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Who will succeed Jokowi? Indonesia to open candidate registration

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Who will succeed Jokowi? Indonesia to open candidate registration​


Presidential hopefuls' choice of running mates draws attention; tight race expected

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JAKARTA -- Indonesia is set to open on Thursday registration for February's presidential election, marking the official start of the process to select Joko "Jokowi" Widodo's successor as leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation.

As many as 204.8 million people are eligible to cast ballots on Feb. 14 in the globe's largest direct presidential vote. They also will elect national and regional lawmakers, choosing candidates from among 24 parties that have passed screenings by the General Elections Commission.

Three presidential candidates -- former Central Java Gov. Ganjar Pranowo, Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto and former Jakarta Gov. Anies Baswedan -- are widely expected to join the race, with Widodo constitutionally barred from seeking a third term.

Registrations close on Oct. 25, giving way to a monthslong campaign season during which candidates will tout their prescriptions for economic growth, take stands on the planned relocation of the country's capital and debate other issues.

The country's political temperature is already rising, with names of potential vice presidential running mates being bandied about. On Wednesday, the biggest political party, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), named Mohammad Mahfud MD, the coordinating minister for political, legal and security affairs, as Pranowo's running mate.

The move comes after a contentious Constitutional Court ruling on Monday amending a clause that barred anyone younger than 40 from running on a presidential ticket, allowing exceptions for candidates who have already won "a general election, including a regional leader election."

Critics have slammed the ruling, arguing it was meant to clear a path for Widodo's eldest son, 36-year-old Gibran Rakabuming, to join the contest as a vice presidential nominee.


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Both Widodo and Rakabuming are members of the PDI-P. But Rakabuming, currently the mayor of the Central Java town of Solo, has recently emerged as a potential running mate to Subianto, chairman of the Gerindra Party.

Subianto is reportedly wooing Rakabuming in an attempt to secure support from Widodo, who has not formally endorsed any candidate. Widodo has denied influencing the court's decision.

Subianto is also considering a few other names, including the state enterprise minister and the governors of West and East Java. Gerindra Party officials have said Subianto will first discuss names with leaders of other parties in his coalition.

According to several opinion polls conducted during the past few months, Subianto, who lost to Widodo in the 2014 and 2019 elections, and Pranowo lead the race in a virtual dead heat, with Baswedan far behind.

Analysts believe the right running mate could tip the balance.

"It's a very competitive [race] between Prabowo and Ganjar, so the vice presidential candidate becomes an important variable," Hanta Yuda, executive director of Poltracking Indonesia, said during a recent presentation of the pollster's latest survey results.

The weightiness of the decision explains why it is taking both camps so long to name their VP nominees, Yuda said. "They're taking a peek at each other's strategies," he went on. "If they pick the wrong candidate ... it could become a blunder."

Meanwhile, Baswedan last month, in a surprise move that angered some of his previous allies, named National Awakening Party (PKB) Chairman Muhaimin Iskandar as his running mate.


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Multiple polls suggest that none of the tickets is likely to win more than half of the votes, meaning a runoff is expected. The General Elections Commission has set June 26 as the date for a second round.

Some analysts say Subianto is likely to benefit from a runoff. Unlike Baswedan, seen as an opposition figure, both Pranowo and Subianto are deemed Widodo successors who would continue the current president's flagship policies. Their popularity has been attributed to the president's high approval ratings.

Subianto was an opposition leader before Widodo in 2019 offered him a cabinet post. So if Baswedan, as the polls suggest, is indeed eliminated in the first round, more of his voters are likely to shift to Subianto than Pranowo.

However, if past elections -- including the 2017 Jakarta governor race that Baswedan won -- are any indication, the situation could change drastically as voting day nears.

"There are still four or five months ahead of the election," Yuda said, "and according to the data, 50% of voters could still alter their choice. Anies [Baswedan's popularity] could still suddenly soar."

 
The most respected political scientist in Indonesia is Burhanudin Muhtady who is also Executive Director of Indikator, a political survey company. So far this survey company is pretty reliable and I think the most accurate one.

Burhanudin Muhtadi was in CNN showing that Ganjar is inlead and with leading trend popularity.

Latest Indikator Survey.

 

Indonesia's ruling party picks top security minister to run for VP in next year's election​

By Niniek Karmini | AP
October 18, 2023 at 3:54 a.m. EDT

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JAKARTA, Indonesia — Indonesia’s ruling party on Wednesday named the nation’s top security minister as the running mate to the party’s presidential candidate in next year’s election in Southeast Asia’s largest democracy.


Muhammad Mahfud will be seeking the vice presidency alongside the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle presidential hopeful Ganjar Pranowo, former Central Java governor.

The announcement by PDIP chairwoman Megawati Sukarnoputri was attended by three leaders of PDIP’s partner parties for the February election and sets up a potential three-way race, with Pranowo expected to face former Jakarta Gov. Anies Baswedan and Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto.

Baswedan choose his running mate as Muhaimin Iskandar, the chairman of National Awakening Party, which has strong ties to the country’s largest Islamic organization, Nahdlatul Ulama, which boasts over 45 million members.

PDIP’s pick is considered by many as a move aimed at boosting Pranowo’s popularity in the world’s most populous Muslim-majority country.

Mahfud, former chief justice of the Constitutional Court, is closely affiliated with NU and was long involved in related organizations, including the NU’s youth wing GP Ansor.
Sukarnoputri praised Mahfud as an honest, courageous person whose commitment and idealism are unquestionable.

“He is the figure we have mandated to reform the national legal system, because the people have been waiting for this justice for a long time,” Sukarnoputri said. “We call for Indonesian people’s blessing, hopefully people will help them to become the next leaders of this nation.”

Pranowo and Mahfud plan to formally register to run in the election at the General Election Commission, which opens registration on Thursday and has its final deadline next Wednesday.

Mahfud, who is known as a frank and outspoken figure, praised Pranowo in his inauguration remarks as the right figure to lead Indonesia, the world’s largest archipelago nation, home to more than 270 million people.

“Together with Ganjar, I will dedicate my self, all my abilities, knowledge, experiences, to the nation and state of Indonesia,” Mahfud said.

It is still not yet clear when Subianto will announce his running mate, which is speculated to be President Joko Widodo’s eldest son, Gibran Rakabuming Raka.

The Constitutional Court on Monday ruled against lowering the minimum age of presidential and vice presidential candidates to 35 instead of 40, but allowed an exception for those who served or been elected as regional leaders allowing them to run at younger age.

The ruling could pave the way for the 36-year-old Gibran, the mayor of Surakarta, to run in the election.

Indonesia, the world’s third-largest democracy, is set to vote in simultaneously legislative and presidential elections on Feb. 14, 2024. The country has had free and largely peaceful elections since the fall of dictator Suharto in 1998.

 
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Ganjar VP

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Mohammad Mahfud Mahmodin[1] (born 13 May 1957), commonly known as Mahfud MD,[2] is an Indonesian politician and lawyer, who is currently serving as the Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal, and Security Affairs of Indonesia and Acting Minister of Communication and Information Technology.[3][4] He is the first civilian to hold the office; with all of his predecessors coming from military – mostly Army – retirees.[5] He also previously served as the chief justice of the Constitutional Court of Indonesia, member of the People's Representative Council, Minister of Defense, and Minister of Law and Human Rights.

Born in Sampang, on 13 May 1957, he is of Madurese descent. He holds a master's degree in political science and a doctorate in constitutional law (1993) from Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta. He taught constitutional law at the faculty of law at the Islamic University of Indonesia (UII) in Yogyakarta, though he has also taught in a number of other universities in Indonesia. In 2000, he was appointed as Minister of Defense by president Abdurrahman Wahid, before being briefly appointed to the office of Minister of Law and Human Rights for three days. In 2004, he was elected to the People's Representative Council (DPR), as a member of the National Awakening Party.

In 2008, he was selected as a judge of the Constitutional Court. In the election for chief justice, he narrowly defeated the incumbent Jimly Asshiddiqie to become the second chief justice of the court. He resigned from the DPR upon taking the position, serving until his term ended in April 2013.[6] The end of Mahfud's time as chief justice was subsequently followed by intention to run for the presidential seat in 2014,[7] which was eventually won by former Jakarta governor, Joko Widodo.

In 2019, he was rumored to be Joko Widodo's running mate in 2019. As vice president Jusuf Kalla was not eligible to serve for another term, due to term limits, as Jusuf Kalla had already served another five-year term as vice-president under Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono from 2004 to 2009. Though he was passed up for the position, which instead went to Ma'ruf Amin. In 2019, following Joko Widodo's re-election, he was appointed the Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal, and Security Affairs.

 

Cheers, dancing and selfies as candidates register for elections​

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Former Jakarta governor Anies Baswedan and his running mate Muhaimin Iskandar arriving at the election commission in Jakarta to register on Oct 19, 2023. - Reuters

  • Thursday, 19 Oct 202
  • 4:12 PM MYT



JAKARTA (The Jakarta Post/Asia News Network): Election fever in Indonesia kicked into high gear as the first two pairs of candidates for the country’s top posts submitted their applications on Thursday (Oct 19), amid a carnival-like atmosphere as thousands of supporters cheered them on.


It was a sea of party flags at the General Elections Commission of Indonesia (KPU) in central Jakarta on Thursday, the first day of registrations for candidates. The crowd chanted the names of their candidates, recited prayers for their victory and danced along to music blaring from speakers.

Former Jakarta governor Anies Baswedan and his running mate, chairman of the National Awakening Party (PKB) Muhaimin Iskandar, were the first to register.

Arriving in a white jeep flanked by more than 12 security personnel, the duo dressed in matching white shirts and songkok headgear posed for selfies and shook hands with fans as they entered the KPU building at 9.45am.


ALSO READ: Mahfud to run for vice-president


At around 12.40pm, the candidates for the ruling Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), former Central Java governor Ganjar Pranowo and Indonesia’s Security Minister Mahfud MD, turned up at the commission in an open-air lorry decorated in the country’s flag colours of red and white.

Ganjar was dressed in a black shirt while Mahfud wore a white one. They also had a security team, which accompanied them as they waved and posed for the crowd. Their entourage also included a marching band.

The registration ends on Oct 25 and the election will be held on Feb 14, 2024. More than 204 million Indonesians are expected to vote.

Supporters for Amin, a portmanteau that they have given the Anies and Muhaimin pair, started arriving as early as 6am outside the KPU, with some travelling as long as three hours to reach the venue.

Rice farmer Ayoh Abas, 45, who comes from the Banten province located north-west of Jakarta, left her home at 4am while it was still dark, to be among the first standing outside KPU.

She said: “I want change. Anies can bring change. I want irrigation. Our paddy fields fully rely on rain, and now it’s been so dry.”

Amin supporters started clearing out of the KPU area from around 11.30am, after which those from the PDI-P pairing’s camp started arriving. While some supporters did cross paths, things stayed peaceful, and some supporters even smiled at each other and shook hands.

Housewife Nurhayati Manurung, a 55-year-old supporter of Ganjar, said that she admired his humility as well as his good track record as Central Java governor.

Nurhayati told The Straits Times that she took a train from Tangerang, a city outside Jakarta, with around 250 other supporters, and that she wanted to show her support to both Ganjar and Mahfud, who she said made for a “very cool pair”.

Nurhayati and Ayoh along with most of the more than 3,000 people who turned up outside the KPU, were decked out in merchandise bearing the names or the faces of the candidates.

T-shirts, vests and badges bore the faces of Anies, Ganjar and their running mates, as stalls peddled their goods, with some enterprising sellers weaving in and out of crowds to help the supporters make quick purchases.

“It’s only 9am, they’re not even here yet, and we’ve almost sold out. I wish I had brought more items, but our customers can still buy our items online,” said a stall owner selling Anies merchandise who did not want to give his name.

Despite the sweltering heat, supporters kept their energies up. They chanted the names of the candidates and made speeches to show support through loudhailers as well large speakers attached to stationary vehicles. Roads leading to the KPU were closed to allow people to assemble.

Prayers were recited for the candidates’ victory, reflecting how Indonesia is the world’s largest Muslim country and the big role that religion is expected to play in the upcoming electoral battle.

To recharge, some sat on picnic mats, shielded their eyes with sunglasses and vigorously used handheld fans – all of which could be purchased on-site.

“Lumayan, lumayan, lumayan” shouted a man selling sunglasses for 10,000 rupiah (90 Singapore cents).

Also available was street food sold from dozens of gerobak, or mobile vendor stalls. Supporters were seen tucking into mie ayam, rojak, as well as fried snacks prepared on the spot.

Volunteers, some of whom were handing out free bottles of water, reminded people to be responsible and to pick up after themselves to avoid littering.

More than 2,000 officers were deployed on Thursday to ensure that the registration process went on smoothly.

 
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Ganjar Mahfud Vision and Mission have been made. Here I show the main mission.

The detail is in PDF format and one of the good thing about it is that they want to increase research budget into 1 % of GDP.

file:///C:/Users/hardo/Downloads/Visi-Misi-Ganjar-Pranowo-Mahfud-MD-v2.pdf

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Here are Ganjar-Mahfud's eight missions:

1. Accelerate the development of superior Indonesian human beings who are high quality, productive and have personality.

2. Accelerate Mastery of Science and Technology through Accelerating Independent Research and Innovation (R & I).

3. Accelerate independent economic development based on knowledge and added value. Accelerate equitable economic development.

4. Accelerate Equal Economic Development.

5. Accelerate the Development of the National Digital System.

6. Accelerate the realization of a sustainable environment through the green and blue economy.

7. Accelerate the Implementation of Substantive Democracy, Respect for Human Rights, Just Rule of Law, and Professional Security.

8. Accelerate increasing Indonesia's role in realizing a new, more just world order through a free and active foreign policy and strengthening national defense.

 
I like that defense has become their priority as well but look like they will do it by ordering more local products (See Pindad Medium tank, Pindad SS2 Rifle, and Pindad excavator)

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Focus on local defense industry

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Hopefully under them, KF21/IFX program gets more financial backing

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Prabowo pick Jokowi 37 years old son as his running mate. I think this decision will likely boost Ganjar Mahfud popularity....

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Prabowo pick Jokowi 37 years old son as his running mate. I think this decision will likely boost Ganjar Mahfud popularity....

View attachment 964129

Is dynastic stuff appreciated in Indonesia? Why pick such a young guy? Just because he is son of President? Ganjar seems to be winning and is a good candidate.
 
Is dynastic stuff appreciated in Indonesia? Why pick such a young guy? Just because he is son of President? Ganjar seems to be winning and is a good candidate.

Correct, I also dont think it is a good thing for Prabowo camp. This decision is likely boosting Ganjar- Mahfud popularity.....

February Election will be the first test for both Prabowo and Ganjar popularity. In my opinion, both Ganjar and Mahfud are better debater then Prabowo and Gibran. Mahfud is also a Professor and very respected in Indonesia. It is likely their popularity will be raised during several debate events.

Anies is likely lost as it is in so many surveys results, then we will see who will be voted by Anies voters in the second election. There is no representation of Islamist in both Prabowo and Gibran candidacy (although 1 Islamic Party (PAN) is in their camp), both Prabowo and Gibran comes from Nationalist parties while Mahfud is an Islamist activist. Anies and Muhaimin are both Islamist leaders, so it is very likely Anies voters are going to vote for Ganjar-Mahfud in second election.

Well, lets see what will happen next, I hope Ganjar-Mahfud will win........
 
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Ipsos Survey: Prabowo and Ganjar are in tight competition, Anies is left behind

Monday, 16 October 2023 – 20:24 WIB

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The international research institute Ipsos Public Affairs conducted a face-to-face survey to capture electoral developments and dynamics ahead of the registration of presidential and vice-presidential candidates.The survey was held from 1-10 October in 34 provinces with 2039 respondents with a margin of error of approximately 2.19 percent.

In conducting this face-to-face survey, Ipsos used the Ipsos Ifield application which is an international standard."The results of this survey are certainly interesting and important considering that there are only a few days left before the presidential and vice presidential candidates register with the KPU, especially as we know that the two presidential candidates, Ganjar and Prabowo, have not yet decided who will be the vice presidential candidate," said political analyst and senior researcher at Ipsos Public Affairs Arif. Nurul Imam.

Arif said that the presidential candidates, Ganjar Pranowo and Prabowo Subianto, are still chasing each other to seek sympathy and support from the public. This is because the interval or distance between the electability of the two figures is very narrowly within the margin of error."Prabowo Subianto received an electability of 30.13 percent, while former Governor of Central Java Ganjar Pranowo had an electability of 29.77 percent, while Anies Baswedan had an electability of 20 percent, and those who had not yet made a choice were 20.10 percent," said Arif.

Interestingly, continued Arif, in the midst of widespread rumors about Gibran Rakabuming being paired with Prabowo Subianto if the Constitutional Court grants the nomination age limit, it turns out that he does not have significant electoral leverage compared to other potential figures in the ranks of Prabowo's vice presidential candidates, such as Erick Thohir, Ridwan Kamil and Mahfud MD."This is because in our simulation, Mas Gibran, if we simulate with Mr Prabowo, is only in fifth place, below the other vice presidential candidates," he said.

Also Read: Poltracking Survey: Prabowo and Erick Thohir are supported by the majority of Nahdiyin in East Java.

Meanwhile, for vice presidential candidate Ganjar Pranowo, the names Mahfud MD and Sandiaga S. Uno are not far apart, so other pluses and minuses can still be considered. East Java Governor Khofifah Indar Parawansa, who had become a bone of contention on two political axes, apparently did not have a significant electoral effect.

"From our simulation, Mrs. Khofifah is in eighth place below the other figures, but she still has potential when we put two pairs in the simulation facing Ganjar Pranowo and Sandiaga S. Uno," he said. Therefore, continued Arif, accuracy in choosing a vice presidential candidate will be one of the variables in increasing the probability of victory. "Don't just look at the characters on the surface, but have to be photographed in detail so that you don't make a mistake in choosing the vice presidential candidate," he said.

Meanwhile, Deputy Director of Ipsos Public Affairs Sukma Widyanti stated that we also captured the support of the two large organizations NU and Muhammadiyah in this survey. The result, according to him, was that NU and Muhammadiyah congregations were scattered among all the candidates, because no one received a majority of votes."Voters who feel close to Muhammadiyah channel their aspirations more towards Anies Baswedan at 38 percent, while Prabowo Subianto at 27.93 percent and Ganjar Pranowo at 20.72 percent," he said.

Voters who felt close to Nahdhatul Ulama, continued Sukma, almost equally strongly supported Prabowo Subianto with 33.33 percent, Ganjar Pranowo with 31.51 percent and those who said they supported Anies Baswedan with 18.32 percent. "In terms of political party electability, the three parties in Senayan, namely PAN, Democrat and PPP, must mobilize their political resources to pass the parliamentary threshold, because in terms of political capital the chances of passing are still very large, including new parties," he said.

Apart from being a member of the Indonesian Public Opinion Survey Association (Persepi), Ipsos is also a member of the Association for Global Research Agency Worldwide (ESOMAR), an international research association that conducts periodic audits of its members. For your information, Ipsos is a very experienced international research institution.

This institution, headquartered in France, operates in 90 countries, apart from being known for conducting market research, it also carries out social and political research, including in Indonesia. (jpnn)

 

Who will succeed Jokowi? Indonesia to open candidate registration​


Presidential hopefuls' choice of running mates draws attention; tight race expected

View attachment 963156
JAKARTA -- Indonesia is set to open on Thursday registration for February's presidential election, marking the official start of the process to select Joko "Jokowi" Widodo's successor as leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation.

As many as 204.8 million people are eligible to cast ballots on Feb. 14 in the globe's largest direct presidential vote. They also will elect national and regional lawmakers, choosing candidates from among 24 parties that have passed screenings by the General Elections Commission.

Three presidential candidates -- former Central Java Gov. Ganjar Pranowo, Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto and former Jakarta Gov. Anies Baswedan -- are widely expected to join the race, with Widodo constitutionally barred from seeking a third term.

Registrations close on Oct. 25, giving way to a monthslong campaign season during which candidates will tout their prescriptions for economic growth, take stands on the planned relocation of the country's capital and debate other issues.

The country's political temperature is already rising, with names of potential vice presidential running mates being bandied about. On Wednesday, the biggest political party, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), named Mohammad Mahfud MD, the coordinating minister for political, legal and security affairs, as Pranowo's running mate.

The move comes after a contentious Constitutional Court ruling on Monday amending a clause that barred anyone younger than 40 from running on a presidential ticket, allowing exceptions for candidates who have already won "a general election, including a regional leader election."

Critics have slammed the ruling, arguing it was meant to clear a path for Widodo's eldest son, 36-year-old Gibran Rakabuming, to join the contest as a vice presidential nominee.


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Both Widodo and Rakabuming are members of the PDI-P. But Rakabuming, currently the mayor of the Central Java town of Solo, has recently emerged as a potential running mate to Subianto, chairman of the Gerindra Party.

Subianto is reportedly wooing Rakabuming in an attempt to secure support from Widodo, who has not formally endorsed any candidate. Widodo has denied influencing the court's decision.

Subianto is also considering a few other names, including the state enterprise minister and the governors of West and East Java. Gerindra Party officials have said Subianto will first discuss names with leaders of other parties in his coalition.

According to several opinion polls conducted during the past few months, Subianto, who lost to Widodo in the 2014 and 2019 elections, and Pranowo lead the race in a virtual dead heat, with Baswedan far behind.

Analysts believe the right running mate could tip the balance.

"It's a very competitive [race] between Prabowo and Ganjar, so the vice presidential candidate becomes an important variable," Hanta Yuda, executive director of Poltracking Indonesia, said during a recent presentation of the pollster's latest survey results.

The weightiness of the decision explains why it is taking both camps so long to name their VP nominees, Yuda said. "They're taking a peek at each other's strategies," he went on. "If they pick the wrong candidate ... it could become a blunder."

Meanwhile, Baswedan last month, in a surprise move that angered some of his previous allies, named National Awakening Party (PKB) Chairman Muhaimin Iskandar as his running mate.


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Multiple polls suggest that none of the tickets is likely to win more than half of the votes, meaning a runoff is expected. The General Elections Commission has set June 26 as the date for a second round.

Some analysts say Subianto is likely to benefit from a runoff. Unlike Baswedan, seen as an opposition figure, both Pranowo and Subianto are deemed Widodo successors who would continue the current president's flagship policies. Their popularity has been attributed to the president's high approval ratings.

Subianto was an opposition leader before Widodo in 2019 offered him a cabinet post. So if Baswedan, as the polls suggest, is indeed eliminated in the first round, more of his voters are likely to shift to Subianto than Pranowo.

However, if past elections -- including the 2017 Jakarta governor race that Baswedan won -- are any indication, the situation could change drastically as voting day nears.

"There are still four or five months ahead of the election," Yuda said, "and according to the data, 50% of voters could still alter their choice. Anies [Baswedan's popularity] could still suddenly soar."


Does not matter.

Indonesia is now fully controlled by the West.

Whoever West picks will lead Indonesia.
 
LATEST SURVEY

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IPSOS Survey: Ganjar-Mahfud Beat Prabowo-Gibran

The IPSOS survey stated that in two rounds Prabowo-Gibran lost to Ganjar-Mahfud.

Red: Muhammad Hafil

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Sabtu 21 Oct 2023 09:55 WIB

REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, JAKARTA -- Approaching the closing day for registration of presidential and vice presidential candidates for the 2024 elections, two prospective candidates have registered, namely the pair Anies Baswedan - Muhaimin Iskandar and the pair Ganjar Pranowo - Mahfud MD at almost the same time.

On the other hand, Prabowo Subianto has not yet determined the vice presidential candidate who will accompany him. Prabowo is still experiencing a dilemma in choosing one of the strongest candidates, namely Gibran Rakabuming Raka and Erick Thohir.

To capture the public's views on the Prabowo Subianto couple, Ipsos Public Affairs again conducted a telesurvey poll of 1,207 respondents in 34 provinces which was held on 17 – 19 October 2023, with a margin of error of 2.83 percent.In the simulation of three pairs of candidates for President/Vice President, not one pair has reached 50%+1 or the majority of votes.

Whether it was when Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, Ganjar Pranowo - Mahfud MD faced Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka or Prabowo Subianto - Erick Thohir.The results of the first simulation were Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (28.91%), Ganjar Pranowo -Mahfud MD (31.98%) while Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka (31.32%).Meanwhile, when Prabowo Subianto was paired with Erick Thohir, Prabowo Subianto - Erick Thohir's vote share was 37.53% compared to Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD (31.73%) and Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (28.91%).

By referring to the results of the three competing pairs, no majority support was found that exceeded 50%+1, so it is very likely that the 2024 Presidential Election will last in two rounds.In the second round, Ipsos Public Affairs only simulated the two pairs with the most votes.Namely the pair Ganjar Pranowo – Mahfud MD with Prabowo Subianto – Erick Thohir or the pair Ganjar Pranowo – Mahfud MD facing Prabowo Subianto – Gibran Rakabuming Raka.As a result, the Prabowo Subianto - Erick Thohir duet has a higher electability boost than Prabowo Subianto - Gibran Rakabuming.

"The Prabowo-Erick Thohir duet discourse, in our Ipsos Public Affairs survey simulation, actually has better electability leverage," said political observer and senior Ipsos Public Affairs researcher Arif Nurul Imam.This confirms the findings of the survey from 1 - 10 October which placed the BUMN Minister in the position of most potential vice presidential candidate above Gibran Rakabuming Raka who was only in fifth position.

"If we refer to the existing data, in the simulation of two candidate pairs, Ganjar Pranowo - Mahfud MD facing Prabowo Subianto - Gibran Rakabuming, it was found that the public preferred the Ganjar-Mahfud pair, 48.72 percent with a quite significant vote gap with the Prabowo Subianto pair - Gibran Rakabuming Raka 41.67 percent," he said."However, we also cannot rule out the political capital possessed by Gibran Rakabuming, who still has the potential to win the election in the second round paired with Prabowo," he said.

With closing day approaching, Prabowo Subianto must take a political stance in choosing a vice presidential candidate. This is to make it easier for the third pair of presidential/vice presidential candidates to concentrate on developing a winning strategy."Prabowo's accuracy in choosing his vice presidential candidate will determine his potential victory in facing Ganjar Pranowo – Mahfud MD in the second round," he said.

 
Does not matter.

Indonesia is now fully controlled by the West.

Whoever West picks will lead Indonesia.

Says a Pakistani whose PM is kicked out by his own army because deputy assistant secretary of state of US ordered. Matlab 17 grade ka banda tere COAS ko order kar k tera PM chalta karta hay. And u blame others 😂.
 

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