Yeah, I don't know about gravity turn after majoring in aeronautical engineering.
IF you did know it, you would know that a 'gravity turn' is essentially a zero angle of attack maneuver...
Gravity turn - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
...because gravity does the steering during the initial ascent phase the vehicle can maintain low or even zero angle of attack.
A gravity turn is performed usually endoatmospheric. If there is zero angle of attack, then we can estimate the vehicle to be orbital at some point. The moment there is a change in angle of attack
AFTER the the vehicle entered the maneuver, and we know that gravity pulls the vehicle towards Earth, then we can recalculate the vehicle's path based upon that point of change to where it might be pointing at on the ground.
So
IF you did know about the 'gravity turn' maneuver, then you would not be engaging in this discussion and claiming that it is not possible to estimate a vehicle's ballistic trajectory in the first place. This is the reason why I called myself a 'sanitation engineer', aka a 'janitor', in here.
The best you can do is taking my words out of its context?? Read my lips again.
Sure...
Even if the missile enters the gravity turn and stay with its course,...
The word 'even' implies an option, meaning you are implying that an ICBM has the option of entering that maneuver. Wrong. An ICBM has no choice but to enter the gravity turn. The better phrasing should be 'Once the missile enters the gravity turn...'
Finally you got it. Ballistic missile's trajectory is only predictable after it enters its mid course orbital where gravity and air friction are the only forces that their values can be calculated acting on the missile.
Wrong as shown above with the gravity turn being low or zero angle of attack. When including constant thrust then it is eminently possible to predict a ballistic flight path.
DF-21 is a two stage missile. One of the advantage of being mutli-stage is that the coasting period between the two stages is unknown, therefore there is one more unknown variable in calculating the trajectory before it finishes the boost phase.
Man...oh...man...No wonder you guys are so entertaining...Perhaps you mean 'phases'?
Anyway...The problem for endoatmospheric multistagings is the ignition timings between stages.
For example...
See that empty space on the Soyuz's body and below orange/yellow area? That is the 'interstage' portion. We found out a long time ago that for the most in multistaging operation, there are problems associated with interstage ignition and the type of fuel. If the vehicle is liquid fueled, the tanks are not completely full to allow for fuel expansion but potentially the fuel may not be on the bottom of the tank, so there might not be proper sequential stage ignition. So we created 'ullage' rockets...
Ullage - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In liquid rockets, ullage is the space within a fuel tank above the liquid propellant. This term derives from the term 'ullage' in winemaking, where it refers to the space above the liquid in a container such as a barrel or wine bottle.
Liquid, cryogenic rockets keep their propellant in tanks. These tanks are never completely filled in order to allow for the expansion of the cold liquid propellant. On the ground, the space between the top of the propellant load and the top of the tank is known as "ullage space".
In micro-gravity conditions the gas may float around and threaten to be sucked into the engines, which is typically very undesirable. Small rocket engines are sometimes used to settle the propellant prior to the main engine ignition. These are called ullage motors.
These small solid fuel rockets would fire to create simulated 'gravity' to force the liquid fuel to the bottom of the fuel tank so the upper stage engine could ignite. There are very few situations where we want any pause between stages, even the Moon project vehicles have merely seconds between stages:
Saturn V's stages are:
T+02:30.0 first-stage engine cutoff
T+02:31.5 second-stage ullage-rocket ignition
T+02:31.7 staging charge fired and first-stage retrorocket ignition
T+02:31.8 separation complete
T+02:32.4 second-stage engine start sequence
T+02:33.4 second-stage engine ignition
T+02:35.4 second-stage engines at 90% thrust
T+02:36.0 ullage-rocket burnout
Notice the time elapsed between first-stage cutoff and second stage ignition: 3.4 seconds. And notice ullage rockets operation. So for the Soyuz above, that air gap is to allow ullage and second stage ignition escape paths so that the separating lower stage would not explosively ignite and destroy the overall vehicle. The American Titan series had this problem for a while.
For solid fuel the multistaging ignition timing is still there except that even though we do not need ullage motors, solid fuel do not ignite as rapidly as liquid fuel can, so what we do is called 'hot staging' where the next stage engine is lit in very precisely controlled manner
BEFORE separation. The lower or previous stage section is heavily shielded with fire retardant material so it would not catch fire and possibly explode.
The above is an illustration of the Minuteman multistaged ICBM. Look at timestamp 2:46 when the lower stage is separated and when the upper stage is already lit, maintaining constant thrust.
So for you to say this: '
...coasting period between the two stages...' is absolutely incorrect for someone who claimed to majored in aeronautical engineering. The difference between 'stage' and 'phase' is not allowed for such an education. The only time there is any 'coasting' between stages is when the vehicle is
ALREADY in orbit and the final stage is ignited to send the bus into the descent. Even then, it should be properly phrased as 'phase' because the vehicle's location -- orbit -- take precedent in description.
Gravity exists and acts on objects all the time, again it is you who is using irrelevant terms such as gravity turn to throw other innocent people off their guard and pretend that you are the expert on this subject. Gravity turn is important in spacecraft launching is because it has to put the payload into a much higher orbit than any ballistic missile. It uses thrust mainly for fighting the gravity drag, aerodynamic drag and forward acceleration, and uses gravity force for its angular accelerations with minimum thrust for steering. For ballistic missile unless it is aimed at its maximum range, the amount of thrust used for steering the missile is still an unknown variable to outside observers.
The amount of thrust to send the vehicle into a gravity turn is:
ZERO = 0.
Here is the wiki source explanation again...
The pitch over maneuver consists of the rocket gimbaling its engine slightly to direct some of its thrust to one side.
Thrust is the same as from launch. By the time the vehicle is ready for a gravity turn maneuver, the engines are already producing maximum thrust, more so if it is solid fuel because we cannot throttle solid fuel burn. So to induce a gravity turn, thrust is
REDIRECTED, aka 'gimbaling', to offset thrust from its previous longitudinal alignment. This redirection is measured in duration, else we would send the vehicle back to Earth.
Gimballed thrust - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Gimbaled thrust is the system of thrust vectoring used in most modern rockets, including the Space Shuttle and the Saturn V lunar rockets.
We can also use lateral thrust motors but this would unnecessarily complicate the missile, which is essentially a throwaway weapon. So to keep it simple it is better to briefly gimbal the motors' nozzles to redirect thrust to enter the gravity turn.
You are comparing the rigidness of a commercial rocket to a missile here???? It is like saying a commercial aircraft can sustain the same g-force as a fighter. For comparison, modern AAM which is also a hollow tube, can sustain 50+g longitudinally.
Absolutely.
First...The fact that you differentiate 'rocket' and 'missile' here tells me you really do not know what you are talking about. The difference between a 'rocket' and a 'missile' is more contextual than technical. A 'missile' has a sensor/guidance system. A 'rocket' does not. But a 'rocket' is also a description for a vehicle that uses mainly directed thrust instead of aerodynamic exploitation for flight. That mean a 'rocket' is also the basis for a 'missile'. A satellite launcher is a 'missile' because it has a sensor/guidance system and that it has a specific target or spatial location in its electronic mind.
Second...If we go back to the 'gravity turn' wiki source again, we would find this bit...
Second, and more importantly, because gravity does the steering during the initial ascent phase the vehicle can maintain low or even zero angle of attack. This minimizes transverse aerodynamic stress on the launch vehicle, allowing for a lighter launch vehicle.
An air-air missile is supposed to operate with severe transverse aerodynamic stresses, fancy phrasing for maneuvers, and will never use a 'gravity turn'. An ICBM or satellite launcher is not supposed to make such maneuvers and because weight is a penalty, it will use a 'gravity turn' to make just one gradual maneuver so that it will be constructed less physically robust than an air-air missile so that it can carry a larger payload.
Third...I have seen the inside of an AIM-7 and AIM-9. Both are hollow tubes, albeit very robustly constructed for high-G maneuvers.
So yes, my calling an ICBM a 'hollow tube' is technically and contextually correct.
Good job, you threw out a source that can debunk your own argument.
In your dream.
Now I am taking Mike's advice not wasting anytime with you farther more.
There goes that ego again. This is a publicly accessible forum where everyone's comments available for all to see. You say something wrong and I will challenge. Your friend's advice is worthless.