Stryker1982
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What are the odds this guy getting stabbed right before the EU ultimatum to Iran to take the deal by a guy that is very pro-hezbollah.
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First on CNN: Russians have begun training on Iranian drones, US believes
The US believes Russian officials have begun training on drones in Iran over the last several weeks, the latest sign that Russia intends to purchase the systems as the war in Ukraine continues.amp.cnn.com
The west underestimated the Iranian war machine and military planning.
They overestimated the Russian war machine and military planning.
Difference is Iran stepped up and won when it counted in Syria with the chips stacked against it.
Russia waited and waited and then finally made its move to a Ukraine that was mobilized. After the color revolution, Russia should have moved in. At the time Ukraine military was basically non existent and in shambles due to purges and the revolution. Hence why they did so poorly in the East before Putin listened to the German Dyke Merkel and agreed to a peace deal.
I remember vividly reading an military article when Russia took control of Crimea and everyone was afraid of Russia and the “little green men”. The article accurately predicted the Russian underperformance ahead of time. It basically said Russian military was a mirage. Outside of spetnaz and a few niche special forces groups ( ex VDV) the average Russian officer and infantry troop was wholly undertrained vs their western counterpart.
Now it was easy at the time to dismiss the article as western propaganda when Russia was coming off Georgia war, Crimea capture, and smacking around Ukraine in eastern part of the country. But it was a very accurate foreshadowing.
Soviet doctrine relies on tactical nukes to level the playing field against the West. It realizes it’s a quantity vs quality military and that the West has superiority in terms of arm tech. Even Putin himself said that the gap between NATO and Russia is huge and they are clear about that. Then he added nuclear war is the response to protect Russia against this gap. Tactical nuke strikes on staging areas and airbases/barracks would largely break up large deployments and negate Western air advantage and level the playing field.
The only problem here is if you face an opponent that is stronger than Georgia, but not an all out war opponent like NATO or USA. This is what Ukraine was. Then your strategy is half baked because you unable to steam roll your opponent and you can’t use nukes either.
General mobilizations are tough to break thru. Just ask Saddam. He had one of the strongest military in the world and couldn’t break thru against volunteers and a just born IRGC.
Russia should have either went all in back in 2014 or should have just let it slide and hoped that a pro-russian candidate won the next election. He could have put Yanukovych as a figurehead and tried to take eastern Ukraine, as back then eastern Ukrainians were still pro-Russia (Basically the same thing Saudi did with Abdorabbi Mansour), while claiming to support the "legitimate" government of Ukraine.Yes the Russians should have moved in right after the Victoria Nuland backed color revolution BUT I'm pretty sure that the Olympics were ongoing at the time and Putin didn't want to ruin Russia's image. Also back then Russia was not economically ready. Just look at what even minor sanctions did to Russia's economy. After that Putin saved every penny, made contingency plans and as we saw the sanctions against Russia have largely backfired. In Germany I've heard that the government is asking people to take 1 minute showers where they only wash their arm pits and genitals. Russia now has enough reserves that they have decided to basically cut off gas supplies to Europe starting a few weeks ago. If this ends up being a gold winter, the Europeans will freeze.
Russia should have either went all in back in 2014 or should have just let it slide and hoped that a pro-russian candidate won the next election. He could have put Yanukovych as a figurehead and tried to take eastern Ukraine, as back then eastern Ukrainians were still pro-Russia (Basically the same thing Saudi did with Abdorabbi Mansour), while claiming to support the "legitimate" government of Ukraine.
Even if he did nothing he would at least keep the sympathy of half of Ukrainians.
But he chose the worst options. He outright annexed Crimea, and by doing so lost the support of east Ukrainians who after all had their national pride. Then he waited 8 complete years while propaganda eroded the remaining support for Russia and the west armed the Ukrainian armed forces. And in the end he did an unprovoked invasion, which ended up botched. Contrary to what many think, Putin is no master strategist. In the 2000s he repeatedly sold out Iran thinking that the west would allow Russia to be an equal partner. That didn't work out and Russia was forced to eventually ally with Iran, only this time Iran was much weaker because of sanctions Russia agreed to, and they also missed out on the billions of dollars of arms they could have sold to Iran.
The only reason Putin is seen as "competent" is because he is compared to Yeltsin and Gorbachev.
This is fluff. Even if true, SA doesn’t have the deep bench required to run with info. It’s akin to blasting heavy metal to a deaf person.Remember this?:
U.S. shared nuclear power info with Saudi Arabia after Khashoggi killed
The Trump administration granted two authorizations to U.S. companies to share sensitive nuclear power information with Saudi Arabia shortly after the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in October, a U.S. senator who saw the approvals said on Tuesday.www.reuters.com
Whistleblowers sounded alarm about nuclear deal pushed by Trump advisers: Report
Multiple whistleblowers sounded alarms about a plan backed by close advisers to President Donald Trump to transfer sensitive nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia.abcnews.go.com
Now this:
FBI were looking for ‘classified nuclear documents’ during search of Mar-a-Lago
Government officials were reportedly concerned information was ‘potentially in danger of falling into the wrong hands’www.independent.co.uk
Remember this?:
U.S. shared nuclear power info with Saudi Arabia after Khashoggi killed
The Trump administration granted two authorizations to U.S. companies to share sensitive nuclear power information with Saudi Arabia shortly after the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in October, a U.S. senator who saw the approvals said on Tuesday.www.reuters.com
Whistleblowers sounded alarm about nuclear deal pushed by Trump advisers: Report
Multiple whistleblowers sounded alarms about a plan backed by close advisers to President Donald Trump to transfer sensitive nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia.abcnews.go.com
Now this:
FBI were looking for ‘classified nuclear documents’ during search of Mar-a-Lago
Government officials were reportedly concerned information was ‘potentially in danger of falling into the wrong hands’www.independent.co.uk
Uh..no. You questionably reference Russian retrograde thinking by your own retrograde thinking. You’re looking at a black knight threatening a white bishop yet you don’t see the black king is under severe threat by white’s queen, bishop, and knight (ironically the same white bishop you believe is under threat, btw). To put it simply, Russia is waging a hybrid war in a broad theater and has the west’s economic and strategic interests under threat.It's time to say it: the Russians are putting up an abysmal performance in Ukraine. On par with Israel's in 2006 against a similar well-entrenchment force (Hezbollah). The incompetence is simply staggering and some of its infamous weaponry clearly overrated.
But perhaps a wounded and battered Russia serves Iran's interests better. The eventual loss of Russian prestige and capabilities will forge closer ties between both countries as the schism with the West will remain for the long-term.
I may sound really crass when I say this but provide Iranians the chance to plow blonde hookers and overtime, they'll get this "roshan f(u)ckery" out of their system.Moāned Iranians, of both the taxi driver and pseudo-intellectual variants, who've never set foot in the west, who happen to be brutally and deliberately misinformed by the global superpower's targeted psy-ops / propaganda campaign and its depiction of the west as some sort of an utopian haven of felicity, coupled with disingenuous blackening of Iran's actual reality, do have some shame after being confronted with these blood-chilling reports from the USA's largest city.
Get a grip on your emotions and cease burying your heads in the sand, your delusions are an embarrassment to yourselves and to your nation.
The CIA orchestrated the coup. This has all been documented in a documentary produced by Oliver Stone called "Ukraine on Fire". It was banned on youtube but you can watch it for free on Rumble. Anyways after that Russia was at risk of losing access to Crimea, with over 60% of the population being Russian. Russia, for it's national security could not take that risk.
After that Ukraine should have entered serious negotiations with Russia where they would guarantee that the Russian lease on the Crimean base would be honored and guarantee that Russian language would share dual status with Ukrainian since 30% of Ukrainian were ethnic Russians at the time. Either that or give the Russian majority areas autonomy.
However the Ukrainians chose to only pretend to negotiate, essentially buying time while they built up their military to the point where they could take back Crimea and the Donbas by force. When Russia realized was what the Ukrainian nationalists were planning, they basically had no choice. The Ukrainians rejected the Minsk accord which was negotiated by the UN, France and Germany. Russia did what they had to do for their national security.
The mistake they made was sending in 150,000-200,000 troops on a 14,000 KM front with multiple assaults in multiple directions. Remember an invading army should outnumber the defenders 3 to 1. Ukraine had an army of 400,000 troops and with all the volunteers, militias and then conscripts it was actually the Russians who were outnumbered.
Just to give you an idea, ironically the last time any army attempted an invasion on a 14,000 km front was in WW2 when Nazi Germany invaded the Soviet Union. But that was with over 2 million troops and it didn't include multiple assaults in multiple directions. From Leningrad (today St Petersburg) to Crimea, the entire front was headed basically in one direction, from west to east.
Meanwhile the Russians had to lead an assault from Belarus, from North to South towards Kiev. From South to North to Kherson, which they quickly took and then from Kherson east to establish a landbridge with the Donbas. Then they sent troops from Russia (east) into various parts of the Donbas and from North-East to South-West to invade Kharkiv.
Of course WW2 was a long time ago so lets look at a more contemporary war. In 2003, when the US invaded Iraq, the US had 375,000 troops, so pretty much twice as many troops as the Russians and since most of Iraq is desert, the front was really no more than 300-400 KM wide. So twice as many troops, a front a quarter the size and an army that they had bombed for more than a decade before going in. Russia bombed Ukraine for 1 night before going in.
The Russians certainly underestimated the Ukrainians. They basically wanted to replicate the the same tactics they had used to take Crimea. Except this was 7 years later, the Ukrainians were much more prepared and determined and had help from NATO, the most powerful military organization in the world.
Here's the main thing that even the most pro-Russia Iranians know.Russia should have either went all in back in 2014 or should have just let it slide and hoped that a pro-russian candidate won the next election. He could have put Yanukovych as a figurehead and tried to take eastern Ukraine, as back then eastern Ukrainians were still pro-Russia (Basically the same thing Saudi did with Abdorabbi Mansour), while claiming to support the "legitimate" government of Ukraine.
Even if he did nothing he would at least keep the sympathy of half of Ukrainians.
But he chose the worst options. He outright annexed Crimea, and by doing so lost the support of east Ukrainians who after all had their national pride. Then he waited 8 complete years while propaganda eroded the remaining support for Russia and the west armed the Ukrainian armed forces. And in the end he did an unprovoked invasion, which ended up botched. Contrary to what many think, Putin is no master strategist. In the 2000s he repeatedly sold out Iran thinking that the west would allow Russia to be an equal partner. That didn't work out and Russia was forced to eventually ally with Iran, only this time Iran was much weaker because of sanctions Russia agreed to, and they also missed out on the billions of dollars of arms they could have sold to Iran.
The only reason Putin is seen as "competent" is because he is compared to Yeltsin and Gorbachev.
Just make sure he doesn't end up providing vital codes for military hardware to the enemy or block spare parts for key platforms all of a sudden, leaving Tehran high and dry.Now he is making up for lost time, with this Kanopus-V satellite, and tech transfer/joint production which is a major deal for any country to get.