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Wikileaks : Secret Afghanistan War logs

Robert Siegel talks to Declan Walsh, the Pakistan and Afghanistan correspondent for the Guardian, and one of the reporters who had early access to the leaked Pentagon documents about the war effort in Afghanistan.

Copyright © 2010 National Public Radio®. For personal, noncommercial use only. See Terms of Use. For other uses, prior permission required.


ROBERT SIEGEL, host:

From NPR News, this is ALL THINGS CONSIDERED. I'm Robert Siegel.

MICHELE NORRIS, host:

And I'm Michele Norris.

More this hour on the trove of leaked intelligence reports published by the group WikiLeaks yesterday. Most of the world has just had a to start sifting through the documents, but three publications - The New York Times, the German magazine Der Spiegel and the British daily The Guardian - were granted early access.

We turn now to one of the reporters who's had a chance to look at the documents in detail.

SIEGEL: Declan Walsh is the Pakistan and Afghanistan correspondent for The Guardian. He's in London, where he has been reporting on these documents.

And, Declan Walsh, there's so much here. I'd just like to ask you about a couple of treads. One of them, the allegation that Pakistan's intelligence service, the ISI, is in collusion with the Taliban. What new evidence is there of that in these documents, and how strong is that evidence?

Mr. DECLAN WALSH (Pakistan and Afghanistan Correspondent, The Guardian): The real question is how seriously one should take all of these reports. A lot of them appear to have been sourced either from Afghan intelligence officials, who have traditionally a long history of rivalry with the ISI, or from paid informers. So, really, it's very difficult to know from this great mass of reports and some very sensational allegations.

Some of the reports say that the ISI plotted to kill the Afghan president, Hamid Karzai, that they smuggled weapons and ammunition and surface-to-air missiles into Afghanistan in order to shoot down NATO warplanes.

So these are very serious allegations, but there's such a mass of them that it's hard to know which ones one should actually take seriously, and that's the problem within this group.

SIEGEL: Now, I also read an account in one of these documents of Osama bin Laden holding regular meetings as recently as 2006 with the Taliban leader Mullah Omar and others in attendance to plan suicide bombings, 2006. CIA Director Leon Panetta has said the last time the CIA had good intelligence on bin Laden's location was in the early 2000s. Does that suggest to you that what we read here in the 2006 threat report is information that the CIA probably does not regard as good intelligence?

Mr. WALSH: I think it probably does. And, you know, there's a number of references to Osama bin Laden. Again, a lot of them seemed to be barely credible. The meeting that you're referring to was described as a meeting with Osama bin Laden, the Taliban chief, Mullah Omar, and his two deputies, Mullah Baradar and Mullah Dadullah.

And now, most experts believe that it's highly unlikely that even if those four individuals were inclined to meet that they actually would sit in the same room if only for security reasons.

There's a number of other references to Osama bin Laden in the files. In one, there's a report that he flew to North Korea with an insurgent leader in 2005 in order to shop for rockets to use against the coalition in Afghanistan. There are also reports that an insurgent commander had created a poison powder that would be added to the food of coalition soldiers, and he called that Osama Kapa.


SIEGEL: In that particular report, the detail of the person who was distributing this powder not only has his name and height, the appearance of his eyes, the address of his store, which he locks whenever the police are in, remarkable detail about the person who allegedly was distributing Osama Kapa.

Mr. WALSH: That's right. Experts who have looked over these reports for us have told us that, paradoxically, sometimes the more detail you see in a report, the less likely it is to be true.

People who are giving this information are creating very elaborate stories in order to affect an air of plausibility. Whereas in actual fact, you know, this just may not have been true at all.

SIEGEL: Which raises the question, I mean, is the quality of the information in this huge in line with its quantity? That is do you, as someone who covers Pakistan and the war in Afghanistan, do you find yourself having been immersed in all of this for weeks revising your view of what you cover or having some more detail, some dubious detail about what it is you write about?

Mr. WALSH: What these reports have provided is a greatly textured picture of the war from the perspective of the soldiers on the ground who are writing these reports. There are intelligence reports of greatly varied quality. Some appear to be good. A lot of them seem to be highly dubious.

On the other hand, the accounts of American soldiers' own lives, you know, of engagements with the Taliban, those appear to be relatively honest accounts, and they certainly provide some very striking details about the chaos of war, of the difficult decisions people have to make, of the misunderstandings that often have very serious consequences in places like Afghanistan.

SIEGEL: Declan Walsh, thanks a lot for talking with us.

Mr. WALSH: My pleasure.

SIEGEL: Declan Walsh spoke to us from London, where he's been working on The Guardian's release of the WikiLeaks' Afghan documents. He is their correspondent covering Pakistan and Afghanistan.

'Guardian' Reporter Weighs In On Leaked Records : NPR
 
oh really, how many denials you guys will have it seems that top websites, milatry experts and every one is wrong, but it is no surprise to me ISI is playing double games in pakistan

ISI was the reasons you guys lost two ware and lost kargil due to mismanagement by nawaz sharif, ISI is responsible for thousands of death in india and pakistan, and stop supporting it just because you are a pakistani by your long and boring article it seems whether a top website was wrong and you are correct , give us some proofs guy, the whole world knows the reports are authentic


If you read the Guardian report on these allegations (quoting various Western officials), the Michael Semple report, Kerry's comments, the interview I just posted with Walsh etc. then it is pretty clear that objective observers (not just Pakistanis) are admitting that much of the information (related to the ISI) has already been shown to be false.

Therefore the argument that these reports represent nothing except rumors, manipulations and distortions and therefore are not even close to credible evidence of ISI complicity is pretty clear.

Now if you are too shocked due to your Indian biases, that what seemed a damning indictment at first is nothing of the sort, then that is your problem. But the fact that these reports are raw, unverified, and in many cases debunked, intelligence is just that, fact.
 
On the other hand, the accounts of American soldiers' own lives, you know, of engagements with the Taliban, those appear to be relatively honest accounts, and they certainly provide some very striking details about the chaos of war, of the difficult decisions people have to make, of the misunderstandings that often have very serious consequences in places like Afghanistan

Beyond the sensation (ISI) a look at these aspects may provide forum members with a sense of the kinds of struggles forces are working to overcome.
 
Yes.. Unfortunate but true...

If it happens (which I think it will) it reflects badly on the US media and more so on US govt for allowing this leak (if false) or its policy of allying with Pakistan (if true). But not on the people.

Its fairly simple.. If someone in your house has died fighting in Afghanistan and then you hear all over the media that an ally who was supposed to be fighting alongside you was actually helping the enemy, most folks will react in a predictable manner..Specially with the present image (correct or not) that Pakistan has in the western countries..
Reacting in a 'predictable manner' which you suggest would be open discrimination and prejudice against a community that had nothing to do with any losses they may have personally suffered, merely because of their identity, is not 'understandable' - it is prejudice and bigotry pure and simple. To use your argument would be to justify discrimination and prejudice against all Muslim Americans because of the 911 attacks, and I doubt any rational individual would support that position.

I dont think these leaks are yet proven false. And I believe the result of the analysis wont be black or white but will have multiple shades of grey in between.. Understand that these are leaks of official papers that were anyway known to the US govt. Their reaction was what it was and wont change. The reasons could be the lack of authenticity of these papers or US's strategic compulsions in the region.
The leaks themselves are authentic, the intelligence reports are unverified, in many cases debunked since enough time has passed for them to have been verified with actual events, and in other cases just nonsense.

The onus is on those making these accusations, to provide intelligence reports out of these 180+, that are verified and credible. So far that has not been done.
What has happened is that they are now leaked to public and controlling their reaction to these is going to be a tough ask. Will depend on how strongly and categorically US govt denies this. Because if there is some strain of truth in this, the US official stand will leave a plausible deniablity route for them and will be visible.

The issue is not if it will damage Pakistan's credibility with the Western population, but the extent of the damage..


US Govt's stand will not change since this is not something they were not aware of. The change will be in public perception and if damage control is not done effectively, the 1st constituency on the receiving end of this bias will be Pakistani folks living in the West..

Extremely unfortunate & prejudicial but true...


Edit: btw you are already hearing some of the US administration saying that the picture of Pakistan painted by these leaks represents Pakistan's actions prior to OBama admin. A face save way out if I ever saw one..

At a government level Pakistan will not face issues given that the govt2govt relationship will be based on facts on the ground, and not this malicious propaganda campaign being run by the US establishment and media. At a personal level, the character of Americans will be tested, as it was after 911, on whether they sink into prejudice and bigotry against innocents from a particular community.
 
Robert Siegel talks to Declan Walsh, the Pakistan and Afghanistan correspondent for the Guardian, and one of the reporters who had early access to the leaked Pentagon documents about the war effort in Afghanistan.

Copyright © 2010 National Public Radio®. For personal, noncommercial use only. See Terms of Use. For other uses, prior permission required.


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SIEGEL: In that particular report, the detail of the person who was distributing this powder not only has his name and height, the appearance of his eyes, the address of his store, which he locks whenever the police are in, remarkable detail about the person who allegedly was distributing Osama Kapa.

Mr. WALSH: That's right. Experts who have looked over these reports for us have told us that, paradoxically, sometimes the more detail you see in a report, the less likely it is to be true.

People who are giving this information are creating very elaborate stories in order to affect an air of plausibility. Whereas in actual fact, you know, this just may not have been true at all.

SIEGEL: Which raises the question, I mean, is the quality of the information in this huge in line with its quantity? That is do you, as someone who covers Pakistan and the war in Afghanistan, do you find yourself having been immersed in all of this for weeks revising your view of what you cover or having some more detail, some dubious detail about what it is you write about?

Mr. WALSH: What these reports have provided is a greatly textured picture of the war from the perspective of the soldiers on the ground who are writing these reports. There are intelligence reports of greatly varied quality. Some appear to be good. A lot of them seem to be highly dubious.

On the other hand, the accounts of American soldiers' own lives, you know, of engagements with the Taliban, those appear to be relatively honest accounts, and they certainly provide some very striking details about the chaos of war, of the difficult decisions people have to make, of the misunderstandings that often have very serious consequences in places like Afghanistan.

SIEGEL: Declan Walsh, thanks a lot for talking with us.

Mr. WALSH: My pleasure.

SIEGEL: Declan Walsh spoke to us from London, where he's been working on The Guardian's release of the WikiLeaks' Afghan documents. He is their correspondent covering Pakistan and Afghanistan.

'Guardian' Reporter Weighs In On Leaked Records : NPR

HAHA looks like a plot of an Indian B movie
typical anit Pakistan propoganda
 


Beyond the sensation (ISI) a look at these aspects may provide forum members with a sense of the kinds of struggles forces are working to overcome.

They might have fewer struggles to deal with if the US government was not a duplicitous, lying sack o shite.
 
"MSNBC Hostess, "if Pakistan is our enemy".

"Brzezinski: If we think the Pakistan as our enemy, we are shooting ourselves not in the foot, but in the head.

And then there is India , which is fighting Pakistan for influence in Afghanistan. And in this fight, Indian are together with Iran "



Morning Joe
 
This leak only verifies what analysists have been saying for many years now:
(1) that this war seems unwinnable, (2) that Iran and some elements of Pakistan may be helping the Taliban (3) that many war crimes have gone unnoticed, etc. It just gives us an in-depth look at them
.

Dexter


I don't think we can conclude that the war is unwinnable, certainly not. We refer to policy makers as "fanatics" because in light of 10 years of evidence to the contrary they persist with erroneous, patently false assumptions.

You may think that the war in Afghanistan is a series of engagements against the enemy - in reality it is not so much engagements with the enemy but the fact that the US policy makers have hitched their wagon to one particuar element or party to, the Afghan civil war - the elements, most particularly the communists, who are now in every section of governent, especially the armed forces and intelligence service, imagine they are fighting a war that they lost 30 years ago -- in tandem with this is a GIRoA that refuses to behave as a govt of all Afghanistan - you may be interested to know that entire govt ministries are missing in action, they simply do not exist outside Kabul and some areas of the north -- one can argue that capacity building should have been a US focus, fair enough but shouldn't this criticism be focused on GIRoA? US policy makers suggest that they work and promote the former communists because "they seem to know how to do what is required", this is just plain BS, a lazy attitude and a prescription for failure - the "problems" the GIRoA faces in different provinces are also different from one another, however, a common theme is that GIRoA in most cases is simply not present, is unwilling to be present -- then there is the problem of PRTs, these act as mini governments, many times not coordinating with the GIRoA at all and when they do coordinate, GIRoA buries them in bureaucratic delays wherein local Afghan patronage networks are given priority and these patronage networks stand to gain financially.

You will not attend a single Afghan govt briefing, without bashing ISI and Pakistan, you will have the curious spectacle of Western officers rolling their eyes in this briefing, but not correcting or telling the Afghan communists to get on with the real job.

Couple this with NGO's that seem to have their own foreign policy, and some who refuse to assist ISAF or place conditions with regard to security that are unreasonable, or funding that requires other conditionalities. If one looks to the politics of the personnel who run these NGOs one is always suprised by the criteria by which these individuals were selected.

As far as US and NATO servicemen and women, I think it would be a very unfair statement to suggest that these are not by far some of the most decent, dedicated persons one would hope to come across, but remember these individuals have a sworn duty, they do not make policy. The ANA and varieties of ANP are an altogether different kettle of fish.

So, a more vigourous unity of command and effort, a more inclusive GIRoA and a US insistence that the GIRoA focus and deal with internal problems and create not just good but excellent relations with immediate neighbors can go along ways to delivering for the world a stable Afghanistan. But of course this requires sober policy makers who have the interests of the US in mind, not the interests of other parties and their own ideological prejudices to further.


There may be cries for investigation into some of the civilain deaths from anti-war activists and organizinations, but the US Government can handle them like it's done in the past without suffering major backlash
.

In all armed conflict, in the so called fog of war, civilains suffer and they should be investigated - but the real area for investigation should be policy and policy makers -- remember it will now be 10 years, people have a right to know and understand the assumptions driving the policy, in particular the prepartion for larger conflicts.
 
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Sadanand Dhume: Pakistan: Friend or Foe? - WSJ.com

A Sanctuary for Terror

The militants wage war in Afghanistan while using Pakistan as a place for rest, recuperation and recruitment.

By SADANAND DHUME

Perhaps the most surprising thing about the so-called Afghanistan war logs released by WikiLeaks Sunday is our continued capacity to be shocked.....

---------



Well yes, we knew they all would fly their own kite post the leaks, and SADANAND DHUME (wrote articles like Why Pakistan Produces Jihadists, Adultery in Aceh, The latest sign of creeping Shariah etc) is THE bull-artist in this case.

How predictive! :rolleyes:
 
I have come to a conclusion!

ISI is a scape goat for many!

Man, I am proud of my agency....
Keep our heads up ISI!!!

:pakistan:
 
Looks like ISI is doing something seriously right for the country, having been labelled like that.

It has been Burning desire of indians to label ISI with these titles. Wikii Leak orchestrated drama touched their hearts :) :)
 

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