TheImmortal
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- Mar 11, 2017
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War is only bad if it's the Euros that are dying.
Yup, it was always about who makes the deal with the west, not the content of it. One needs to have content, character, nationalism to care about the latter. BOTH Osoul gara's, Eslaah Talab's concenrs is regarding who's going to sign the deal with west, receives benefits. For years, Iranians were always angered about Russians/Chinese not giving them sensitive technologies, don't consider them as allies, giving cold shoulder to Raeisi, Ghalibaf in their visits to Moscow; well, now, you know why Russians don't take them seriously, right? That being said, there are still uncorrupted people left in Iran, they need to act before it gets too late.JCPOA is going to be revived and it is every bit as bad as it was before apparently.
people who are against nuclear Iran , are generally against "Iran" as whole
You will find them in the ultra religious camp. They are enemies of Iran. Must be arrested and tried for treason.
More like Russia is in deep shit.
Turkish people looked at iran with envy and wanted to have Iran's type of influence in the region, so they voted him in, and naturally his "Islamic Economics" damaged the economy.
Yes, I'm aware that Russia wants to capture Ukraine with minimal losses, but the reality is that they are having big problems. The Russian Army has logistical problems going far deep into Ukraine. Sure they don't have to worry about the Russian Air Force since they can fly and return to base to refuel and rearm, but the ground situation is very different. Unless Ukraine surrenders now, Russian Army is as I have said in deep crap.Nope, they want to capture Ukraine, at lowest cost, without causing a blood libel type of hatred between Ukrainians, Russians. Russians know that they'll eventually take the entire Ukraine anyways, so why should they make it costly for themselves to just win some browny points, hollywood type Russia Stronk propaganda? It simply doesn't worth it.
What did I say people?
Appreciate the details on this.Nope, most turks are religious hanafi muslims, thus, they were never happy with CHP; CHP, the secular socialist party of Ataturk, was always a minority, supported, kept in power by the nationalistic turkish army. Two decades ago, was the time of bringing in democracy to muslims. So, the west wanted to install Erdogan, a former follower of Gullen, himself, to make Turkey as the role model of what all muslim states should be in the future. He is a neo-liberal, when it comes to economy, just like Iranians, like the rest of the world, for the past 3 decades. There is nothing islamic about neo-liberalism, aka late stage monopolistic capitalism, built mainly on credit(debt), interest. Islamic system is an old school gold standard no interest (No reba), semi socialistic (2.5% zakaat (tax) + 20% Khoms (tax)), semi capitalistic (recognizing personal property rights) type of a system.
Yes, I'm aware that Russia wants to capture Ukraine with minimal losses, but the reality is that they are having big problems. The Russian Army has logistical problems going far deep into Ukraine. Sure they don't have to worry about the Russian Air Force since they can fly and return to base to refuel and rearm, but the ground situation is very different. Unless Ukraine surrenders now, Russian Army is as I have said in deep crap.
Rate of advance might lead to this whole thing being over in 5 more days. In the sense that the entire east would be occupied.
Yes, I'm aware that Russia wants to capture Ukraine with minimal losses, but the reality is that they are having big problems. The Russian Army has logistical problems going far deep into Ukraine. Sure they don't have to worry about the Russian Air Force since they can fly and return to base to refuel and rearm, but the ground situation is very different. Unless Ukraine surrenders now, Russian Army is as I have said in deep crap.
IMO, the entire EAST is at risk of being cut off like a scissor from the North and South. Leaving all the bulk of the army trapped on the wrong side of the river.IMO, there are three possible scenarios. 1. the UKR army gives in Kiyev without fighting in the next 2-3 days, the best scenario for Putin, worst for the west. 2. Ukrainians fighting back, forcing Putin to use the rest of his army, currently stationed at the border, basically making Kiyev into Grozney 2.0, capture Kiyev, good for the west, not so good for Russia, but very likely. 3. stretching fights beyond one month, basically the Aleppo scenario, which is very unlikely. I'm not sure, whether scenario 1 or 2 will happen, but unlike the common consensus, I think that scenario 1 is still likely to happen.
1. Won't happen, people on twitter and even posters on this forum say WAR IS OVER IN JUST 48 HOURS just because they reached Kiev from Belarus, but now they are having a hard time taking it, and as you said, going into Kiev turns into Grozny but on a larger level and that's just 1 city. Ukraine is roughly almost like Poland and Germany in one. And Putin knows leveling the city will make Ukrainians fight harder especially when you have the social media these days.IMO, there are three possible scenarios. 1. the UKR army gives in Kiyev without fighting in the next 2-3 days, the best scenario for Putin, worst for the west. 2. Ukrainians fighting back, forcing Putin to use the rest of his army, currently stationed at the border, basically making Kiyev into Grozney 2.0, capture Kiyev, good for the west, not so good for Russia, but very likely. 3. stretching fights beyond one month, basically the Aleppo scenario, which is very unlikely. I'm not sure, whether scenario 1 or 2 will happen, but unlike the common consensus, I think that scenario 1 is still likely to happen.
Rate of advance might lead to this whole thing being over in 5 more days. In the sense that the entire east would be occupied.
If they blow up the bridges crossing the Dnipyr. They will in effect cut off their own supply lines to all the troops in the east.
Russia has already sent in more than 50% of its forces.This will take longer.
The city fighting will take much longer based on Syrian fighting. Russia isn’t going to siege the cities like SAA did in Syria or level buildings like Syria. So Kharkov and Kiev and Mariupol will be challenges.
I think Kiev at this rate could last another 2 weeks. Unless Russia sends reinforcements. Right now Russia is not using even 40% of its forces.
But situation is fluid so I’m going to see how much land they cover in 72 hours. That will give us a week’s worth of data to make a better prediction.