Hamartia Antidote
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Yay for another dollar demise thread…
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Meanwhile Chinese businesses are hoarding USD despite interest rate cuts and the Russians are anxious to dump RMB and INR but they can’t since neither is convertible.BRICS can't replace US Dollar as there are virtually no backer in BRICS nations, any common currency they use will have to seriously backed by RMB, which you can ask whether or not China will go into debt to just do that (That's the reason why US is in debt by the way)
Anything to replace USD as dominant currency is going to need EU onboard in the next few decade, because even if US is below 50%, they will still dominate as long as no one can touch that level, and currently no one can do that without seriously hampering their own financial institution and monetary policy.
It's more or less a daydream for probably next 2 to 3 decade, let alone 2 to 3 years.
France wants to join as the West's 'inside man'.The US dollar is going thru inflation and they had to print alot of money also. The Dollar is tired and will get changed on the right time.
Heck even France wants to join Brics they realize that the US dollar and even Euro is gonna sink and that Brics currency is the future
BRICS can't replace US Dollar as there are virtually no backer in BRICS nations, any common currency they use will have to seriously backed by RMB, which you can ask whether or not China will go into debt to just do that (That's the reason why US is in debt by the way)
Anything to replace USD as dominant currency is going to need EU onboard in the next few decade, because even if US is below 50%, they will still dominate as long as no one can touch that level, and currently no one can do that without seriously hampering their own financial institution and monetary policy.
It's more or less a daydream for probably next 2 to 3 decade, let alone 2 to 3 years.
You are one of the greatest make believe posters first believing EU has anything to offer to even warrant a say and now this. Once they roll it out it will basically be over and the remaining years it will spend in comafor probably next 2 to 3 decade, let alone 2 to 3 years.
Alot of people like you convincing yourself that it will survive or nothing is happening. They are already trading without Dollars hence the rolling out the new currency is just a formality now.
EU? Do they have minerals and natural resources if not they are not the kingmakers? True wealth always belongs to he who has the minerals and natural resources and EU has none of these.
The EU is not the worlds manufacturing hub anymore including they don't have natural resources such as gas and oil plus metals.. Including they are not even fruit sellers? They don't contribute to ''TRUE WEALTH'' since they are an afterthought will play to the tones of others
You are one of the greatest make believe posters first believing EU has anything to offer to even warrant a say and now this. Once they roll it out it will basically be over and the remaining years it will spend in coma
Well, you are the one that post something about USD is dying and being replaced by BRIC currency in the next 2 or 3 years and you are telling me I am make believe?? Where do you have your economic degree? King of Wishful thinking College?Alot of people like you convincing yourself that it will survive or nothing is happening. They are already trading without Dollars hence the rolling out the new currency is just a formality now.
EU? Do they have minerals and natural resources if not they are not the kingmakers? True wealth always belongs to he who has the minerals and natural resources and EU has none of these.
The EU is not the worlds manufacturing hub anymore including they don't have natural resources such as gas and oil plus metals.. Including they are not even fruit sellers? They don't contribute to ''TRUE WEALTH'' since they are an afterthought will play to the tones of others
Well, he told me I was make believe when he (assuming he is a he) believe BRICS, which currently have less than 5% share of SDR would topple USD which currently is 57% of SDR without Eurozone help in the next 3 years....Meanwhile Chinese businesses are hoarding USD despite interest rate cuts and the Russians are anxious to dump RMB and INR but they can’t since neither is convertible.
Just the logistic alone is already impossibleRumors of the Dollar's Death Are Greatly Exaggerated
Talk that the greenback will soon lose its status as the world's main reserve currency has emerged. Don't believe it.
Just the logistic alone is already impossible
There are currently ~21 trillion worth of greenback circulating in the world, that represent the 57% SDR right, 8 trillion of actual currency and 13 trillion of line of credit. Let's say BRICS are to take 25% of that share, that's around 6 trillion dollars' worth currency value. Which mean BRICS as a whole would need to come up with that gap, ON TOP of their own currency that they are using currently. That's the exact amount of tradable RMB.
So, even for China, the biggest of the BRICS, If they were to raise that amount, that would be equate to doubling their own currency circulation. That's 100% inflation in value...... and then don't forget it's just for taking 25% of USD out which even if you can do it, the share is still about 40/15 (USD/BRICS) you aren't destroying USD in this sense.
But yes, it can be done in their mind....
Well, you are the one that post something about USD is dying and being replaced by BRIC currency in the next 2 or 3 years and you are telling me I am make believe?? Where do you have your economic degree? King of Wishful thinking College?
I wonder how much do you know about currency? You do know every type of currency is going to be back by an economy, because that is how we trust said value of currency. And then look at the economic deposition of BRICS. Becuase economic deposition dictate how much value you can support with your currency
China GDP - 18.1 Trillion
Brazil GDP - 1.8 Trillion
Russian GDP - 1.7 Trillion
India GDP - 3.1 Trillion
South Africa GDP - 1.05 Trillion
And then you compare it to US GDP and EU GDP as a whole which is 27 trillion and 17 Trillion USD respectively. And you think yes, BRICS currency is going to topple USD even without the help of Eurozone. You don't just switch and replace, you need to come up with a economic strength that give your currency to be able to have every countries in the world to stack that currency as reserve.
Another thing being reserve needs to be readily tradable, technically you need to be able to trade within 3 business day, that is the main reason why China only have a tiny share of SDR basket because of the capital control over Chinese currency. What make you think BRICS will not be a controlled currency like China if and when they go online? Or do you think China is dumb enough to free float BRICS currency which have direct ties to RMB?
Another point being Manufacture base does not dictate currency market because it has less money changed hand, in fact, most economist see it as "Add on value" because for you to make something, you have to acquire the raw material to make that something and you sell the end product on a higher price, you basically add the value on top of the raw material production, a simpler example is you buy crude oil and refine it into petroleum and sell it, you basically are selling the different between the two price. Manufacture base economy NEVER dictate currency market, it does not do it to traditional industrial powerhouse like Germany and Japan, why do you think China will be different?
Dude.......if you have no knowledge on what you are talking about, either listen to people who do or don't talk about stuff that you don't know and then tell others off........
The highlight in red is the flaw of your argumentAs I said previously your posts are entirely make believe posts..
Here let me show you..
The US, Canada and Australia have natural minerals, resources and outside of them the EU has no say in this..
You gathered them combined with 27t but that is not where the cash lays. Add the whole Eurasian continent outside of EU into this and you will realize. The EU or the west in general doesn't hold much to light a candle. Eurasia could be at 60t combined minus EU..
EU doesn't have natural resources, minerals including doesn't have manfacturing any longer that is of need because they have been replaced in that department..
Cash is irrelevant but what is more irrelevant and who can control the economy is the one with the minerals and resources if Eurasian contiennt changes currency there is nothing EU can do but join it because they don't have leverage to simply dictate anything..
No Grains, Oil, minerals or fruits or other food products? You do nothing for the Eurasian continent but just a liability. If you can't give me these things then there is nothing you can give me and you hold no leverage of value outside of fiat paper like US dollar.. The US has minerals and resources but it is entirely for local consumption
The highlight in red is the flaw of your argument
For you, people put a certain amount of foreign currency in their reserve bank is because they have a lot of natural minerals. It's not because of their countries monetary policy (which mean stable currency) not because of their economy base (and economy based is not just about natural resource)
If by what you said, then SDR right should be favorable to African nation, because they have abundant natural resource. But the fact is not. And you wonder why?
It's because of a single reason. "There are only finite amount of resource" which mean it can NEVER able to back a currency, becuase do tell me what will happen if you mine out your natural resource? Or are you thinking somehow Crude Oil, Tin, Zinc, Iron Mine or whatever can regenerate over time?
US is the top dog in currency is not because of its natural resource, US is the top dog because USD is the most stable currency on earth, you trust the process that will not run out of the currency as a resource, that is due to law and monetary policy, not because of the number.
On the other hand, you have completely failed to understand how USD can be replaced in world currency status. There are only 2 ways you can dop that.
1.) Buying other currency more
2.) Buying USD less
For number 1 to happen, you will need to have to come up with the short, which mean whatever amount of currency you buy to replace the same amount of USD you would otherwise brought. Which mean that whatever currency would have to come up with that gap, again, at 25% strength, you are talking about 6 tillion dollars worth of currency, good luck with that.
For number 2 to happen, US had to have a very weak economy and more controlling monetary policy so people wanted to buy less USD. If that happen, then forget about USD being dominant, because that can only mean US is at war/natural disaster and that war/natural disaster ravage that ravage US economy enough not to be able to sustain their economy. If that case, it would mostly be a thermonuclear war that destroy most part of US, and if this do happen in the next 2 or 3 years, i think USD would probably be the least in your mind if you are still alive.
I don't like to say people are wrong, but with all due respect, YOU ARE WRONG.
Kind of pointless if they peg RMB to USD tho....the only way they can make RMB a "reserve" currency is if it's pegged to dollar and freely exchangeable to dollar/euro/jpy etc... from china's forex reserves
everyone holding RMB will want to switch to USD
this puts further down pressure on RMB
under xi's terror ideology there's no final destination for RMB like USD with American stocks/real estate/education/bonds/oil
RMB is relatively worthless for foreigners