That don't explains the actual thing I am looking for.
What I want to ask is JF-17 can carry 2 of these missile. Now if the missiles are fired at suppose a carrier group what will be chance of success.
Like if you remember flakland islands war. Exocet did a good damage.
Then the land based version of this missile has also proven it's self in Mediterranean when Lebanon blew Israeli ship. So this means the missile is quite deadly as SA'AR 5 class corvet has good counter measures but still Lebanon achieved 100% kill rate cause they only fired one missile and target was hit.
Now coming to Pakistan inducting it is a debatable issue as Pakistan has it own anti ship missile like harpoon but harpoon will not go on JF-17s and exocet are available on Mirages. JF-17 has RA'AD which will or already has an anti ship role and will have much higher range and payload.
C-400 is available for JF-17 as it is in the name of C-400AKG as it is export variant of YJ-12. That is why it is being shown with JF-17. So point which needs to be understood here is that in moderan age only C-802 is the missile that has been battle proven against modern war ships.
Depend upon numerous factors, and particularly how massive and sophisticated the CSG (in question) is. Attacking a well-equipped CSG is never easy (operational constraints; opposing elements; expect your enemy to be dynamic), and I wouldn't count upon a 'single strike platform' to achieve breakthrough. See my explanation below (as naked as possible
).
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If you are considering an American CSG then chances of BREAKTHROUGH with CM-400AKG supersonic AShM are virtually non-existent (1%).
In order to strike at the Nimitz class aircraft carrier of an American CSG, PAF must be in the position to track its movements in real-time. Towards this end, airborne surveillance (AWACS) and satellite feeds are necessary.
1. Expect Americans to disrupt PAF's access to satellite feeds from GPS and Beidou with different techniques.
https://www.quora.com/Did-the-US-re...roops-during-Kargil-War-Can-it-really-be-done
https://www.quora.com/Does-the-US-m...from-being-used-against-the-US-and-its-allies
2. Expect American CSG to subject infrastructure of Pakistani armed forces across the country to a calculated barrage of cutting-edge Tomahawk Block IV LACM (degrading C&C aspects of infrastructure and disrupting activities in the bases of PAF and PN on top) while scores of F/A-18E/F Super Hornets and EA-18G Growlers (taking cues from each other, and also from cutting-edge airborne surveillance platforms such as E-2D Advanced Hawkeye and P8-A Poseidon), will enforce a massive no-fly-zone around Pakistani coasts to attack/eliminate coastal defenses, assets of PN, and to deter PAF from attacking the CSG in force. Bear in mind that American fighter aircraft completely outclass and outgun anything in the inventory of PAF including F-16 Block 52+ (significant SEE FIRST; SHOOT FIRST possibilities for USN in clashes with PAF accordingly).
For the sake of argument # 1:-
Let us assume that PAF is able to make numerous fighter aircraft airborne in a short span (50+) and somehow make it possible for a strike formation of 4 JF-17A Block II (each armed with two CM-400AKG) to slip through the aforementioned, and search for the Nimitz class aircraft carrier (taking cues from each other).
CM-400AKG = export version of YJ-12 (240 KM range)
The problem is that at intermediate and medium ranges, fire-and-forget performance is abysmal. If the target is not where the missile thought it would be, within a limited cone of the sky, it's a miss. - Tyler Rogoway
NOTE: CM-400AKG probably need satellite feeds from Beidou for course-correction measures to engage a 'moving target' from
afar.
It is very likely for the escorts of the Nimitz class aircraft carrier to notice and track movements of incoming JF-17A Block II in real-time
from afar, try to subject them to potent bouts of EW (jamming/spoofing activities), and eventually engage them with incredibly maneuverable and sophisticated class of LR-SAM such as SM-2 Block IV (240+ KM range) and SM-6 (240+ KM range). Have a look at USS Mason for instance:
https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/nava...sits-karachi-port.622982/page-2#post-11547671
- most formidable guided missile destroyers in the world (Arleigh Burke DDG Flight IIA class). Even a volley of advanced sea-skimming C-802 ASCM could not breach the defenses of American warships (USS Mason most notably) near Yemeni coasts in 2016 when the Houthi decided to target maritime activities of GCC:
http://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/alert/12685/
Taking cues from the incredibly sophisticated AEGIS Combat System(s) from surface, from cutting-edge airborne surveillance platforms such as E-2D advanced Hawkeye, and with their own onboard guidance mechanisms, these interceptors will have 99% hit probability = Cooperative Engagement Capability (CEC)
For the sake of argument # 2:-
Let us assume that 2 F-17A Block II are able to notice the Nimitz class aircraft carrier and release 4 CM-400AKG to engage it, before being neutralized by the escorts with the remainder of the strike formation.
ENDGAME SCENARIO: 4 x CM-400AKG cruising towards the Nimitz class aircraft carrier. With Beidou navigation disrupted (hinted above), these AShM would have to rely upon onboard guidance mechanisms to engage a moving target but 'hit probability' will be reduced in this situation (probability of miss increases).
Nevertheless, LR-SAM such as SM-2 Block IV and SM-6 are optimized for 'missile defense' applications, and the escorts can utilize these to intercept/defeat CM-400AKG as well.
Case in point:
http://www.navyrecognition.com/inde...-supersonic-target-from-over-the-horizon.html
SM-2 Block IV and SM-6 can also neutralize sea-skimming subsonic cruise missiles such as C-802 and Babur variants (refer back to the case of USS Mason above), and subsonic ALCM such as Ra'ad variants; multi-mission capabilities in the nutshell.
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If you are considering an Indian CSG then I see the possibility of BREAKTHROUGH;
if Indians fight really well (20%), if not (40%).
- Indian Navy (IN) is a branch of Indian armed forces which WE should not underestimate.
- Only INS Vikramaditya is operational at present.
1. Indian CSG does not have an operational LACM yet. Therefore, it is not in the position to degrade C&C aspects of the infrastructure of Pakistani armed forces and/or disrupt activities in the bases of PAF and PN from a safe distance.
Indian Nirbhay LACM is undergoing trials:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nirbhay
However, Indian guided missile destroyers are equipped with Brahmos supersonic cruise missiles which can be utilized to target Pakistani coastal defenses and assets of PN.
2. Indian CSG can commit scores of MiG-29K (30+) to establish a no-fly-zone around the CSG, and deter PAF from attacking the CSG in force.
Inventory of JF-17 variants at a glance:-
JF-17A Block I =
50 delivered
JF-17A Block II =
59 delivered,
3 on order (to be complete soon)
JF-17B Block II =
1 delivered,
25 on order
Let us assume that almost 50% of these aircraft can be made airborne in a short span.
For the sake of argument # 1:-
In the light of the above, about 50 JF-17 variants are made airborne in a short span. Among these, 46 JF-17 variants are dispatched to confront Indian MiG-29K (30+) and more (taking cues from each other, and also from advanced airborne surveillance platforms such as SAAB ERIEYE 2000 and Shaanxi ZDK-03), and a strike formation of 4 JF-17A Block II (each armed with two CM-400AKG) manage to slip through the aforementioned, and search for the INS Vikramaditya aircraft carrier (taking cues from each other).
Biggest threat to the strike formation of 4 JF-17A Block II would be from the Kolkata class destroyers as potential escorts of INS Vikramaditya. Learn much about the Kolkata class destroyers from the following link.
These destroyers can notice and track movements of incoming JF-17 in real-time
from afar, try to subject them to potent bouts of EW (jamming/spoofing activities), and eventually engage them with incredibly maneuverable and sophisticated Barak-8 LR-SAM (100 KM range).
Case in point:
https://defense-update.com/20141110_barak-8-test.html
However, Barak-8 have a much lower range than that of American LR-SAM, therefore JF-17A have a reasonable shot at releasing their payload of CM-400AKG for INS Vikramaditya aircraft carrier when they notice it, before being shot down.
ENDGAME SCENARIO: several CM-400AKG cruising towards INS Vikramaditya.
Barak-8 LR-SAM is also optimized for 'missile defense' applications, and the escorts of INS Vikramaditya can utilize these to intercept/defeat CM-400AKG. Barak-8 was reportedly designed by Israel to intercept Russian Yakhont supersonic anti ship missiles (deployed by Syria).
Possibilities of intercepting a barrage of CM-400AKG would depend upon the proximity of the Kolkata class destroyers to INS Vikramaditya (India have only 3 Kolkata class in total), and the initial barrage might fail in this situation.
The other 42 JF-17 variants might succeed in neutralizing all MiG-29K (expect casualties on our side as well) but these might be called back (fuel consumption factor), but PAF can dispatch a fresh batch of JF-17 variants with an air-refueling tanker and AWACS in the mix to attack Indian CSG once again while F-16 variants are committed to counter IAF in other spaces and PN also preoccupy IN in other spaces. The fresh batch of JF-17 variants might succeed in sinking INS Vikramaditya while stressing its escorts.
PAF have 50 CM-400AKG in its inventory in total (possibly more).