Real-time update on coronavirus outbreak

[8888888888888]

The outbreak started in that city so it will get will the fallout, getting other cities affected just means the officials screwed up.

 

[HannibalBarca]

The outbreak started in that city so it will get will the fallout, getting other cities affected just means the officials screwed up.

Let's hope it doesn't end up being worse or similar than the epicenter.
But with More Towns/District being newly lockdown, like Zhangwan District in Shiyan today... ppl can only assume that things aren't going well.

 

[Viva_Viet]

Fears 'death crows' are feasting on coronavirus corpses as thousands swarm over Wuhan
In Chinese culture crows often symbolise bad luck and death, and eerie footage from inside Wuhan has sparked fears the birds are feasting on the corpses of people who died of coronavirus

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CHINA: FLOCK OF CROWS SWARMS ROAD IN XINING CITY


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Thousands of crows have been spotted flying above coronavirus-hit Wuhan, sparking online fears the birds are feasting on the corpses of the dead.

Footage believed to have been taken by Wuhan residents from inside the Chinese city appears to show a large group of crows eerily flying around the empty streets.

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The black birds can be seen swarming Wusi Road in the Chengxi District of Wuhan before resting on the road and pecking at the road beneath them.

In a separate clip, a massive swarm of the dark creatures have been snapped in Xining City, prompting Chinese social media users to speculate as to why they are in the province.

Some believe the crows are "looking for dead bodies" to eat while others have said the birds may be "feeding on particulates" from the "clouds of human remain ash falling to the ground."

There is no strong evidence to support the theory that crows have been looking for dead bodies. The fears have arisen partly because the crow is seen as a symbol of death in Chinese culture.

Some believe the crows are "looking for dead bodies" (Image: Twitter)
Wuhan resident filmed 'spitting on door handles' amid coronavirus outbreak
Sharing the footage to Twitter a user said: "Wuhan people noticed there have been lots of crows flying around the city, quite frightening.

"They are probably looking for dead bodies... looking to feed".

Another wildly claimed: "Crows are there to carry the souls of the dead to their final resting place".

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/fears-death-crows-feasting-bodies-21473926

 

[CHN Bamboo]

Study shows that 2019-ncov is more contagious than previously estimated. The fatality rate of elderly men is the highest.

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Epidemiological and clinical features of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak in China

Methods:

All 2019-nCoV infected patients reported to Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention up to 26 January 2020 were included for analysis.

Disease and death incidence were compared between demographic groups and baseline conditions.

Case fatality rates (CFRs) and the basic reproductive number R0 was estimated with a transmission model.

Results:

As of 26 January 2020, a total of 8866 patients including 4021 (45.35%) laboratory confirmed patients were reported from 30 provinces.

Nearly half of the patients were aged 50 years or older (47.7%).

There was a clear gender difference in incidence with 0.31 (male) vs. 0.27 (female) per 100,000 people (P<0.001).

The median incubation period was 4.75 (interquartile range: 3.0-7.2) days.

About 25.5%, 69.9% and 4.5% patients were diagnosed with severe pneumonia, mild pneumonia,
and non-pneumonia, respectively.

The overall CFR was estimated be 3.06% (95% CI 2.02-4.59%), but male patients, ≥60 years old, baseline diagnosis of severe pneumonia and delay in diagnosis were associated with substantially elevated CFR.

The R0 was estimated to be 3.77 (95% CI 3.51-4.05), ranging 2.23-4.82 in sensitivity analyses varying the incubation and infectious periods.

Conclusions:

Compared with SARS-CoV, 2019-nCoV had comparable transmissibility and lower CFR.

Our findings based on individual-level surveillance data emphasize the importance of early detection of elderly patients, particularly males, before symptoms progress to severe pneumonia.

Some discussion about R0:

Our estimate for R0, 3.77, is higher than recently published estimates.

An estimate of R0=2.0 based on 425 early reported patients is likely an underestimation given the serious delay in case confirmation during the early phase.

Another estimate of R0=2.7 was also based on surveillance data, but the methodology was different.

Our method considers right censoring of infections who might not have developed symptoms by the end of the study period, which is important given the ongoing increasing trend of the epidemic.

In addition, our analysis distinguished patients living and diagnosed within Wuhan from those Wuhan residents who were diagnosed outside Wuhan, a major source of exporting the disease to other parts of China.

The transmissibility of 2019-nCoV is comparable to that of SARS-CoV in the range of 2.9-3.324 and much higher than that of MERS-CoV.

Both 2019-nCoV and SARS-CoV resulted from occasional spill-over from non-specific intermediate host mammals, whereas MERS-CoV has a clear and constant animal reservoir.

CFR:

We estimated the overall adjusted CFR to be 3.06% for the 2019-nCoV, which is lower than those of SARS-CoV (9.2%) and MERS-CoV (34.4%).

The limited number of discharges so far has impeded the use of any advanced method such as the competing risk model for estimating CFR.

We restricted our analyses to patients with symptom onset at least 10 days before 26 January 2020 to reduce bias from unresolved final clinical outcomes.

However, another serious source of bias is under-detection and under-reporting of mild cases especially those without pneumonia (4.5% in our data), which in turn could have substantially inflated the overall CFR estimate.

Therefore, our estimate should be treated as an upper bound.

The shortened delay from symptom onset to diagnosis over the epidemic course might have helped reducing CFR.

Early diagnosis of elderly patients, especially males, with fever or respiratory symptoms before they progress to severe pneumonia is thus an important target for preventing fatal outcomes.

Full Text: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.10.20021675v1.full.pdf

wait what ? china have cure of the virus ? how ? and whats the cure ? do WHO knows about cure ? no one is sharing that whats the treatment is giving for cure.. can someone explain plz..

Everyone who makes a full recovery and is discharged from the hospital is said to have been 'cured'. At least this is always the case in Chinese news.

I guess they don't know the difference between cure and recovery.

 

[lcloo]

Update

 

[Glass]

Turkish Cargo airlifts medical aid to China’s Guangzhou
More than 1,100 people have lost their lives so far due to coronavirus outbreak in China
Izzet Taskiran |12.02.2020

FILE PHOTO


ISTANBUL

Turkish Cargo on Wednesday airlifted humanitarian and medical aid to the southern city of Guangzhou in China where at least 1,114 people have lost their lives so far due to the coronavirus outbreak, according to the figures announced by the country’s National Health Commission on Wednesday.

The aids include medical supplies such as medicine, medical mask, disposable gloves and disinfection bottles, according to a statement by the Turkish Airlines.

The virus is said to have been transmitted to humans from animals, particularly bats.

It has spread to more than 20 other countries including the U.S., U.K., Singapore, France, Russia, Spain, and India.

Many countries, including Turkey, have evacuated their citizens from the city of Wuhan – the epicenter of the virus – and other affected areas of China, placing them in quarantine medical monitoring.

The World Health Organization has declared the outbreak an international health emergency.

* Writing by Sibel Morrow

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkey/turkish-cargo-airlifts-medical-aid-to-china-s-guangzhou/1732406

Coronavirus: Death toll in China surges to 1,362
Officials fired in Hubei province as cases continue to rise
Riyaz ul Khaliq |13.02.2020

ANKARA

New cases and deaths in Hubei, the Chinese province where coronavirus emerged last December, has pushed the national death toll above 1,350.

According to the latest figures released by China's National Health Commission, as many as 242 deaths were recorded in Hubei on Wednesday.

The commission data, as reported by Chinese TV network CGTN, also showed a huge increase in the number of cases, with 14,840 people diagnosed with the virus. Total cases in the province have now reached 48,206, pushing the number to nearly 60,000 nationwide.

Of the total deaths so far -- 1,362 -- two have been recorded outside mainland China -- one in Hong Kong and one in the Philippines.

The surge in deaths and the huge jump in new cases have prompted political changes in China. The Communist Party of China (CPC) relieved Jiang Chaoliang, CPC secretary in Hubei, of his duties, and appointed Shanghai mayor Ying Yong in his place.

Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping ordered the deployment of 2,600 additional medical personnel from the armed forces to Wuhan. At least 1,400 of them will reach the city on Thursday, according to the Xinhua News Agency.

Some 4,000 members of China’s armed forces personnel are already in the town looking after the delivery of medical and other essential supplies to the people.

Two new hospitals have also been constructed in a record 10 days’ time to treat patients.

The virus is said to have been transmitted to humans from animals, particularly bats. In less than two months, it has spread to more than 20 other countries including the U.S., U.K., Singapore, France, Russia, Spain and India.

Many states, including Turkey, have evacuated their citizens from affected areas of China, placing them in isolated medical care.

The World Health Organization has declared the outbreak an international health emergency.

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/coronavirus-death-toll-in-china-surges-to-1-362/1732862

 

[Mista]

Let's hope it doesn't end up being worse or similar than the epicenter.
But with More Towns/District being newly lockdown, like Zhangwan District in Shiyan today... ppl can only assume that things aren't going well.

I think the Chinese government outside of Hubei is just overreacting.

 

[lcloo]

I think the Chinese government outside of Hubei is just overreacting.

Fake news, rumours, mis-information and being unfamiliar to new virus spread fears and panic, and thus people act irrationally.

Truth is in China the published annual mortality rate is 7.11 per thousand, or around 9,800,000 Chinese citizens die of various deceases and traffic accidents every year, or no less than 26,000 people died everyday mainly due to chronic deceases other than Covid-19.

 

[Mista]

Fake news, rumours, mis-information and being unfamiliar to new virus spread fears and panic, and thus people act irrationally.

Truth is in China the published annual mortality rate is 7.11 per thousand, or around 9,800,000 Chinese citizens die of various deceases and traffic accidents every year, or no less than 26,000 people died everyday mainly due to chronic deceases other than Covid-19.

Exactly, I wrote the exact same thing on another forum as well. 260K people die of traffic accident in China every year, or 700 people everyday. Should we start banning cars? Maybe this locking down of cities actually saved more people from traffic fatalities than the virus itself.

The cost of locking down of multiple cities outside of Hubei is too high and simply isn't sustainable to carry on for months. I think it's an overreaction due to previous underreaction. 矫枉过正。

It's not just monetary cost we're talking about but many other unknown social cost (including lives) as well, due to the butterfly effect.

 

[HannibalBarca]

Exactly, I wrote the exact same thing on another forum as well. 260K people die of traffic accident in China every year, or 700 people everyday. Should we start banning cars? Maybe this locking down of cities actually saved more people from traffic fatalities than the virus itself.

The cost of locking down of multiple cities outside of Hubei is too high and simply isn't sustainable to carry on for months. I think it's an overreaction due to previous underreaction. 矫枉过正。

It's not just monetary cost we're talking about but many other unknown social cost (including lives) as well, due to the butterfly effect.

You guys are basing your "Opinion" on a void "Data"...
You guys are behaving as if the Entire Pop was already tested for nCov and that ONLY those 60K are positive...
You guys are acknowledging Chinese data as "Truth"...

As we saw today... None of that is...

As for the usual... But the flu killed X thousands... Car accident killed Y thousands...
That is typical "Whataboutism"... And will stay as such...

nCov is "Novel"... That's the main "preoccupation"... That unknown is why authorities are taking it serious...
At least One thing I shall say about China... is they do understand it... and I applaud their "Reactions"... The majority of Other countries would not have done it... because of Saying similar to yours... "The flu killed more...so why wasting money/manpower to curb it..."

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https://twitter.com/x/status/1227951785073090566

https://twitter.com/x/status/1227947305157959681

https://twitter.com/x/status/1227944692328869888

https://twitter.com/x/status/1227937471549386758

https://twitter.com/x/status/1227816393745281024

 

[CHN Bamboo]

Health ministry reports first death related to COVID-19 in Japan
KYODO, STAFF REPORT

The health ministry announced Thursday that a Japanese woman in her 80s who tested positive for COVID-19 has died, the first death in Japan related to the novel coronavirus.

Heath minister Katsunobu Kato said the woman was confirmed to have been infected after death. Kato added that she has no relation to Hubei province in China where the virus outbreak originated.

According to NHK, the woman was diagnosed with pneumonia Feb. 1. She died Thursday after her condition had deteriorated Wednesday.

Other media reports say that the authorities are still investigating the circumstances of her death and the COVID-19 infection. She was not a passenger of the Diamond Princess cruise ship that is currently quarantined in Yokohama.

Source: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/02/13/national/science-health/health-ministry-reports-first-death-related-covid-19-japan/

 

[striver44]

The number of people starving inside the lockdown cities maybe outnumbered the one died of he virus.
Who knows.....

 

[Mista]

Apparently the blood of those who have recovered has been effective in fighting the virus among those in critical condition and their condition have improved significantly after 12-24 hours of treatment.

http://www.bjnews.com.cn/finance/2020/02/13/689058.html
http://www.chinanews.com/sh/2020/02-14/9090534.shtml

Blood donation request among those who recovered.

 

[KungFuLee]

Apparently the blood of those who have recovered has been effective in fighting the virus among those in critical condition and their condition have improved significantly after 12-24 hours of treatment.

http://www.bjnews.com.cn/finance/2020/02/13/689058.html
http://www.chinanews.com/sh/2020/02-14/9090534.shtml

Blood donation request among those who recovered.

Blood serum of the recovered patient can be used to manufacture vaccine, that is a known fact, it was called "convalescent plasma serums",. However, it take a lot of blood to make a tiny amount of vaccine which make it impossible or at least economically unfeasible to do so, they may do it for the top leader (Xi will get it for sure if such vaccine were made) but I doubt they will help other people, I mean other people that got sick.

And if they are at the late stage of development, they can't use them anyway.

 

[8888888888888]

View attachment 605533

Health ministry reports first death related to COVID-19 in Japan
KYODO, STAFF REPORT

The health ministry announced Thursday that a Japanese woman in her 80s who tested positive for COVID-19 has died, the first death in Japan related to the novel coronavirus.

Heath minister Katsunobu Kato said the woman was confirmed to have been infected after death. Kato added that she has no relation to Hubei province in China where the virus outbreak originated.

According to NHK, the woman was diagnosed with pneumonia Feb. 1. She died Thursday after her condition had deteriorated Wednesday.

Other media reports say that the authorities are still investigating the circumstances of her death and the COVID-19 infection. She was not a passenger of the Diamond Princess cruise ship that is currently quarantined in Yokohama.

Source: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/02/13/national/science-health/health-ministry-reports-first-death-related-covid-19-japan/

Must be from one of those Japanese that return from Wuhan earlier and than they self contained themselves at home.