The Great Game Changer: Belt and Road Intiative (BRI; OBOR)

[TaiShang]

Yep. There's a serious deficit in the quality of strategic thinking between the adversaries.

China strategy is derived from Weiqi. Everything China does has a strategic purpose. Maritime Silk Road, AIIB, island reclamation - these all translate into tangible gains for China, increase China's influence, bind trade partners close to China, and create new facts on the grounds. Every turn, China places a new stone on the board.

The Americans think they are playing chess. In chess, it's important to move your pieces into position for checkmate. So superficially, the USA's military posturing, escalations and constant shuffling around of military assets would appear to be strategically sound. The problem is however is that the objective of chess is to deliver checkmate, but the US is neither willing nor capable of delivering checkmate. And if they can't deliver checkmate, then there's the added cost of overextending themselves.

What they want to intimidate China through their bluffs (they call it 'shock and awe') into stopping island reclamation, and more generally, to submit to US hegemony in Asia. That is actually a poker strategy, and they combining poker strategy with chess tactics, which makes for an incoherent approach.

All China has to do is ignore the bluffs, and keep putting more stone on the board, and if the US can't respond, they lose.

Very well said.

What is important for China at this stage is capacity building. Every move you mentioned above seems to be directed at increasing China's capabilities, which is, by default, not directly aggressive to any outside actors. So long as the US moves (bluffs, high-level speeches, "indispensable nation," "we write the rules" rhetoric, empty new alliances that pop up every day with no real content and implications) fail to prevent China from capacity building, then, there is nothing that really bothers China.

As another member (@Genesis , I guess) said on another thread, the US can pump its face into China's window, at the end of the day, all it can do is watching. Why should China care if the US watches 12 miles off instead of 12.000 miles off? I guess the US has capability to monitor even without having to coming so close.

China is literally putting pieces across the board, from Central Asia to Latin America and Africa. I wonder how the US is planning to confront China in the midst of so many moves. China's proactive but non-aggressive moves leave the US incapacitated because without military , their diplomacy appears utterly clueless.

I am, nonetheless, glad that they belittle China and still fail to see the long term importance of China's strategic moves, the Belt and Road Project and the accompanying international cooperation scheme being one of them.

 

[Shotgunner51]

China strategy is derived from Weiqi. Everything China does has a strategic purpose. Maritime Silk Road, AIIB, island reclamation - these all translate into tangible gains for China, increase China's influence, bind trade partners close to China, and create new facts on the grounds. Every turn, China places a new stone on the board.

Apparently the grand chessboard has always been Weiqi, or GO, instead of Chess, from the very beginning. Many nice pieces in May, among those I like the currency swap with Chile, 1st RMB clearing house in SA, RFQII, SDR with IMF, Shanghai gold exchange and Sino-Russia joint gold reserve.

 

[Jlaw]

China is for construction while a certain power is for destruction。

US and China should cooperate more. US destroy, than China can build the destroyed cities. Win-win.

 

[TaiShang]

US and China should cooperate more. US destroy, than China can build the destroyed cities. Win-win.

Unfortunately, destroying is always much quicker than building up. Look how ISIS destroys a cultural heritage that took thousands of years to build.

It is better China and Russia stop the US from destroying others' livelihood right from the bud.

 

[BHAN85]

Here is Soros full speech.
youtube.
/watch?v=n2I647MqvvU

And here is Soros speech first consequences:
China currency is ‘no longer undervalued’, says IMF


I think that Soros should be carefully listened by everybody. He has more power in US Gov that so many people thinks, he openly recognised that he cooperated in Ukraine "revolution". Who without a great power in US gov could have done that? (risking war US/Russia).

He spoke before anyone in 2014 about down oil prices to punish Russia, before it happened .

anyone know when AIIB will give its first loan?.

 

[Raphael]

​Russia will take part in multinational navy drills in disputed South China Sea — RT News

Russia will take part in naval military exercises together with its Asia Pacific allies, according to Russian Deputy Defense Minister Anatoly Antonov.

Speaking on Saturday in Singapore, Antonov announced Russia's planned participation in the May 2016 drills which have a focus on counter-terrorism and naval security.

Antonov also said he was concerned about stability in the region, naming the US as the main destabilizing factor. He said that Washington's policies have been aimed against Russia and China: "We are concerned by US policies in the region, especially since every day it becomes increasingly focused on a systemic containment of Russia and China."

"Despite our concerns about the US global missile defense architecture, they continue a policy of disrupting strategic stability, adding a regional segment of an anti-missile 'shield' in the Asia-Pacific," he added.

He also blamed the US for interfering with the affairs of other countries and said Russia is worried by the trend: “An epidemic of 'color revolutions' swept the Middle East and, like a hurricane, wiped out several states in the region. This disease went across several European countries, where events are freely controlled from the outside.”

The May 2016 exercises will take place in the South China Sea, where Japan and several other Asian countries, along with the US, have been pressuring China to stop the construction of artificial islands in disputed waters. Beijing claims most of the sea's area as its own, saying it is historically Chinese. The Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Taiwan and Brunei also say parts of the area belong to them.

 

[UKBengali]

China + Russia need to stand up to the US for world peace.

 

[XiangLong]

Ahhh some tit-for-tat teases... but who's going to be the one that will dish out the first punch?

 

[Bussard Ramjet]

China should not get into Russian trap, in which it is trying to isolate China from the rest.

As for color revolutions, they were largely because of serious grievances of people, and civil conflicts. The problem was there, what the west did was to flame them by their various institutions.

Also, this is the importance of soft power. So that you can not only hold your own population, you can extend the influence in other countries as well.

 

[pher]

our policy in SCS should be to totally destroy any US pawns who dare to charge in the first place (most likely vietnam) together with japan, after that, the whole area will enjoy long term peace.

 

[GR!FF!N]

Russia will take part in naval military exercises together with its Asia Pacific allies

who are they???

our policy in SCS should be to totally destroy any US pawns who dare to charge in the first place (most likely vietnam) together with japan, after that, the whole area will enjoy long term peace.

in short,WW 3..

you do know that Japan Enjoys USA's protection.in any potential danger,USN will be in between PLAN and JMSDF.

 

[Tea addict]

our policy in SCS should be to totally destroy any US pawns who dare to charge in the first place (most likely vietnam) together with japan, after that, the whole area will enjoy long term peace.

lol...it will bring US in the conflict...after that the region will enjoy peace for long time . you can guess who will loose

 

[pher]

who are they???



in short,WW 3..

you do know that Japan Enjoys USA's protection.in any potential danger,USN will be in between PLAN and JMSDF.

you indians so naive to believe eveything US told you. we don't or we don't care.

lol...it will bring US in the conflict...after that the region will enjoy peace for long time . you can guess who will loose

don't expect everyone would whorship US as a god like you indians.

 

[Tea addict]

you indians so naive to believe eveything US told you. we don't or we don't care.

enlighten us how are you going to face USN along with JMSDF

 

[GR!FF!N]

you indians so naive to believe eveything US told you. we don't or we don't care.

I feel sorry for you guys then...

meanwhile in SCS...

U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon flies over new islands in South China Sea