatever salary you make that right now, Poutine is aware that some of his people are plotting his removal from office. No one want a nuclear war. Ukraine is not worth it. Not even Crimea is worth it. Maybe, IF the Ukrainians feels truly indifferent about Crimea, then maybe we can negotiate with Russia over Crimea. However, with what Poutine put Russia thru and all he gained was little Crimea, his days are numbered. Either he dies a horrible death in Russia or he flee.
But...In case if we need to take out Russia thru a nuclear exchange, we need only two strikes.
Back in WW II, we did not destroyed Hiroshima and Nagasaki like popular impressions have it. But both cities suffered enough damages to induce surrender. So out of all Russia territory, we are looking at two critical targets to essentially cripple Russia. All of Russian government knows this.
I hate to say this but -- we will never be right, not just about Russia but about everyone else.
Like the one Russian did after the Kharkiv Offensive?
www.egyptindependent.com
He won't.
Like the one Russian did after the Kharkiv Offensive?
Russian strikes knock out power and water in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region
Cruise missiles hit infrastructure in what Ukraine says is revenge attack over recent rapid gainswww.theguardian.com
They took out the complete infrastructure network in Kharkiv and put the entire city in blackout.
Things is, power restored in 2 days, and the entire grid back online in 5.
Region's electricity restored following Russian strike, says Ukraine energy operator - Egypt Independent
Two of the main electricity lines supplying part of Kharkiv region have been restored, Ukraine’s energy supplier said Wednesday, following a Russian strike on a local facility that left many without power. “Repair crews of NPC Ukrenergo have already restored the operation of two main lines...
It's damage is minimal, and there are about 17 nodes in Ukraine remaining, it will take way more than a few Cruises missile to try to put the entire country in the dark just for a few days, if not, they can increase output on other sector to compensate the loss of a few powers unit, and then what? It does not really do anything to the Military, because they are off grid anyway, many military equipment is either powered by generator or 12V battery, and it's not 1970 anymore, almost all Military have the ability fight in all weather. I don't know how much you think it will do, but the consequence of blackout really won't do much to the military, it will mostly be a civilian problem.
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He won't.
But he knows if he uses nuke, that's the end of him one way or the other.
Prepare for the worse yes, but I just don't see how Putin is to a point toward suicidal, he is crazy, but he aint stupid.
If they take Snihurivka, that mean there are 3 vectors toward Nova Kakhovka. One from Snihurivka, One from Dudchany and One form Davydiv Byid. More or less the same thing happened to Lyman will happen to Nova Kakhovka
