Papa Dragon
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In my opinion should the SU-57 ever go into full rate production (Equipped with the proper hardware such as engines etc) this would be a dogfight for the ages.
It will be the same type of fight you can expect between Rocky Balboa and Ivan Drago - the best from two sides with highly different philosophies:
First the F-22:
The greater power the F-22 currently has, combined with its unbeaten stealth, allows it to engage at distance and negate the discernible advantage the SU-57 would have in a fight - it’s thrust vectoring engines - by simply outclimbing and powering away from combat distance with the SU.
If and when the SU-57 enters production with proper engines and equipment however, the Russians will have a fighter on par with and in some regards, better than the best fighter ever created by the U.S.
And should these fighters engage I have no doubt that it would be a dogfight for the ages.
It will be the same type of fight you can expect between Rocky Balboa and Ivan Drago - the best from two sides with highly different philosophies:
- The U.S. with pure emphasis on stealth and maneuverability with less emphasis on speed, allowing it to focus on striking first and winning a dogfight if necessary.
- Russia with pure emphasis on speed and maneuverability with less emphasis on stealth, allowing it to close quickly through minimal front facing stealth and targeting while allowing it to go all-out in a dogfight and win.
First the F-22:
- F-22 Advantages:
- In general, a sleeker radar signature and better stealth at all angles. This allows the F-22 general control of how to engage and start the fight.
- Its engines are (currently) more powerful, and utilize two-dimensional thrust vectoring and power up to 37–39,000 lbs each
- Conclusion: the F-22 is currently better than the SU-57 in almost every category regarding kinematics. In a turning dogfight, where the SU’s 3D thrust vectoring could come into play, the F-22 would avoid this and out power/climb the SU-57 to escape and re-engage within its weapons envelope, controlling the engagement.
- F-22 Armament:
- AN/APG-77 Radar
- Aim-120 AMRAAM active radar guided medium range air-to-air missile with a range of 111 miles.
- Aim-9 Sidewinder Infrared homing, semi active radar homing missile with 22 mile range
- Conclusion: The advanced trackers of the missiles increase the chances of a hit. The F-22 will need to approach and dictate the battle without being detected by the SU-57. This means that the F-22 needs to enter its weapons’s no escape zone before launching.
- F-22 Strategy: Act like a sniper; lock on target and engage quickly before they can retaliate.
- The less-stealthy design of the SU-57 means that it should show up on radar first in a head on approach and even earlier if approached from the sides and back. The F-22 will then utilize the APG-77’s radar long-range tracking and identification advantage to its limit, identifying and striking at the SU in the AIM 120 and AIM 9’s no escape zone before the SU knows it’s been targeted. Should the there be a dogfight, the F-22 needs to use its power and stealth to outaccelerate and out range the SU and avoid potential weapons locks. It would then need to break line of sight to lose the SU so that it can re-engage within its weapons’s optimum ranges.
- SU-57 Advantages:
- 3D-thrust vectoring
- The vaunted F-22 has had 2D-thrust vectoring for over 20 years. This has been a sore sport and veritable bullseye to hit in terms of development for at least a generation. Frankly I’m surprised it hasn’t happened sooner. 3D-thrust vectoring in the SU gives a slight edge in low speed maneuverability.
- Engines (In the future)
- The Izdeliye-30, topping out at almost 40,000 lbs of thrust will actually outpower the current engines in the F-22. However these engines will not be implemented until 2020 at the earliest.
- 101ks Atoll Infrared Search and Track (IRST)
- No matter how advanced a target’s stealth capabilities are, they cannot hide their heat signature. Simply flying causes air friction, creating a heat differential against the atmosphere. Engine exhaust is even more obvious to detect. The system's problem is the limited search angle to directly in front and slightly to the side hinder the system’s ability to spot enemies, and limited range of 50 miles can put the SU within the ranges of the F-22’s weapons,
- Conclusion: A slight advantage in low speed maneuverability means that the SU NEEDS to get into a turning fight if it wants to survive the F-22’s initial onslaught. This will change should the Izdeliye engines which are more powerful than the F-22’s engines be implemented. IRST may give the SU-57 an advantage in finding the F-22, but that also assumes that the F-22 is somewhere in front of the SU.
- 3D-thrust vectoring
- SU-57 Armament
- Radar: Newly developed N036 Byelka. AESA capable and utilizes Xband in front and Lband on the side for Friend-or-Foe recognition. L band is lower frequency radar that could potentially detect the position of the F-22 at a distance, but low observation procedures need to be utilized otherwise the F-22 could detect the use of the low band radar and get a general position of the SU.
- Conclusion: Considering the APG-77 uses a nearly identical number (1910 for the Byelka vs 1956 vs the AN/APG-77) of the same GaAs transmitters as the Byelka, the performance per transmitters is expected to be similar. I would assume the detection range will be similar if not not slightly less than the AN/APG-77 and 77 V(1) at this point,
- R-77 Inertial guided, terminal active radar homing missile with 119 mile range.
- The advantage I see in initial INS guidance are that it cannot be countered with traditional electronic warfare. However predictive algorithmic calculations would have to be very, very, good for INS to predict the location of a plane moving at unpredictable dogfight speeds just before activating infrared terminal guidance.
- R-73m Infrared homing missile with a 25 mile range
- Conclusion: Slight advantage in range for the Russian weapons, but negated due to all-aspect stealth of F-22. The guidance systems of the American systems are more advanced as well, limiting the effective range of the SU’s weapons in comparison.
- Radar: Newly developed N036 Byelka. AESA capable and utilizes Xband in front and Lband on the side for Friend-or-Foe recognition. L band is lower frequency radar that could potentially detect the position of the F-22 at a distance, but low observation procedures need to be utilized otherwise the F-22 could detect the use of the low band radar and get a general position of the SU.
- SU-57 Strategy: Essentially act like a boxing “In-fighter”; get in quick and do the damage.
- The SU-57 needs to figure out ASAP where the F-22 is, as in all likelihood, the F-22 will see it first. The front forward stealth the SU has means it needs to face the F-22 ASAP also to avoid being easily targeted. From there the SU will need to close the gap as quickly as possible to have the American fighter register on radar and allow the SU-57 engage its own weapons since it is engaging a fighter with better radar evasion. Once close in the SU NEEDS TO GET IN A DOGFIGHT. This allows it to take advantage of its maneuverability. Within 50 miles of the F-22, the SU can also utilize its IRST to find and point its radar at the F-22 to maximize its chance of lock-on. Once the Izdeliye engines are implemented, the SU can take further advantage of this strategy and even strike and dis-engage at will due to the newer engine’s greater power.
- Conclusion:
The greater power the F-22 currently has, combined with its unbeaten stealth, allows it to engage at distance and negate the discernible advantage the SU-57 would have in a fight - it’s thrust vectoring engines - by simply outclimbing and powering away from combat distance with the SU.
If and when the SU-57 enters production with proper engines and equipment however, the Russians will have a fighter on par with and in some regards, better than the best fighter ever created by the U.S.
And should these fighters engage I have no doubt that it would be a dogfight for the ages.