"The UAE Will Triumph Over Iran in the Next Middle Eastern War"

[sepasgozar]

Just give the sanctions a wee bit more time to bite in.

I think you need to reiterate “giving sanctions a bit more time.” Three times was not enough...

Sanctions won’t do shit. In a hegemonic global situation where the USD predominates and the mere word of a backwards and bigoted POTUS can affect currency prices, devaluation in the rial is not significant. The worse in that regard has already been done, and the US lacks any backbone this time around to do real damage with unaligned and in-cohesive sanctions.

 

[VCheng]

I think you need to reiterate “giving sanctions a bit more time.” Three times was not enough...

Sanctions won’t do shit. In a hegemonic global situation where the USD predominates and the mere word of a backwards and bigoted POTUS can affect currency prices, devaluation in the rial is not significant. The worse in that regard has already been done, and the US lacks any backbone this time around to do real damage with unaligned and in-cohesive sanctions.

It is already over 42,000 Irani riyals to one USD. Just wait a little more and it will be worth even less. And less.

 

[fitpOsitive]

Headline: "As Iranian bluster again increases, it could very well be Abu Dhabi that teaches Tehran a permanent lesson."

Link: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/uae-will-triumph-over-iran-next-middle-eastern-war-41937

My view: This really is a satirical article, based on analysis that is so poorly informed that I can hardly tolerate the nausea it causes. The UAE, which has outsourced its entire independence to the US and Britain, would hardly last 6 hours in a war with Iran. The backwards Sheikhs in the Emirates can bet their behinds that they will rescind back to the camel-riding days after a barrage of IRI missiles flies into their so called economic zones, and after just one hit on the Burj the UAE economy will be no more. Strike UAE air strips, and they won't be able to use their fighter jets. UAE and it's allies cannot even withstand AK-47 wielding Houthis, and we have proponents who think this of a potential confrontation scenario between Iran-UAE? If Abu Dhabi wishes to be the next Persian Gulf state to confront Iran, it ought to account for its ensuing demise. But that's just my take... I'd love to hear yours. Share your take on a potential confrontation unfolding, and the forum can discuss.

Iran is indeed the most powerful country in Me. The only military powers comparable to Iran are Israel and Egypt.

 

[Sineva]

How far back do you want to go? Before the West, there were the Ottomans, and a dozen empires before that that have a role in the present shape of the entire region.

Only modern history is relevant to the present day situation,not to mention that the ottomans and their predecessors no longer exist and so cannot continue to actively influence events today......unlike the west,sadly.
The present day middle east was created in the period during the aftermath of ww1 and the end of the ottoman empire,right up to the post ww2/early cold war period.It was the events during this period that set the stage for the current situation in the me today.The nations most responsible for the current me are britain,france,the usa and israel.The soviet union played a role as well,tho it was apparent by the late 70s with the loss of egypt as its main client in the region that soviet influence was on the decline in the me and pretty much vanished altogether along with the soviet union at the beginning of the 90s.

 

[Persian Gulf 1906]

You will be killing more expats than emirati citizens and will surely anger the countries whose citizens were killed such as India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and might even kill more Iranians than UAE citizens. UAE would retaliate with cruise missiles and besides Saudi Arabia is developing ballistic missiles with Ukraine that have a cep of about 30-50 meters which in theory they could retaliate with. Unpopular opinion but I do think UAE could take and hold Abu Musa by coordinating their forces to firstly strike Iran's 7 air bases near on and near Abu Musa. Secondly, attacking strategic targets in Abu Musa. Thirdly, attacking ships based in the strait of hormuz. Fourthly, using landing craft carrying about 6000 troops to land the troops, SAM, and armored vehicles. Iran might try to retaliate but they would be risking striking their own citizens if they launch ballistic missiles. Air superiority would already be achieved so I don't see any viable options for Iran. You can disprove me however you see fit but this is just my opinion.

Expats usually die in war as collateral damage. This would be a defensive war for Iran and a few expat deaths would quickly cause huge capital and human flight out of UAE and destroy their economy. End of war already.

So now you're saying it will be UAE and KSA, not just UAE. UAE invades Iranian islands in the Persian Gulf, then KSA launches BM at Iran? Quite far-fetched. Even so, Iran is ready for this scenario too and will destroy Saudi oilfields if they decide to attack Iran. KSA already more dependent on oil exports than Iran.

None of your scenario is plausible, you can't just easily transport thousands of soldiers and a SAM system lol. USA would quickly intervene to push for ceasefire anyway and in ceasefire status quo ante bellum is restored most of the time.

But UAE/KSA are not as delusional as you, because they did not try this even when Saddam invaded Iran with support from US, Soviets, KSA, Kuwait and Europe.

Iran is indeed the most powerful country in Me. The only military powers comparable to Iran are Israel and Egypt.

Turkey is very powerful. Egypt could be powerful but under Sisi they are nothing, only a US/Israel puppet regime.

 

[VCheng]

Only modern history is relevant to the present day situation,not to mention that the ottomans and their predecessors no longer exist and so cannot continue to actively influence events today......unlike the west,sadly.
The present day middle east was created in the period during the aftermath of ww1 and the end of the ottoman empire,right up to the post ww2/early cold war period.It was the events during this period that set the stage for the current situation in the me today.The nations most responsible for the current me are britain,france,the usa and israel.The soviet union played a role as well,tho it was apparent by the late 70s with the loss of egypt as its main client in the region that soviet influence was on the decline in the me and pretty much vanished altogether along with the soviet union at the beginning of the 90s.

Iran can try to changes things in the region as it wishes to promote its national interests, but then other players are also entitled to do the same to serve their own national interests. That is just the nature of international geopolitics. The better player wins, always.

 

[Persian Gulf 1906]

The better player wins, always.

Pakistan must be very bad player.

 

[VCheng]

Pakistan must be very bad player.

Not as good as the best, but surprisingly better than many.

 

[Sineva]

Just wait a little, what's the rush?

Yeah,after all whats another 40 years of waiting,right?[lol!]
and another 40 after that,and another 40 after that,aaaannd yet another 40 after that......and so on and so forth etc,etc

 

[VCheng]

Yeah,after all whats another 40 years of waiting,right?[lol!]
and another 40 after that,and another 40 after that,aaaannd yet another 40 after that......and so on and so forth etc,etc

International geopolitics is a never ending game, after all.

 

[Bahram Esfandiari]

Just give the sanctions a wee bit more time to bite in.

Iran has been under Sanctions for almost 40 years if you have not noticed!

 

[VCheng]

Iran has been under Sanctions for almost 40 years if you have not noticed!

And it has hollowed out from within gradually over that period of time.

 

[Bahram Esfandiari]

And it has hollowed out from within gradually over that period of time.

Hardly. Iran is stronger today than at any point before 1979 when Iran was nothing more than a vassal state just like your Pakistan.

 

[VCheng]

Hardly. Iran is stronger today than at any point before 1979 when Iran was nothing more than a vassal state just like your Pakistan.

We will find out sooner rather than later just how robust such claims are. What's the rush?

 

[925boy]

Just a few more years of sanctions is all that it will take. A million years is just useless hyperbole.

IMO, US sanctions alone cant collapse Iran economically. US+ UN sanctions = Max pressure possible on Iran. But there are no UN sanctions currently on Iran. China saved NK from US+UN sanctions, but Oil+ Gas probably "saved" Iran from US sanctions.