MarkusS
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If convicted they will be allowed to go back to Italy to serve their jail term inside an Italian jail. It is highly unlikely that they will get the death sentence.
As far as threats of war, economic sanction etc are concerned, they will be completely counter-productive because any sign of softening by the Government of India under such circumstances will be taken as a sign of weakness. It is extremely unlikely that any such threat will work even if they are eminent. As a proud nation that is the last thing we care about.
Italy must also tread judiciously, if pushed for an early trial under international pressure the government in the poll bound India will push for the harshest punishment (death sentence) due to domestic political compulsions. Please do not forget that trial was delayed partly because Italy refused to cooperate during the investigation process. Less media attention this issue gets the better. That is how diplomacy works, issues are settled behind closed doors.
Our government tries to solve that issue behind closed doors now. If thats not working, than public opinion will grow so strong that they must start to but sanctions on india. If even one indian sailor is saved form our marines without our two soldiers free, public here will explode and demand heads. Thats the simple fact. Public here will not support any effort to safe indian sailors. And it is 100% understandable. Sure it will be shit feeling for our soldiers to leave hostages behind at the hands of pirates, but thats the only logical consequence for that entire thing.
As i see india tries to put some steam out of the boiler and ruled out any possibility for death penalty
Italian marines won't face death penalty in India - The Economic Times
We bring the entire weight of the EU and NATO into this game now.
We say that if this issue is not solved as fast as possible and our marines back home, that we will stop any anti pirate operation. NATO and UNO can not afford Italy to leave Atalanta and the entire EU is standing with us. German ambassador also starts to put pressure on india to end this farce:
"Italy's Lower House Speaker Laura Boldrini chimed in Wednesday, saying in a letter to her European Parliament counterpart that India's case against the marines threatens the rule of international law. "While not wishing in any way to express myself on the merits of the court case, I believe that Italy - and, with it, Europe and the international community - must demand respect for international law and a rapid resolution of the case," Boldrini wrote to EP Speaker Martin Schulz. She also reminded Schulz of comments by other EU officials, including warnings just one day earlier that India's attempts to prosecute the Italian marines may hurt efforts to fight piracy in future. "The case is likely to have a negative impact on the EU's efforts and those around the world in the fight against piracy," EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Catherine Ashton said in a letter Tuesday to European Parliament Deputy Speakers Gianni Pittella and Roberta Angelilli. Italian President Giorgio Napolitano also weighed in on the issue Wednesday. "I am doing everything I can to promote an approach that is in the common interest of Europe as a whole. And this is because the two marines were not in India on an fishing trip, but on an international mission," Napolitano said in Strasbourg, where he spoke before the European Parliament Tuesday. Ashton and German Ambassador to New Delhi Michael Steiner both expressed support for Rome in the case that has caused nearly two years of tensions between India and Italy."
Its said an important decission is made an 10th february. I hope our marines finally come back home and India and EU can finally settle this tragedy.