I agree with you that in the near term india will have her own influence in the region but only for a while.
This is because as Pakistan rises economically driven by Chinese industrial relocation to this region (Pakistan will rise, that is inevitable as shown below) then india will become quite irrelevant.
Let me explain why in some detail. I don't think I am allowed to discuss this in an open forum. I will discuss some here that is well known but rest I think, should not be discussed in an open forum. So let’s begin what can be discussed.
China has plans to create eventually a road link via an undersea tunnel from Gwadar to Oman, connecting Pakistan directly with the Gulf nations.
These gulf nations will then be connected via the " Bridge of the Horns", connecting Yemen with Djibouti, creating an economic corridor from middle east to the eastern Africa. So the whole first corridor will be from China-Pakistan-Gulf nations-Yemen to Africa.
The second trade corridor would be from China to africa via Egypt. Its first portion will be the same as above that is through Pakistan (again via gulf nations involving once again Gwadar-Oman undersea tunnel link). So the above two trade corridors will have Pakistan as a central place.
China took over Djibouti so that so that the anticipated Israel-gulf nations' economic corridor to eastern Africa via " Bridge of the Horns" is blocked (the one connecting Yemen with Africa). That was done quite well by china.
That's why Israel and west supported Saudi war on Yemen hopping to eventually displace China from Djibouti (once Yemen was captured) even though that was and is impossible. China can’t be displaced. Yemen was the key here. But no longer the key for Israel/UAE since China controls Djibouti. It was UAE that drove Saudi into this useless war.
The third corridor via Pakistan, iran, iraq and the middle east is set to go in the next 5 to 7 years. Pakistan will be connected to arab brethren in a lot of ways (via many corridors as discussed above) contributing to Pakistan’s economic rise, influence and power.
So now the only economic corridors from asia to africa via middle east will be the Chinese ones and Pakistan will have a central place in them.
Israeli plans will only be limited to india eventually or Israel will join the Chinese programs (most likely). India itself will become irrelevant to a large degree. As Chinese products will find their way to the middle east via Pakistan too (apart from the usual but at times more expensive sea routes).
Made in Pakistan whether owned by Pakistani companies or Chinese corporations will find markets everywhere via these economic corridors. Along with Chinese exporting their stuff via Pakistan, Pakistan will export her stuff.
The israeli economic corridor from Israel (coming from Africa via Egypt) and going through Syria to Europe is no longer possible as that is now blocked by once again Russia (occupying Syria) and off course by Turkey.
The final corridor will be from China via Pakistan and involving both Afghanistan and iran (two parallel routes) going to Europe will link Pakistan with the Europe and Russia as well as central asia.
Pakistan will be the most significant link in all these trade routes since Pakistan is next to China.
Lots of products will be assembled, packed in Pakistan even when they are still made in China. Plus lot of them will be made in Pakistan from scratch. Pakistani industry will flourish and Pakistan will rise with extremely high growth rate. That’s inevitable.
India is nowhere in it. Nowhere. Pakistan is everywhere.
The point is time for india will soon be up. They can enjoy their temporary success for a while but soon time for Pakistan’s rise will come. Nothing can stop that now.
Off course india will try to do whatever she can. India may even have her own links with the middle east but those will be weak ones. Combined Pakistan, China, Iran, Turkey, Russia, Central asia and so on can deal with these easily. These countries will increasingly be closer to each other due to their shared trade interests under the China belt and road initiative. They all have shared interest in this new emerging world order. They will help each other above all.
The Chinese rise is unstoppable and now involves too many nation supporting china for their own sake whether they are Iran or even Japan.
India won’t be allowed to continue her terror campaign either.
Eventually India will be drawn into an inner turmoil where various freedom movements will be supported. I don't think Chinese will allow India to become powerful enough so that Indians can harm Chinese global interests. Once China has secured Tibet fully, and meets her poverty reduction goals, China will be free to take those actions that may lead to little economic price for her in dealing with india.
Just like US could not stop east Asian nations from joining China, it can’t stop middle east joining with china eventually under grand economic arrangements since money and increasingly advanced technology is in Asia/Russia now.
Indian wins are their own wishful thinking and are temporary. That’s not just based on above coming reality but also based on lots of other things that I know but won’t discuss here due to their sensitive nature.
Indians can dismiss all the above to have “feel good feelings” but that’s what both China and Pakistan are working towards. The current CPEC is just one element of this whole grand game. Things are taking shape daily, bit by bit, towards these goals. It’s a reality that is taking shape right now.
By the way, I always appreciate your posts in general. They are very wise to say the least.