US policies alienating Pakistan, warn scholars
By Anwar Iqbal
Monday, 20 Apr, 2009 | 02:37 AM PST |
WASHINGTON: The United States has alienated Pakistan by demanding that they divert troops from the Indian border to fight the Taliban, says former US ambassador to Islamabad Robert Oakley.
Weve alienated them tremendously. Whether we agree or not, the Pakistanis consider India to be the biggest threat to their security, Oakley told a US think-tank, the Atlantic Council.
Oakley, who served in Islamabad from 1988 to 92, also criticised the restrictions proposed in a congressional bill on US aid to Pakistan.
What were calling benchmarks remind them very much of the sanctions they had hanging over their heads for so many years, he said.
Ahmed Rashid, a leading Pakistani journalist and Taliban expert, said that the United States would do well to set more general parameters for aid.
Rashid told another US think-tank, the Jamestown Foundation, that he was absolutely shocked by the conditions in drafts of the US congressional aid bill to his country.
No political government can accept a bill like this in Pakistan, even if it is on its knees -- which it is, economically speaking, he said.
The proposed restrictions require Pakistan to improve its relations with India, whether New Delhi reciprocates those efforts or not. Pakistan also needs to undertake not to support any person or group involved in activities meant to hurt India.
Another proposed requirement will allow US investigators access to individuals suspected of engaging in nuclear proliferation, such as Dr AQ Khan.
Oakley, in his interview to the Atlantic Council, also criticised the US drone attacks inside Pakistan.
The US, he said, needed to ask itself: Are we creating more terrorists than were killing? And the drone attacks, he said, were probably creating more terrorists.
The drones may be killing a lot of Taliban and al Qaeda but theyre alienating the tribesmen we need to win the war, he said.
Weve pushed the Pakistani army to fight our war and created a huge backlash. Theyre not trained or equipped for counterterrorism and theyre getting killed and killing the wrong people, essentially fighting their own.
Oakley said that right now, the Pakistani military had control over their nukes. But, if the Islamists gain ground, who knows whats going to happen? he asked.
Oakley was also unhappy with the current Pakistani leadership, particularly the president. They were both incompetent and corrupt and had no clue on the economic side of things.
Oakley said that unless the US contained the problem in Pakistan, we dont have any chance in Afghanistan.
At the Jamestown Foundation, analyst Shuja Nawaz said the Obama team did not make a positive impression during their last two visits to Islamabad.
This was probably the worst ever visit by an American team to South Asia in history, said Nawaz, director of the South Asia Center at the Washington-based Atlantic Council. It was a complete disaster.
If this is how the Obama planned to win friends, I just wonder how you are going to create enemies, he said.
Nawaz faulted US special envoy Richard Holbrooke and Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff Mike Mullen for publicly demanding that Pakistans civilian President Asif Ali Zardari rein in elements of the intelligence service believed to support extremists.
Stephen P. Cohen, an expert on South Asia at the Brookings Institution, said that the United States has made excessive demands of a weak Pakistani leadership -- from fighting extremists to safeguarding its nuclear program to treating women better and reforming its economy.
If we think that they can do everything, they will wind up doing nothing well.
At a separate seminar at the Woodrow Wilson Centre for Scholars, Khalid Aziz, a former chief secretary of NWFP who heads the Regional Institute of Policy Research, screened Cries of Anguish, a short documentary about Fata.
The film recounted the many unsuccessful foreign attempts to conquer the region. It also focused on the tribal society of Fatas 3.5 million ethnic Pashtuns.
A major theme of the documentary was Fatas lack of development, which the films commentators attributed to the regions inaccessibility but also to a lack of funds from Islamabad.
While development aid has increased in recent years, this assistance was now threatened by the rapid spread of extremism.
The documentary depicted Fatas Pashtuns as demoralized, their hopes shattered for reasons beyond their control and their lives threatened by a war not of their own asking.
After the film, Aziz addressed what he described as the burning issue: How to pacify the region.
He noted that, historically, scorched earth campaigns and other strictly military approaches had failed. More indirect political approaches, however, had succeeded.
Aziz said that current pacification policies, such as the use of unmanned US drones, had increased radicalization not just in FATA but across all of Pakistan.
Aziz offered a range of solutions: Strong US rhetoric should be tempered, while better trust should be promoted between the American and Pakistani militaries. Tight border controls should be introduced. Counterinsurgency methods should be better implemented. Pakistani institutions should be strengthened.
And as for the drones, Aziz acknowledged their effectiveness and value. He championed their continued use -- though under a Pakistani flag.
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