Hi dash,
Now that there is one serious post in this thread again, we can have some serious discussion.
Thank you.
I am trying to analyse the entire sceenario, hope it sheds some light.
But, selling AESA radars small enough for the fighters is definately a big deal! Apart from the US and Israel nobody can claim a mature fighter AESA radar yet .(the french are close with the RBE, though)
That is true, however Israelis still havent dosclosed the system level details for their miniaturized AESA so the capabilities are debatable. I am not talking about Greenpine radar or the swordfish here as they are capable enough. But I will say Israeli radars will be equally good and 2052 is said to have a track ability for 64 targets simultaneously, dont know how far this is true.
Correct, the problem is with the USofA and not Israel. Though I do not think that they will sell any tech without the american blessings.
True, and they did the same thing when India actually was denied Arrow 2 system as the US vetoed it, but never mind they actually gave a reason.....it will violate MTCR.
But things are different in case of AESA. 2 Reasons.
1. Denying AESA to India will actually not harm their sales to India as its not a fighter aircraft but a component, Critical but countries can operate their aircrafts without it. So I as a country will say FO and will approach AESA from France. Will they go to France then?, no France will say FO. Simple. so It doesnt make sense.
2. It makes sense for stopping AESA for Gripen coz Gripen is a serious contender to many of their aircrafts which will damage their sale. All of their approved export aircraft bargain on AESA and if Gripen doesnt have it then it makes a strong pitch for US aircrafts.
3. So if US downplays this saying they dont want US critical techs to go elsewhere....I will refer to point No 1. Now if I refer to point no 1 then Israel will say boss my sales are getting damaged coz India is getting AESA from France and Russia. Doest make business sense. With Obama govt I will say, it matters a lot.
4. We never mentioned about getting TOT on that MMR that has Israeli procesor, so its just an end level user. As we are working on our own processors. So I dont see US telling Israel not to sale AESA to India as we will never ask for TOT there,
coz we will ask for TOT on US AESA when they sale their jets if their jet wins, where will they hide?, I dont know.
If US had to block techs to India, then they wouldnt have allowed Israel to be the 2nd largest arms providor in India, where they struggle to get a pie. We are currently in a position to bargain and kick anyone (sad, but thats the way national interests work).
and as far as this goes....
India's home-grown AESA radar effort will soon finalise a developent partner, reports The Indian Express. According to the report, a progressive downselect since December -- when the DRDO first invited bids -- has come down to Israel's Elta and EADS Defence & Security, following the elimination of Selex, Phazotron and Thales. A recent Livefist post on the Tejas AESA is here. Oh, and by the way, I hear the LCA AESA is being developed under something called "Project Uttam".
whoever wins the bid is fine. But if ELTA wins this then they have to ask US if they can allow the tech again..sad
...and if US stops them then, things can turn ugly, both with US and Israel, but they are already in the competition, so I know ELTA knows what they are doing.