Bangladesh beats India in per capita income

[UKBengali]

I am very confident no doses will be exported in next few months, highly unlikely any further exports in 2021. We are only doing 1.8 million vaccines a day, which will take us more than 2.5 years to reach herd immunity. Modi's numbers are lowest in his tenure and opposition are for his throat for exporting vaccines. I am confident we will not export vaccines (India can't actually) in 2021.

Yes that now looks likely but it is a bit of a dumb move as India will have given at least one jab of the AstraZeneca vaccine to the most vulnerable 20% by early June.

Remember that it this cohort that 85-90% of hospitalisations come from and even jabbing them with a single AstraZeneca dose would stop 95% of hospitalisations.

Case numbers are already coming down and deaths will more than likely peak before June and then start the downward trajectory. Majority of vulnerable vaccinated by then and good general immunity from previous infection will really allow India to turn the corner by then.

India's reputation for reliability is going to go further down the toilet without making much difference on the ground. Modi shows his scientific illiteracy yet again.