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What will upcoming crisis bring for Pakistan?

Aijaz Kolachi

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Pakistan is a country going through an economic crisis. I’m just concerned about overall security situation in Pakistan because it suffers from decades long ethnic/sectarian faultlines which can get violent again. But unlike before we wouldn’t have sufficient resources to enforce the law and counter them. It can spiral out of control. Population in Pakistan is heavily armed. Anarchy could be an possibility.

History background:
Urban Sindh during 1985-2016 was a hellhole of ethnic/sectarian conflict and killings where whole cities/towns were segregated and made no-go zones for other ethnic groups. It’s only during 2016 after operations against MQM and Aman committee that it’s been controlled. SRA an relatively inactive group has been made active again. It’s only to be seen their capability.

TTP onces used to control half of KPK in 2009, there were TTP pickups spotted in Margalla hills. Peshawar was on verge of falling and capital was shifted towards Abbotabad. All tunnels leading out and in to KPK were about to be blown to stop their advance. But security forces stopped their offensive and decimated them. They have returned now and regrouped. Doing daily attacks on security forces. They only need the opportunity to take over again with support of Afghan Taliban on their back.

BLA again is at its peak. This is the fifth Balochistan insurgency and longest in them. They can take advantage.
 
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Things are better

Don't allow stupid to get in the way of reality

We have too many ethnocentric idiots in the country that have caused chaos from the beginning

But the core of the country and the majority is the patriotic population


We have gone easy on the ethnocentric types but its time to bring the hammer down


The sindhi idiots with their ancestral land idiocy have bough water issues across Sindh, same for Balochistan, afghan ethnocentric idiocy has destroyed the afghans in Afghanistan


Now is a good time to change these battered populations



Our enemy cannot sustain and we can inflict much more damage upon them
 
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The crises are temporary, Pakistan emerging without East India Company slaves is going to be a glorious sight and feeling. In sha Allah.
 
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Dont get so worried. All problems with Pakistan in past were either religious or Ethnic. Never have it caused by powerty or lack of basic neccesasities.
You will not run out of food in Pakistan. You have Running water.
Even if they dont let IK into power, Your PDM (Khichri) government will Keep public sector runnung by printing the hell out of money. Privatize most of public sector. Stop public welfare funds. There will be mass loadshedding (2007-2012 Flashbacks)
Then they will Let Dollar Free Fall. Inflation will run rampant due to high fuel prices. Imported goods will dissappear. But they eill spend on token Projects.
Army and Rangers will get their share without delay. Poor people are not that progressive even now. They only live on basics. There will get more deprived but it will not hurt them that much to take up arms.They are used to being poor. And Rich are rich they dont care. Only Middle class will get crushed but they are too busy keeping their families and status alive they would never dare rebel.
As long as the govt keep Police and Army alive , Nothing will happen in Pakistan society.
Even if govt sales out all major national assets , People wont care.
If Imran khan is brought back. He will come with full power this time.
He will tax the hell out of everyone. Penalize Business community to pay more in any aspect. Get credit lines from any source possible. No spending on Infrastructure. He will supress the existing businesses to pay more and promote new startups (Which in my personal opinnion is too harsh on existing base). He will basically slaughter large scale undocumented economy activity. Give TOKA back in hands of FBR. Real Estate sector will be hit very bad. Manufacturing sector will be given relief like before. But then again General public will suffer even under him. Salaried people will face the music. As even the direction will be om track. Path is very difficult.
 
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