PTI Electoral Position in Next Elections

[AlKardai]

I apologise for my ignorance, but why do the PTI have so few seats in the interior Sindh regions?

 

[Ssan]

There's no point in making government if 2/3 majority isn't there to amend the forking constitution necessary to correct the system.



So, Above is land of pure Patwaris.

Even if they get 2/3rds in assembly, they won’t have 2/3rds in senate. Can they make amendments via referendum?

 

[Oruc]

Even if they get 2/3rds in assembly, they won’t have 2/3rds in senate. Can they make amendments via referendum?

Thats easy. They can call a meeting of both houses together or they can wait tell next senate elections.

 

[AlKardai]

Punjab regions?

I edited my post

 

[prop558]

Bro PTI managed 155 seats in last elections without any allies. I don't think managing 172 without allies will be that hard for it.

PTI won 117 seats (out of 272) in Elections.... Later joined by 5 Independents who won elections against PTI.... 28 Women + 5 Minority on Reserved Seats .....

Means even if PTI retains all the current 117 seats, they will remain 19 to 20 seats short of simple majority and 65-66 seats short of Two-third Majority...

But as per my research, PTI may loose at least 12 to 15 seats from South Punjab's Seraiki Belt, due to the defection of leading elect-ables...

Most of them were won by PML-N. Someone had posted a very nice analysis where the margin of victory was less then 2K votes that PML-N won, there were atleast 10-15 constituencies. Top of my head i remember Sargodha

View attachment 838638
View attachment 838639

In Punjab & Karachi, Swing voter will go for PTI this time.... Means PTI may gain few more seats from PML-N and MQM in urban areas of Karachi and Punjab... While they will retain the current seats in KPK with the addition of at least 2-3 seats, one of them was ATIF KHAN's seat from MARDAN.

In KPK, it was rumored that Parvez Khattak was trying to make sure that ATIF KHAN should remain out of National Assembly... Atif Khan and Parvez Khattak are rivals within the KPK Chapter of PTI... Asad Qasar being the founding Member of PTI, was one of the 2 candidates for CM ship of KPK in 2013, when Imran Khan favored Parvez Khattak and Asad Qaisar was made Speaker KPK Assembly....

 

[prop558]

I apologise for my ignorance, but why do the PTI have so few seats in the interior Sindh regions?

Tough, but not impossible... Currently PTI has 14 seats (out of 61) from Sindh Province, among them 13 from Karachi and 1 from Interior Sindh (Jacobabad Mian Muhammad Somroo)........So If Imran Khan agrees to have electoral alliance with GDA, the alliance of PTI + GDA can manage to win 8 to 10 seats from Interior Sindh.... Which will strengthen their position in Sindh as well as in the Centre.... 8 to 10 seats means a lot...

 

[ghazi52]

.,..,.,.,

 

[prop558]

It seems people are assuming that elections will be fair. I certainly don't!

I'm pretty sure PDM traitors and establishment are working day and night to ensure these elections are ringing their favour.

They are have complete control over the judiciary, pemra and election commission etc.

Public Power can change things... Remember 2007 and 2008, when Establishment removed Judges and was in no mood to restore them... Even in 2008, President Asif Zardari (who was backed by USA & Gen. Keyani) was not at all in favor to restore the (then) controversial Judges, but they did.. Just because of the "so-called" Long March organized mainly by PML-N, PTI and JI ...

 

[ghazi52]

,.,.,.,.,.

 

[Musafir117]

Yet a conspiracy and rumors in capital and neighbor city…….. PMNL PPP and allies joined forces for next elections whenever it’s happened, next elections isn’t favoring PTI in any type of form. Lucky if grabbed 50 seats over all Pakistan. The way they treated their ex Allies no one even think to re joined them again.
Am also seeing another PTI emerged before next elections PTI abcd, that’s how Pak politics controlled and benefit “ some “
Well, good luck! hope and wish for best.

 

[RealNapster]

In KPK, it was rumored that Parvez Khattak was trying to make sure that ATIF KHAN should remain out of National Assembly... Atif Khan and Parvez Khattak are rivals within the KPK Chapter of PTI... Asad Qasar being the founding Member of PTI, was one of the 2 candidates for CM ship of KPK in 2013, when Imran Khan favored Parvez Khattak and Asad Qaisar was made Speaker KPK Assembly

He isn't against Atif being part of PTI but he can't let ATIF become strong enough to he a CM. Because his constituency is very close (actually bordering) to Pervaiz khattak ones. And he can't have a strong party member near him this threatens his calibre and position ( if IK have replacement then PK is always in danger).

PK want future for his kids in KP politics. He can't afford competition

 

[Maula Jatt]

He isn't against Atif being part of PTI but he can't let ATIF become strong enough to he a CM. Because his constituency is very close (actually bordering) to Pervaiz khattak ones. And he can't have a strong party member near him this threatens his calibre and position ( if IK have replacement then PK is always in danger).

PK want future for his kids in KP politics. He can't afford competition

Is the CM mehmood really an incompetent cm compared to khattak or it's exadurations?
Cause khatak gave 2/3rd majority but mehmoods reputation, stature ain't that of khattak

 

[RealNapster]

Is the CM mehmood really an incompetent baboon compared to khattak or it's exadurations?
Cause khatak gave 2/3rd majority but mehmoods reputation, stature ain't that of khattak

No. He is a good CM. You should know that PK came into office when things were really bad. When everything is really really bad. Even a small positive thing gives a huge impact.

Another thing which you should also add to the equation is IK's committments. Before 2018 he was free and vaila... He had his full attention towards KP. Post 2018 we lost that. You can't implement someone's vision when he is not around and not on watch.

 

[SaadH]

My prediction is PTI will not win more than 35 seats in the next election and those will mostly come from KPK and northern Punjab. PTI will be extremely lucky if it wins more that 1 or 2 seats from Karachi, none from Central Punjab and maybe a few from Southern Punjab.

PPP in rural and MQM in urban will be back. Balochistan is irrelevant. PML will again win a clear majority and any remaining numbers will be rounded up Bajwa's henchmen.

All in all a repeat of 2013...and we will watch this electoral engineer live on TV and nothing will be done to stop it....

I have said it before and I will say it again. One of Imran Khans biggest blunders was giving Bajwa an extension. How could he put his trust in someone hand selected by Don Nawaz Sharif himself?

Who knows, maybe he didn't have a choice in the matter just like when he wasn't given the choice to dismiss the No Confidence Vote, similarly he was told to extend or be ready to step down under Martial law.

 

[teX]

I was pissed why buzdar going around with IK. But this video clears much of the stuff why he was there as CM...