I don´t see turkey rising. I see it sinking. It lost evry single diplomatic battle. Syria, Egypt and so on. Erdogan is isolated in the region. He has russia as enemy, arabs as enemy and internal struggle.
I find it laughable that you see the EU as "enemy" of turkey. Because we don´t want Turkey in the EU does not mean we hate it or want bad for it. It just doesn´t fit into the EU.
Erdogan maybe an idiot but Turkey is still rising in terms of economy and its military.