Karnataka is at the pivot. It will be another lesson for Congress in their long history of appeasement biting them in the back.
https://dynastycrooks.wordpress.com/2017/10/27/amit-shah-has-begun-the-battle-for-karnataka/
You know how deep the Modi fear has struck into the hearts of opponents when you see articles written in late 2017 about how “Modi’s image as a messiah is fading”. These articles, written by eager chamchas at The Wire, get thousands of shares from desperately hopeful liberals … Some four years since it began, liberals are currently celebrating what they believe to be “Modi wave fading”.
LOL!
A wave comes in and goes out in a matter of a few months. Perhaps a year. Liberal chamchas have been buried by the Modi deluge for four years now.
Modi may have been the face of this deluge, but the man who has given this wave its staying power is Amit Shah. No matter what your political preferences, learn from this man how to pursue a goal in life. Did you know that Shah went to visit the BJP office in faraway Lakshadweep, to interact with the BJP workers there?
In the single minded pursuit of 2019 victory, no state is too small and no seat is too irrelevant.
While Gujarat election dates have been announced, the action in the BJP has already shifted to Karnataka.
Now 2018 will be a challenging year for the party. Because at the year end and right before the Lok Sabha polls, the BJP will face elections in three major states where it is the incumbent.
Luckily, the BJP can be sure of retaining Madhya Pradesh. Another hat tip here to Uma Bharti … I have been a critic of her arrogant ways since 2014, but nobody can take away from her the credit for the 2003 victory in Madhya Pradesh. The state of Madhya Pradesh has gone on to become the BJP’s second major permanent post, after Gujarat.
Similarly, the BJP will probably retain Chhattisgarh on the back of Raman Singh’s popularity, including his ability to employ means fair and foul. Add to this the goodwill that Modi enjoys and of course, a helping hand from Ajit Jogi.
The big pain point is Rajasthan, where a perception … at least a perception is building against Vasundhara Raje. Now, I have a theory about seasonal downswings and permanent uptrends in the fortunes of BJP in Rajasthan that says the incumbency pendulum wont swing in Rajasthan in 2018. I have been waiting to test it since 2013. But it’s only an untested theory … and suffice to say that the RW is really nervous going in to Rajasthan elections.
It is the fear of a possible defeat in Rajasthan that makes Karnataka so important. With BJP at saturation in northern and western states, Karnataka is the one place where the party would look to increase at least half a dozen Lok Sabha seats. That and the desire to see Congress vanish from its last big landmass.
Amit Shah is blowing the bugle for Karnataka. The Prime Minister arrives in Bengaluru on Sunday. And then the BJP will officially kick off its campaign with a yatra starting Nov 2.
Now, it’s a pity that the BJP has to rely on Yeddyurappa who is more than 75 years old. But you could say that he was cheated out of half his term as Karnataka CM due to some meaningless accusations.
Of late, Siddaramaiah is going on the tried and tested track of incumbent Congress CMs facing defeat. He has played every kind of divisive trick possible … from caste census to promising Lingayats the status of a separate religion. For obvious reasons, Congress party playing the worst kind of divisive politics never counts as intolerance. And the media has been working to give him the same kind of perception boost that they always create at the last moment around opposition Chief Ministers.
Remember Harish Rawat and his last minute resurgence in Uttarakhand? He ended up losing from both his seats. And who can forget the Achche Ladke fiasco in Uttar Pradesh? The media actually convinced itself that Akhilesh had rid himself of four years of incumbency by playing family drama with his dad at the last moment.
The same is happening with Siddaramaiah in Karnataka now. The media is convinced that he is seeing a last minute surge. In reality, Modi wave is coming again. And come May 2018, Siddu will surrender without a whimper.
As for Rahul Gandhi, let’s just say : even if Congress loses Karnataka, Pappu would still be considered a winner