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The Submarine Race in the Malaccan Strait

Reashot Xigwin

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By Zachary Keck
July 16, 2013

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Along with the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf near Iran and Oman, the Strait of Malacca is the world’s most important shipping chokepoint.

Linking the Indian Ocean to the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, the Malacca Strait is by far the shortest maritime route connecting Persian Gulf energy producers to their largest consumers in countries like China, Japan, and South Korea.

50,000 merchant ships carrying 40 percent of all world trade pass through the 900-km long (550 miles) strait each year. It’s particularly strategic for regional energy supplies. According to the U.S. government’s Energy Information Agency (EIA), in 1993 about 7 million barrels per day (bbl/d) of oil and petroleum products—at the time about 20 percent of global seaborne traded oil— transited the Strait of Malacca. By 2011, this number had risen to 15 million bbl/d or 33 percent of all seaborne traded oil.

Northeast Asia’s dependence on oil coming through the strait is remarkable. Japan relies on the Malaccan Strait for about 90 percent of its oil imports. As recently as 2010, China relied on the strait for some 80 percent of its imported oil. Little wonder then that former President Hu Jintao famously referred to China’s Malacca Dilemma.

Three nations—Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia— sit atop the Malaccan Strait, which is just 1.7 miles (2.7 km) wide at its narrowest point. While foreign navies like the United States have traditionally operated in the area, and China’s navy has increasingly taken a strong interest in doing so, the naval forces of these littoral states should not be overlooked.

Indeed, taking stock of their strategic location, all three countries have acquired submarine forces, with Indonesia in particular possessing considerable subsurface ambitions for the future.

The Republic of Singapore’s Navy (RSN) has one of the most formidable submarine forces in the region, commissioning its sixth vessel in May. All six of the vessels were purchased from Sweden in two different batches.

Four of Singapore’s submarines are of the Challenger-class variant. Purchased from Sweden in the 1990s and delivered between 1995-1997, the Challenger-class submarines displace 12,000 tons when submerged and can travel about 20 knots underwater. Each unit has 6 torpedo tubes and carries about 10 of Sweden’s Type 613 torpedoes and 4 of Sweden’s Type 431 torpedoes.

With these submarines ageing, Singapore again turned to Sweden for its underwater capabilities, agreeing to purchase two Archer-class submarines in 2005.The Archer-class vessels are highly upgraded versions of the Västergötland Class diesel-electric submarines Sweden has long operated. Notably, the Archer-class vessels have air independent propulsion (AIP) systems, allowing them to operate quietly and remain submerged for weeks. They also have 9 torpedo tubes and carry 12 Black Shark heavy torpedoes, 6 type 431/451 light torpedoes, as well as mines.

Singapore’s traditional rival, Malaysia, has an enormous coastline and is also located along the strategic Strait of Malacca. These factors led the Royal Malaysian Navy (RMN) to determine in 2002 that it would need a small submarine force to patrol its waters.

“We have such a large body of water to police. We need submarines because it is a force multiplier. They can appear anywhere and because they are stealth, they are hard to detect. That makes our deterrent value much higher,” Malaysian Defense Minister Najib Razak explained at the time.

Towards that end, Malaysia turned to France to service its underwater needs, agreeing to purchase two Scorpene-class submarines (the same kind India is now buying from France) and a refitted French submarine for training purchases. The deal was worth 1.035 billion euro at the time, which is today around US$1.3 billion. Both of the Scorpene-class vessels were commissioned in 2009. Malaysia’s version of the submarines does not include AIP but they do have the ability to launch EXOCET SM39 anti-ship missiles with a range of 50 km while submerged.

Malaysia’s decision to acquire the Scorpene-class submarines has heightened Indonesia’s insecurity, causing it to reexamine its own submarine fleet.

As the world’s largest archipelagic country, Indonesia has coastlines stretching 108,000 km and claims an exclusive economic zone (EEZ) of around 5.8 million square km. It also sits along at least three major maritime shipping lanes, the Malacca, Sunda and Lombok Straits.

Not surprisingly, then, Indonesia’s Navy, Tentara Nasional Indonesia-Angkatan Laut (TNI–AL), has long seen it fit to operate an underwater force. Since the early 1980s, TNI-AL has operated two submarines, the KRI Cakra and KRI Nenggala, which are U-209/1300 submarines acquired from Germany. Called Cakra-class submarines in Indonesia, both vessels were refitted extensively by a South Korean company in the last decade, which resulted in the modernization of their “propulsions systems, detection and navigation systems, and new fire control and combat systems,” according to Nuclear Threat Initiative.

More importantly, Indonesia has signaled it has ambitious plans to expand its underwater fleet, with naval officials at times suggesting the country would like to ultimately acquire between 14 and 18 submarines. Indonesia’s Defense Strategic Plan of 2024 called for TNI-AL to acquire at least ten submarines by that time, although many believe financial constraints will make this goal unattainable.

These great ambitions are partly driven by history, Koh Swee Lean Collin, an Associate Research Fellow at the RSIS Military Studies Program, tells The Diplomat.

“During its 'golden age' in the 1960s, the TNI-AL had up to 12 Soviet-built submarines of the 'Whiskey class.’” Colin explains, while noting that financial constraints may limit the navy to eight vessels for now.

Nonetheless, Indonesia is pushing ahead with this slightly pared back goal.

After entertaining bids from Russian, Turkish and French companies, among others, in December 2011 Indonesia ultimately decided to purchase 3 new submarines from South Korea’s Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering, the company that refitted the TNI-AL’s existing submarine fleet. The submarines are reportedly of the Type-209/1400 diesel-electric variant, and have been described by Indonesian officials as similar to Malaysia’s Scorpene-class. The contract was worth US$1.1 billion, the submarines expected to be delivered between 2015-2018.

Under the terms of the contract, the third submarine will be built in Indonesia, reflecting Indonesia’s goal of acquiring the capability to produce submarines indigenously. Indeed, just last month Defense Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro reaffirmed that the country is building the necessary infrastructure to produce submarines domestically.

Indonesia also recently completed a new military base on Palu Bay, which will serve as the country’s submarine base. The base took two years to build and cost US$717,000, according to Jakarta Post. The newspaper also said that Palu Bay is “10 kilometers wide and its coastline stretches for 68 kilometers while its depth reaches 400 meters.”

Collin, the researcher at RSIS, explains it this way:

“The primary reasons for selecting Palu have surely got to do with geography. It's located first of all astride the Strait of Makassar and the Palu Bay is a narrow, deep inlet (reportedly 400m) which provides maximum security for the submarine force in terms of concealment and defense against attacks. Besides its sitting astride the strategic waterway, Palu offers direct access northwards into the Sulawesi Sea, where Indonesia still has outstanding dispute with Malaysia over the Ambalat offshore oil block.”

Overall, Collin describes the purpose of Indonesia’s submarine fleet as one of deterrence in peacetime, and sea-control or at least sea-denial in times of war.

“Submarines certainly form a major facet of the whole game plan” of Indonesia’s Navy, he says. “Their role is intended largely in peacetime to constitute a 'fleet-in-being' deterrent to any potential foe. In wartime, due to the multiplicity of possible sea approaches the adversary may undertake, it is necessary to carry out effective sea denial using submarines, by focusing them on the strategic SLOCs of the highest priority.”

Owing to its geography, “Palu base certainly serves as a 'force multiplier' in this respect,” Collin adds.

The Submarine Race in the Malaccan Strait | Flashpoints | The Diplomat
 
India has got unsinkable aircraft carriers right at the entrance of the Malacca straights.


India to setup new airbases in Andaman Island

07 Feb 2010 : Increasing security concern and emerging need of revamping security in the Andaman and Nicobar Island has prompted India to set up new airbases and upgrade the existing ones in the Island. The Admiral said that the existing air-strip was not suitable for meeting the security requirements and plans were in place to build new air-strips in the 572 islands to establish better control over the territory and provide adequate security cover to the island, which is 700-km from the mainland.

The airstrip up north (Northern Andaman Islands) needs to be refurbished. Even for smaller aircraft it is a tight fit,' Verma told reporters in Port Blair. Adding further, he said that night landing facilities would also be established at the air-strips.

The airfield at Shibpur is about 1,000 feet in length and is inadequate for smaller cargo aircraft like Dornier and AN-32. Currently, only helicopters are capable of conducting operations from the airfield. Other airbases in the region are situated at Port Blair, Car Nicobar, and Campbell Bay, with plans to establish new ones in Katchul and Hut Bay.

The decision comes at a time when China is focussing on establishing their stronghold in the waters by expanding its navy at an unprecedented pace. Additional airbases would augment the capability of Indian armed forces to enhance the pace of troop mobilisation and logistical support in wake of any Chinese hostility. It will also enable India to extend its sphere of influence South China Sea.

The IAF has also opened three Advanced Landing Grounds (ALGs) in the past two years to counter China’s military expansion. The latest being Nyoma in eastern Ladakh, just 23 km from the Line of Actual Control (LAC) with China, which was opened in September 2009. The other two ALGs are Daulat Beg Oldi, the world's highest airfield at 16,200 feet, in May 2008 and Fuk Che in November in the same year.

The Indian army on its past is modernising their artillery in a US$4 billion modernisation program to counter China. The big neighbour continues to be a threat to India, with whom it has a border dispute and even fought a war in 1962.
 
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India can completely choke the shipping traffic through Malacca straights, which accounts to almost 40% of worlds shipping. The Andaman and Nicobar island chain literally acts as a gate for the Malacca straights to enter Bay of Bengal. These islands are like unsinkable aircraft carriers sitting at the mouth of the Malcca straights.
If China feels it can control the shipping traffic between Pacific ocean and Indian ocean by controlling the South-China sea area, they are in for a big surprise. 80% of China's oil imports flows through the Malacca straights.
 
10islandnew.jpg

India can completely choke the shipping traffic through Malacca straights, which accounts to almost 40% of worlds shipping. The Andaman and Nicobar island chain literally acts as a gate for the Malacca straights to enter Bay of Bengal. These islands are like unsinkable aircraft carriers sitting at the mouth of the Malcca straights.
If China feels it can control the shipping traffic between Pacific ocean and Indian ocean by controlling the South-China sea area, they are in for a big surprise. 80% of China's oil imports flows through the Malacca straights.

Disagree.

India would challenge the Chinese directly if it does that.

Even talking of choking might invite more instability to india's north east.

not good.
 
Disagree.

India would challenge the Chinese directly if it does that.

Even talking of choking might invite more instability to india's north east.

not good.

We have challenged China for a long time now. Isn't Arunachal Pradesh still an integral part of India inspite of China's best efforts. NE India is quite stable compared to majority of Western areas of Pakistan. Some minor irritants are easily managed.
 
We have challenged China for a long time now. Isn't Arunachal Pradesh still an integral part of India inspite of China's best efforts. NE India is quite stable compared to majority of Western areas of Pakistan. Some minor irritants are easily managed.

You want to grab the chinese by the throat and expect a same old response?

Well then good luck.
 
You want to grab the chinese by the throat and expect a same old response?

Well then good luck.

its not that india starts a war..ofcourse either china or india will try to avoid it to a maximum extent but if india happened to be involved in a war with china and while we're taking blows in himalayas india would use all the resources at its disposal and malacca is one of them..which is the reason why they developed gwadar..to lay a pipeline through kashmir inorder to bipass malacca..so its an open secret..everybody would use the weapons at their disposal when threatened
 
its not that india starts a war..ofcourse either china or india will try to avoid it to a maximum extent but if india happened to be involved in a war with china and while we're taking blows in himalayas india would use all the resources at its disposal and malacca is one of them..which is the reason why they developed gwadar..to lay a pipeline through kashmir inorder to bipass malacca..so its an open secret..everybody would use the weapons at their disposal when threatened

There would not be a war as such. A proxy war might escalate. A proxy war is effective when the backer is stable, rich and militarily strong.

Now who qualifies better?

:whistle:
 
Disagree.

India would challenge the Chinese directly if it does that.

Even talking of choking might invite more instability to india's north east.

not good.


he said, if china challenge india directly in south china sea then india can completely choke the chinees shipping traffic through Malacca

There would not be a war as such. A proxy war might escalate. A proxy war is effective when the backer is stable, rich and militarily strong.

Now who qualifies better?

:whistle:

proxy war in TAR is more easier for india than china can do it in India
 
There would not be a war as such. A proxy war might escalate. A proxy war is effective when the backer is stable, rich and militarily strong.

Now who qualifies better?

:whistle:

nothing new to india..we faced many blows and also delivered equally..proxy is nothing new to india or pakistan but when it comes to china..i seriously doubt it..our naxal problem is decreased considerably and they're confined to a small region now and soon will be extinct..troubles in kashmir have decreased and with nawaz on the throne..things will be easier for india on the kashmir front..with out deviating from the topic i'd also like to add that foreign policy of china is a disaster..its trying to consolidate its hold over the countries in IOR but neglected or even antagonized almost its every neighbour..sure china is millitarily superior to india atleast for now but when it comes to diplomacy india is way ahead of china..we have our cards to play..

on the contrary to ur statement the stronger the party the greater it has to loose in case of a proxy..our growth rate is 5-6% now and even if its down now we have a potential to grow for atleast 2-3 decades but china is in the peak of 7-8% and it donot have somuch time to regain its growth already dependent people to working population in china is growing and if china deviates its path from growth then it'd be a disaster for it..
 
nothing new to india..we faced many blows and also delivered equally..proxy is nothing new to india or pakistan but when it comes to china..i seriously doubt it..our naxal problem is decreased considerably and they're confined to a small region now and soon will be extinct..troubles in kashmir have decreased and with nawaz on the throne..things will be easier for india on the kashmir front..with out deviating from the topic i'd also like to add that foreign policy of china is a disaster..its trying to consolidate its hold over the countries in IOR but neglected or even antagonized almost its every neighbour..sure china is millitarily superior to india atleast for now but when it comes to diplomacy india is way ahead of china..we have our cards to play..

on the contrary to ur statement the stronger the party the greater it has to loose in case of a proxy..our growth rate is 5-6% now and even if its down now we have a potential to grow for atleast 2-3 decades but china is in the peak of 7-8% and it donot have somuch time to regain its growth already dependent people to working population in china is growing and if china deviates its path from growth then it'd be a disaster for it..

Don't count your chickens before the eggs hatch. I heard news that India will overtake China in 10 years & fell for it. That was 10 years ago mind you. As long as China remain the undisputed superpower in Asia. Any opinion or article regarding "China fall" must be taken with a grain of salt.
 
There would not be a war as such. A proxy war might escalate. A proxy war is effective when the backer is stable, rich and militarily strong.

Now who qualifies better?

:whistle:

You Mean China will Start a Proxy war against India ..... w8 a Second you forget the Struggle of Tibet and Enough said to find result of who will win Proxy war ..!!

Don't count your chickens before the eggs hatch. I heard news that India will overtake China in 10 years & fell for it. That was 10 years ago mind you. As long as China remain the undisputed superpower in Asia. Any opinion or article regarding "China fall" must be taken with a grain of salt.

India will overtake China in 10 years & fell for it. Hmmm 10 year ago ?? :hitwall: Link Plzzz
 
Malaccan Strait is The Golden key to Lock the Dragon in Doors of South China Sea :cheers:
 
India will overtake China in 10 years & fell for it. Hmmm 10 year ago ?? :hitwall: Link Plzzz

Its in a newspaper article from 10 years ago do you think I still keep it! Like I said don't count your chickens before they hatch. When India ACTUALLY manages to catch up to China then I will believe it. Till then all article or opinion on "China fall" should be taken with a grain of salt.
 
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