Pakistan Is the Crisis Flying Under the Radar - Foreign Policy

[tarrar]

The last paragraph is alarming. Anything bad can happen to Pakistan because ganja family are doing whatever they can to save their corruption & have no idea what changes have come in the world today, also how the world is acting aggressively.

It is also important to note that India is lobbying heavily against Pakistan with massive lies against Pakistan & in return nothing has been done by ganja league to tackle them down.

In the end, the situation is bad inside Pakistan & it is thanks to ganja league, gadari party & other supporters of treacherous DEMOCRAZY.

 

[Max Pain]

http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/01/24...s-flying-under-the-radar-trump-nukes-taliban/

While under a reasonable level of military security at the moment, the nuclear weapons represent the world’s least-stable nuclear capability — with the possible exception of North Korea.

IAEA lauds Pakistan's National Centre of Excellence for its contribution to Nuclear Security


https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/pakistans-national-centre-of-excellence-contributes-to-sustaining-nuclear-security

[URL='http://www.dawn.com/news/1209311/iaea-praises-pakistans-nuclear-security-record']IAEA praises Pakistan's nuclear security record
http://www.dawn.com/news/1209311
[/URL]

 

[Sunan]

Well in a bid of destabalizing Pakistan USA will have a good partner like imran khan in Pakistan.

 

[Pyara9]

EeRrr ok so here's the thing.. Does anyone know the Ingredients for a world super power?

1)Military 10x better then anyone else
2) Great economy
3) Great trade n partnership with immediate neighbors.

Trump is just about to flush all that in the drain! his beef with Mexico n Canada.. So that super power is done!
We just happen to be the lovely neighbors of next n upcoming one. Yay!
They can't touch us!

 

[sady]

Man proposes, GOD disposes. Did McNamara leave any swans un-roasted?!!?!

Without doubt. What if US were able to succeed in Afghanistan as in Iraq? We Pakistanis would have been in a lot shittier place! Allah is the best Planner!

 

[Taimoor Khan]

Pathetic state of affairs. Why its always the enemies of Pakistan bringing up their ideas to destabilize Pakistan and harm it. Why we always sit on our arse and be reactive to every action they take? We need to create our own black Swans in enemy nation to further our agenda and perception. We need to keep them on wrong footing always and be proactive.

 

[maximuswarrior]

So thoughts are becoming words and it is getting out of mind or these are voices in head. Destabilizing Pakistan............. No sane mind would talk but only our neighbor and it's investment in such media person.

There are ways to move along on equal and mutual understanding/benefits for both nations but one cannot be a Police here to decide our future and impose the orders.

However, reading the whole article and last part suggests that we will be facing a lot of funding in Karachi to Baluchistan in future by many forces against us, only to ignite the fire. On there hand, we have a good grip on the matters that one tried to highlight about civilian propaganda and chaos through assets.

The irony is that the author suggests to have a plan for Pakistan, but for us this is a stark warning that we need to be cautious as ever. Americans aren't trustworthy and under Trump they have become an utter mess.

Pakistan needs to keep the US at an arms length.

This is a rubbish articles and presents the things happening in Pakistan in a distorted way.

What they call as a "crisis below the radar" is the distorted image of current and ongoing battle in Pakistan against corruption - which includes Panama case. They know that things will not stop here and the tsunami will engulf others as well (Zardari and co).

The best bet these intelligence have ever had, in any country, has always been to keep the corrupt / puppet rulers in power who are dissociated with their own people. In this way these rulers are dependent on CIA, Mossad etc.

If a true power, with the force of people's mandate, comes into power, then these agencies loose their grip.

This is the gripe they have and this is why they are distorting the events.

Nothing big is cooking and nothing big (bad for Pakistan) is about to happen - inshaALLAH.

2017 is the year of Pakistan. We will have more good news - inshaALLAH after Baber-3, Ababeel-1 and Panama case.

What you are reading in the above article is American frustration against Pakistan. It has gradually been building in previous years. They have given it their best shot and they have failed. From the occupation in Afghanistan aimed at Pakistan to economic sanctions and political blackmail. You name it. They have tried it all. They have tried to bully Pakistan into submission. They have not been able to achieve their mischievous goals.

They would have loved to balkanise Pakistan along ethnic and religious lines. They would have loved to create proxies in various provinces who ideally wouldn't get along and hate each others guts, but only serve US interests. Call it another Iraq. They would have loved to denuclearize Pakistan and take away its strength. They would have preferred to isolate Pakistan and force it to obey US/Indian demands. They would have loved to break the China Pakistan nexus and CPEC in the process.

They have utterly failed and now they are desperate. They would like to chalk up another plan to achieve their desired goals against Pakistan, but they fully comprehend the challenge now. It is a formidable challenge and the chances of success against Pakistan are minimal. Not only has Pakistan strengthened its military capability throughout the years, but with CPEC and more economic cooperation with China it has created new economic opportunities. This irks our enemies because Pakistan isn't isolated nor at the mercy of a single power. It irks them so much, that they are clueless and befuddled how to tackle Pakistan.

 

[IceCold]

Pakistan needs to keep the US at an arms length.

Not just at arms length but also increase our strategic reach just in case push comes to shove.
US will never leave Pakistan alone, its not in their blood to leave others and let them live in peace. Look at the disasters they have created all around the world. Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria to name the few. But that doesnt fill their appetite for creating more disaster and Pakistan fits the bill just fine.
@The Deterrent Sir i asked you even if we dont consider US as a foe they certainly consider us one and articles like these just further reinforce this POV. Now this begs the question should we still be afraid of what an Ohio class sub can do in return or rather build our own capability to an extent which provides us with enough deterrent even against the likes of US?

 

[The Eagle]

Aren't such voices the likes of the US military establishment?

The irony is that the author suggests to have a plan for Pakistan, but for us this is a stark warning that we need to be cautious as ever. Americans aren't trustworthy and under Trump they have become an utter mess.

Pakistan needs to keep the US at an arms length.

These are not new, to be frankly. There was no love form the day one but needs alone and have a pawn on disposal of the one. Killing NS, or any other political personality is not going to destabilize Pakistan as such because people have difference of political choice and support to different celeb hence, effect wouldn't be much damaging like we saw at Bibi's time. However, it will be planned as they did in past from time to time like what, economical destabilization can only be done through huge sanctions and what if they have been trying to provoke Military so may take over and world hits us with sanctions due to dictatorship. On the same time, tension created by India on border and all war monger, US/EU would be beating the drum of fearing the war and Nuke thing, would be propagating at large against possibilities of Nuke Attack and a fake Pakistani extremism leadership portray so everyone will jump in.

US might push India to do so and which is more possible by considering the daily threats, routine war mongering and provoking as well as US-India signing more & more pacts LEMOA etc and IMO, people like NaMO can fell for the same easily so we may expect a huge false flag very soon with plethora of blames. The main reason for all the destabilization drama from long time is only subject to our Nuclear Weapons/power and the day we lost, they wouldn't even look at us for any other thing and we are not going to compromise the same at all. US is not going to come here full offensive like what the lot (US, NATO, West) did in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya etc however, as I said, can utilize the best assets in shape of political gangs from Karachi to everywhere in Pakistan. There was a leak Wire sent by US Embassy Official from Pakistan to DC in which it was concluded as ANP, MQM-A, MQM-H, Liyari Gang War (PPPP), Jiye Sindh and many other ethnic groups will always be available for US disposal and can utilized as when needed. Speaks volume that how things works.

There are plans of enemy and there are plans of almighty ALLAH but in the end, happens only what ALLAH plans.

 

[IceCold]

These are not new, to be frankly. There was no love form the day one but needs alone and have a pawn on disposal of the one. Killing NS, or any other political personality is not going to destabilize Pakistan as such because people have difference of political choice and support to different celeb hence, effect wouldn't be much damaging like we saw at Bibi's time. However, it will be planned as they did in past from time to time like what, economical destabilization can only be done through huge sanctions and what if they have been trying to provoke Military so may take over and world hits us with sanctions due to dictatorship. On the same time, tension created by India on border and all war monger, US/EU would be beating the drum of fearing the war and Nuke thing, would be propagating at large against possibilities of Nuke Attack and a fake Pakistani extremism leadership portray so everyone will jump in.

US might push India to do so and which is more possible by considering the daily threats, routine war mongering and provoking as well as US-India signing more & more pacts LEMOA etc and IMO, people like NaMO can fell for the same easily so we may expect a huge false flag very soon with plethora of blames. The main reason for all the destabilization drama from long time is only subject to our Nuclear Weapons/power and the day we lost, they wouldn't even look at us for any other thing and we are not going to compromise the same at all. US is not going to come here full offensive like what the lot (US, NATO, West) did in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya etc however, as I said, can utilize the best assets in shape of political gangs from Karachi to everywhere in Pakistan. There was a leak Wire sent by US Embassy Official from Pakistan to DC in which it was concluded as ANP, MQM-A, MQM-H, Liyari Gang War (PPPP), Jiye Sindh and many other ethnic groups will always be available for US disposal and can utilized as when needed. Speaks volume that how things works.

There are plans of enemy and there are plans of almighty ALLAH but in the end, happens only what ALLAH plans.

Very well put. I just wonder why our strategic planners not see this looming threat and in fact still are hell bent in considering US an ally rather than a foe. I mean when the writing is on the wall for a long long time why do we still chose to be naive and not do something to counter the threat whereas we should had done this when US threaten to bomb us back to stone age if we did not bent to their wishes. Our ill perceived notion of only considering India a threat will make us pay dearly in the future.

 

[ito]

The only thing that can bring stability in Pakistan is talks with India, especially on Kashmir. But I doubt talks are going to happen anytime soon. So Pakistan has to think what can it do to bring India to tables. And I also see Pakistan has no strategy to bring India to tables. If the enmity with India goes this way for another 2 or 3 decades more, then there is a possibility of a black swan event happening in Pakistan.

 

[maximuswarrior]

Very well put. I just wonder why our strategic planners not see this looming threat and in fact still are hell bent in considering US an ally rather than a foe. I mean when the writing is on the wall for a long long time why do we still chose to be naive and not do something to counter the threat whereas we should had done this when US threaten to bomb us back to stone age if we did not bent to their wishes. Our ill perceived notion of only considering India a threat will make us pay dearly in the future.

The Americans have been high on their super power status for a very long time now. They thought to have the luxury of openly supporting and arming rebel/ethnic groups in various regions which would serve their interests. They were sorely wrong and it has backfired miserably. From ISIS to so many other groups have emerged from disastrous US policies. Groups which have come back to haunt them. Their arrogance has been shattered to bits and pieces.

Pakistan is a different case all together. Like I said, they have tried their best to destabilize Pakistan, but they have not succeeded. The Pakistani army has eventually destroyed their puppets during Zarb-e-Azb. Pakistan is in my opinion beyond US reach. The US can fume from a safe distance, but that is all they can do.

Trump has promised an isolationist policy. There is a reason why the warmongering elite in the US is up in arms against Trump. Just have a look at Trump's direct confrontation with the CIA. As long as Trump keeps up his isolationist policy China and Pakistan will be fine. The moment Trump is forced to ditch his isolationist policy and confront the traditonal foes such as Iran, Pakistan, China etc. we are going to witness something spectacular.

 

[Bossman]

I have made a career dealing with Black Swan events. One thing you learn early is that you don't loose sleep over Black Swan or Tail Risk events until the probability of those events increases significantly but by then they are not Black Swan by defination. The second thing is that this author doesn't know hoot about what he is talking about. He is simply using buzzwords without understanding the context. Integrating Black Swan events is fundamental to any decent military, domestic/foreign policy planning. For example war is a Black Swan event and militaries are always planning, preparing and training for war or Black Swan events. Nuclear war is another example of a Black Swan event and all militaries run scenarios including our own on how to deal with it. I am sure the US and other major countries have run scenarios about collapse of Pakistan. Some of the scenarios that are run are almost hilarious for example Canada invading the US but their is a serious side which might not be obvious.

Having said this I think the probability of a conflict in the subcontinent has increased significantly. The reason has to do more with Modi's psychology than anything else.

 

[maximuswarrior]

Developing a package of counterterrorism incentives for Pakistan that requires a quid pro quo of their reducing and eventually dropping support for insurgents within Afghanistan is key.

All of this is only possible if the US persuades India to abandon its Afghan terror consulate factories which churn out suicide attackers against Pakistan. We have lost countless innocent civilians as a result of Indian sponsored terror across the border. The good/bad militant narrative won't cut it anymore. We want to see tangible results as far Indian meddling across the border is concerned. All progress depends on Indian dismantling of terror factories in Afghanistan.

 

[Little Falcon]

Normal Reaction when prediction fails! you have to change whole strategy which may take years and this article shows that frustration. They predicted Pakistan wouldn't exist by 2015 but we survived and developing (improving).