Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[Get Ya Wig Split]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620556518059028480

 

[jhungary]

The ukrainians could probably hold the city forever, and I am sure they intend to hold it for as long as possible. I just worry about a sudden break at the southern flank and a possible encirclement, or atleast a situation where holding the city becomes extremely difficult and costly - and the ukrainians would end up staying at all cost. The city has become a symbol, hopefully someone is able to make rational decisions.
But I might be too pessimistic. The russians are moving at snails pace.

Well, judging from the way Russia is going, they were trying to go up instead of down and make way toward Sloviansk and Kramatosk direct. Their southern drive has been stalled since late December. They were at the edge of klishchiivka back in Early to Mid-December last year, and IIRC they only claim they have taken it a week ago. At this rate, it would be around March-April before they can threaten Charvis Yar, let alone taken them.

There are plenty of time for Ukraine to hold Bakhmut.

 

[A.P. Richelieu]

take a note of your article please


as of the date nobody allowed Russia its land to attack Ukraine i assume what you mean is in that article now as I'm not gonna read all 114 page where in that article exactly

and in definition of aggression in this one you post https://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/739/16/IMG/NR073916.pdf?OpenElement
nowhere stated that sending weapon to a warring country is considred as aggression only sending force and allowing to use your territory to attack the third country

”or commits aiding and abetting aggression”
I already provided an excerpt of the rules that states that shipping arms to a belligerent is a violation of neutrality.
Your memory is not much bette4 than that of a small bird.

When You help an aggressor, you become an agressor.
You can argue whatever You want, but it won’t help Iran.

 

[LeGenD]

Ukraine Situation Report: Russian Casualties "Significantly Well Over 100k" Says Top U.S. General

General Milley said the losses on both sides are horrendous and that it will only end via negotiation once Russia has left Ukraine.

www.thedrive.com

 

[MeFishToo]

Some who normally have insight are mentioning that Denmark is working on getting back Leopard 1A5DK being stored at FFG in Germany. There is around 100 in storage. They dont need upgrades, just some repairs and maintenance.
Is that an alternative to ukrainian armor?

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620428808779354113

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620410776552112129

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620564083358715906

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

sure, it affects China ability to make these drug, even tho China makes most of their drug locally, and was either number 1 or number 2 world exporter.

China's pharmaceutical industry emerging as key R&D player

China's pharmaceutical industry includes generics, patented medicines, and over-the-counter (OTC) medications

daxueconsulting.com

Tell me, did Russia or West sanction China too? Do let me know how China affected by the War in Ukraine??

Dude, sometimes it's okay to acknowledge you are ignorant in a topic. Instead of trying to accuse someone else is stupid,, because it usually makes you look stupid. Even in your own link it said the European Drug shortage is due to supply chain issue, not the inflation or sanction issue, unless you can somehow blame COVID to the current War in Ukraine.

Again, you're failing to understand the root causes that were clearly mentioned in the Reuters' article: High energy prices. You're running away from the clearly visible causes of these high energy prices - the self-defeating sanctions that the West imposed on Russia that triggered high energy prices, which also contributed to inflation. This has also transcended to other commodities whose prices sky-rocketed as well.

"Now, the war in Ukraine and the associated energy and economic crises threaten to "debase the continent's pharmaceutical sector for good for some critical medicines," , Teva (TEVA.TA), one of the world's biggest generic drug makers, wrote in a report published on Thursday. "

Energy crisis risks upending Europe's key medicine supply chains - industry says

Surging energy costs in Europe risk accelerating an exodus of companies critical in the manufacture of essential medicines, further endangering drug supply chains hit by shortages at the height of COVID-19, drug ingredient makers say.

www.reuters.com

Stop wasting people's time if you can't read. You sound like pre-programmed robot who only repeats what is pre-recorded in him.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620556518059028480

3 Russian missile weapons capable of effectively countering the latest Western tanks, no matter how different their models are!.. Get to know them in this video!
- Khrizantima
- Izdiilye 305
- Kornet

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620525810993221632

Aerial scenes of the Ukrainian army repelling an attack by the Russian forces..

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620374147879800832

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620074539890909192

 

[jhungary]

Again, you're failing to understand the root causes that were clearly mentioned in the Reuters' article: High energy prices. You're running away from the clearly visible causes of these high energy prices - the self-defeating sanctions that the West imposed on Russia that triggered high energy prices, which also contributed to inflation. This has also transcended to other commodities whose prices sky-rocketed as well.

"Now, the war in Ukraine and the associated energy and economic crises threaten to "debase the continent's pharmaceutical sector for good for some critical medicines," , Teva (TEVA.TA), one of the world's biggest generic drug makers, wrote in a report published on Thursday. "

Energy crisis risks upending Europe's key medicine supply chains - industry says

Surging energy costs in Europe risk accelerating an exodus of companies critical in the manufacture of essential medicines, further endangering drug supply chains hit by shortages at the height of COVID-19, drug ingredient makers say.

www.reuters.com

Stop wasting people's time if you can't read. You sound like pre-programmed robot who only repeats what is pre-recorded in him.

Again, explain to me how ENERGY PRICE were to blame for in this case, "Chinese Medicine Shortage"?

China does not have an energy price issue, drug were not made in PetroChemical

Now, going back to your own article.

Also, the article talks about how most drug has ALREADY been manufactured outside Europe and the remaining "few" were made to shut their door due to them not being economical.

The only European API manufacturer of tamoxifen halted production because it had become uneconomical, taking European finished drug producers by surprise and leaving only a few suppliers in Asia, they said.

This lead to the European shortage of drug in a nutshell

Paracetamol is another case in point. The last European drug factory to produce paracetamol closed in 2008, leaving Asia as the primary source of production.

There were NO paracetamol production plant in Europe since 2008, are we going to blame the war in Ukraine at all?

At the same time, when the major paracetamol producing country India temporarily banned exports of the ingredient to meet its own needs, Europe was temporarily left without the key API.

This is the reason why Europe are running out of Paracetamol, because India temporarily banned export of ingredient, maybe you should take a guess why they ban it?? Hint, something we all went thru since 2020.

In relation to its European portfolio of medicines, Teva currently sources 40% of its APIs from its own European sites, while the rest is outsourced, Philippe Drechsle, VP of EU portfolio management at Teva Europe, told Reuters

That mean only 40% of the drug were made in Europe, 60% of the drug were imported. This is already a problem with or without the war

Centrient's Dutch facility has seen about an eight-fold increase in energy costs. As a result, the plant is being run at about a 70% to 75% level compared with last year, he said

It wouldn't make such an impact if the energy price increase 8 fold and productiononly dropped 25-30%. Given that only 40% of the drug are made in Europe anyway. That is not that much to have global shortage across Europe.

You really should have read your article before using it. That article basically said the situation was already bad before the war, as most of the API drug are outside Europe, and then COVID hit, where international export started limited their shipment, and COUPLE WITH THE WAR OF UKRAINE, it increase the cost and make the situation worse

If you couple that with the situation where country like India (which was talked about in the article you supply) and China (which was talked about in the article I supplies). Whereas both country were largely unaffected by the War and Sanction by both side, it's very straight forward point is that both, being the biggest maker of API drug, has have seen their drug stockpile wipe out since COVID and both stop exporting their API ingredient because they don't have enough for themselves, and that is the reason why Europe is short on drug. That's because 60% of those drug were made in a 3rd country outside EU (most likely just in China and India)

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620450496761954304

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620447641309175808

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620452461982126081

Trump: I trust Putin more than the CIA

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620406550232711170

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620406918438346753

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620407742174486528

NATO Secretary General: The war in Ukraine is not just a European crisis, but a challenge to the world order..
@AsharqNewsBrk

NATO Secretary General: Russia's victory in Ukraine will encourage China against its neighbors
@AsharqNewsBrk

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620209281848213506

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620101009300393986

 

[Oldman1]

They probably gonna need a new set of Combine Arms doctrine, ours won't suit them because they don't have the air power that we have, even if we give them F-16, they would still lack behind the sheer airpower we operate on.

If we taught them Combine Arms tactics, that would have to be anchoring at Artillery and HIMARS instead of using air domination.

HIMARS with GLSDB launch would be almost like air support since they cover all Russian occupied territory except Crimea as JDAM alternative for now...

Yes, they will need to put some kind of convertor in the fuel pump IIRC, they can burn it as is but this will deplete the engine life.

I don't think Poland have large amount of Abrams that can make a different maintenance wise, if we send them M1, assuming we don't set up shop in Ukraine, the closest we can fix them is in Germany

Not to mention able to provide the parts provided from the Sierra depot like gun barrels to tracks to roadwheels, etc.

Nah, we can pull the Du Armour out and put chobam armor in our surplus.

But looking at Biden announcement, seems like they are sending new M1A2 off production line to Ukraine.

That is surprising. Guess it would be cheaper and less time consuming than having to convert U.S. own tanks to non DU armor version.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620556518059028480

Best alternative for F-16s for now.

 

[Oldman1]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620548935520747520

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620536119522922497

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620550480916271106

https://twitter.com/x/status/1620537551252762626

MQ 9 drones are also on the table...

A dollar???

 

[PakFactor]

You should use this wonderful American invention call 'the internet'...

You talked as if there are no precedents. There are, and to be fair, I will use the US as a negative example.

The Legality of Weapons Transfers to Ukraine Under International Law

Abstract This article analyses the legality of Western states providing weapons to Ukraine. It focuses on five areas of international law: (1) the jus ad bellum; (2) the law of neutrality; (3) international humanitarian law; (4) state responsibility for complicity in internationally wrongful...

brill.com

Providing weapons to Ukraine constitutes the use of force against Russia. In the Nicaragua case, the International Court of Justice (icj) specifically held that the United States’ (US) ‘arming and training’ of the contras ‘can certainly be said to involve the… use of force against Nicaragua’.12 Although the Court was addressing a non-international armed conflict, not an international one, ‘the logic of the Court’s holding arguably applies equally to iac, for if arming and training a non-State group fighting a State is a use of force… why would it not also be a use of force to provide arms to another State engaging in hostilities against that State?’​

Basically, the ICJ ruled that the US arming rebel groups -- the contras -- constitutes aggression against Nicaragua. But not only has the ICJ, but members of this forum opined that the US did committed 'aggression' against Nicaragua during the Cold War. So if the US was the aggressor against Nicaragua even though the US never sent troops, the US today is a belligerent against Russia by providing weapons to Ukraine.

Providing Ukraine with weapons thus cannot be considered an internationally wrongful act – a conclusion supported by Art. 21 of the Articles on State Responsibility, which provides that ‘[t]he wrongfulness of an act of a State is precluded if the act constitutes a lawful measure of self- defence taken in conformity with the Charter of the United Nations’.​

So even though the US and allies are technically 'belligerents' against Russia, their collective actions cannot be considered 'wrongful' because Russia was the first 'aggressor' of the war, and since Ukraine has the moral right to self defense, Ukraine also has the moral right to call for help, and anyone responding to that call realizes what they are entering into.

3.1 What Actions Violate the Law of Neutrality?​

Excellent question. Let us see...

The fundamental principle of the law of neutrality is that a neutral state is prohibited from providing any kind of support to a belligerent that is capable of influencing the outcome of the armed conflict.​

This principle is not new. It is actually common sense and has been so since warfare began who knows how long ago. If you claimed neutrality, you stay out of the fight.

Providing Ukraine with intelligence used to target Russian military objectives almost certainly violates the duty of impartiality.32 The US may well be engaged in such intelligence sharing, despite its insistence that it is ‘not providing the kind of real-time targeting’ that ‘steps over the line’ but is instead simply sharing information that helps Ukraine ‘inform and develop their military response to Russia’s invasion’.​

Currently, there are uncertainties as to whether intelligence constitutes DIRECT support or indirect support. That is why the words 'almost certainly' with emphasis on 'almost' because no one agreed -- so far -- as to the effectiveness of intelligence in the first place. Which is worse, scaring you to death or actually stab you to death? How long would it take to scare you to death? Scaring you to death actually take more resources and time. That was the Cold War. The US and allies essentially scared the Soviet Union to death.

What I gave you is an excellent article with analyses on the Russia-Ukraine War. The bottom line is that IF Iran sold Russia any form of weaponry, Iran is an 'aggressor' against Ukraine.

I can't believe we are still arguing the last few pages about who is and isn't an aggressor. At the end of the day, this shit doesn't matter, and let both sides continue killing.