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The Case for India: Free to Succeed

Beijing's stimulus effort also exposed another Chinese weakness — a faulty, immature financial system. Though the state owns large chunks of the banking sectors in both countries, China's bureaucrats interfere much more intrusively in the credit decisions of its financial institutions, turning them into little more than arms of government policy. That makes Chinese banks more vulnerable and less efficient in allocating resources. Indian banks, on the other hand, are run on a more commercial basis. They have greater expertise in risk management and credit analysis, and as a result, they tend to lend money more intelligently and have stronger balance sheets. We cannot understate how important that is for India's future performance. "Indian banks are stronger [than China's]," explains Mark Young, head of Asian banks at rating agency Fitch in Singapore. "There is a clear link between the health of the banking sector and the capability to support economic growth."

at least Chinese banks are brimming with foreign reserve,you dont worry about your bank of having too much more,do you?

Chinese Banks: Better Than U.S. Banks
We need to admit that banks and governments are
By DAVID WEIDNER
If you want to know the fate of bank stocks, why Bank of America Corp. may bring down the industry and the economy with it, you need to change how you think about how banking works in this country.
We tend to think of Washington and Wall Street as two separate entities. We think of the latter as private enterprise, and the former as the rule maker.
But with the financial crisis, along with the bailouts and "reforms" that followed, banking and government are more than just intertwined. They're essentially the same entity. If one falters, so goes the other.
The U.S. banking industry is more like China's than we want to admit. Except it's worse. At least China's managed financial system works in harmony and the centralized decision-making there is part of a bigger plan.
In the U.S. market, there is no plan. Instead, competing agendas of lawmakers, regulators and bankers have ground the system to a halt. Lawmakers want to please the industry as well their own constituents -- an impossible task since those interests are by nature opposed. Regulators want to flex their muscle, cover their ***** and justify their existence. The bankers just want to make a lot of money.
In the years following the banking reforms of the 1930s, even that imperfect system basically worked. But beginning with the government's promotion of home ownership and the creation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the arms-length relationship between responsible government and the private enterprise of banking has been corrupted.
During the last 30 years, banking has morphed into an arm of government, indeed a controlling one. There have been a lot of missteps, but the big blow came at the end of the Clinton administration, with the abolition of Glass-Steagall -- the law that separated retail banking from investment banking.
That move created two massive problems: It created massive too-big-to-fail entities, and allowed casino-style gambling with money vital to the nation's economic system: retail credit, mortgages, deposits and retirement savings.
What we've created is a system that is entirely dependent on huge, poorly run banks. With the bailouts, we acknowledged that the nation's fortunes and the fortunes of those banks were one in the same.
We then made a bad situation worse with another critical mistake. Instead of realizing that banks, in fact, had become a part of government, we kept pretending that it really so, that the banks were private institutions. They "paid back" the bailout money by bilking their shareholders with stock offerings.
What's becoming clear now is that when nationalization of too-big-to-fail banks was on the table in early 2009, it was an opportunity to acknowledge what the facts were: Big banks were too important to be run by a bunch of doddering managers. Bank of America [BAC] and Citigroup Inc.[C] should have been seized by the government or at least forced to keep their bailout funds until they stabilized.
Today, we know at least in Bank of America's case, that was a big mistake. The government, counterparties and investors are suing the bank into submission over mortgage products sold by the bank and its predecessors -- Countrywide and Merrill Lynch.
The lawsuits, which could cost tens of billions and force Bank of America into more drastic moves, are silly. Just two years ago, the government was rescuing the bank because it was vital to the nation's economic system. Today, it's suing the bank, pretending that any wounds inflicted won't hurt credit and the economy.
Again, the Chinese wouldn't make this sort of mistake. For all of that government's flaws, the one thing it has right is that it understands banking is vital to economic planning. You can bet the Chinese wouldn't sue their own banks for practices the government planners tacitly or directly approved.
So, you can see the problem. The bad news is that Washington is in denial; Wall Street is in denial. The good news is that most investors aren't. They've pounded bank stocks, and they've pounded them for good reason.
Until government officials and bankers acknowledge the depth of the crisis and that it's in their interests to work together, we're going to be stuck in this mess.
Legal liability will hang over the banks. They'll have to hoard cash to meet capital requirements. They'll be reluctant to lend. And don't think this is a problem just for B. of A. Banks continue to be intertwined through derivatives and counterparty agreements. If there's a run on one bank, you can bet the problem will cascade through the system like it did in 2008. One only needs to look at the dominoes in Europe to see how little has changed. Read our coverage of European markets.
The solution would be to end the charade. The government could acknowledge that these megabanks are too important to the system and back their balance sheets with an explicit guarantee. Washington could call off the legal dogs and give the banks amnesty from financial penalties for fraudulent practices made leading up to the financial crisis.
If it sounds like socialism, you're right. But we're already there. We just won't admit it. Investors shouldn't pretend it's some other way either.


---------- Post added at 10:07 AM ---------- Previous post was at 10:04 AM ----------

at least till now Chinese banks still make the profit in the world

Chinese banks dominate The Banker’s Top 1000 ranking


Chinese banks account for the largest slice of global banking profits, according to The Banker magazine’s Top 1000 World Banks ranking out today.

While global banking profits have recovered to almost pre-crisis levels, Chinese banks’ profits have soared by 95% over the past three years and now account for 21% of total global banking profits.

In the main ranking of The Banker’s Top 1000, based on capital strength, Chinese banks hold three of the top-ten positions – up from just one last year. Industrial Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has moved from 7th place to 6th; China Construction Bank has risen from 15th to 8th and Bank of China has moved from 14th to 9th place. Agricultural Bank of China, the only one of the big four Chinese banks not in the Top 10, has risen from 28th to 14th.

While four years ago British banks were the second most profitable in the world, with profits at 58% below their peak in 2007 they are now behind US, Chinese, French and Japanese banks. The Royal Bank of Scotland is down from 4th to 10th place, Barclays from 10th to 12th and Lloyds from 12th to 18th.

“With the Chinese economy growing so fast Chinese banks would be expected to accelerate, but the poor state of much of the British banking sector three years after the crisis is surprising,” says The Banker’s editor Brian Caplen. “The ranking very clearly shows the shift in the centre of gravity for the world economy from Europe to the major emerging markets.”

Other major emerging economies have also shown gains in this year’s ranking. Brazil’s banks have some of the highest returns on average capital at 32%, while India’s banks have increased profits by 115% since 2007. UK banks have a return on average capital of 9.6% and their non-performing loans now stand at 5% – more than double the levels of Brazil, China and India.

Kristina Eriksson


---------- Post added at 10:09 AM ---------- Previous post was at 10:07 AM ----------

facts and figures speak louder than pale words.

Chinese banks brimming with foreign exchange

The Economic Times

As China's foreign reserves piled up to over $ 3.20 trillion, the country's banks, too, were brimming with surplus foreign exchange in September, says a report.

Quoting China's foreign exchange regulator SAFE, the report by state agency Xinhua said that total surplus of Chinese banks' foreign exchange from bank-to-client transactions reached $ 26 billion in September.

During this month, institutional and individual clients sold $ 142.6 billion in foreign currencies to banks while purchasing $ 116.6 billion, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) said.

From January to September, more foreign currencies were sold than purchased through Chinese banks, resulting in $ 380.7 billion of foreign exchange surplus during the period, the statement said.

Foreign exchange surplus, which makes up part of China's foreign reserves along with current account surpluses and foreign direct investment inflow, do not include banks' own foreign exchange transactions or inter bank transactions, according to the SAFE.

Last year, foreign exchange surpluses made through Chinese banks' transactions with domestic clients increased 51 per cent year-on-year to reach $ 397.7 billion.
 
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The author of this article should have provided more economic indicators with real figures instead of just saying democracy will make India overtake China. Anyway, good read.
 
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India's corporate sector beats out China's too. Indian companies are more dynamic, better managed and financially sounder than Chinese enterprises. According to data crunched by investment bank CLSA, Indian firms outperform China's, with both wider profit margins and higher returns on equity. That's not about to change. Chinese corporations are not only burdened by more debt, they are adding debt at an alarming rate. Fitch figures that at the end of 2010, bank credit represented 139% of GDP in China compared with a mere 49% in India.

We can also make the case that India is more entrepreneurial than China. Indian firms like Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services and Wipro practically invented the entire offshore IT-services industry — a sector China is now attempting to copy. At their ever expanding campuses, these companies train and absorb thousands of new hires each year while extending their reach to every corner of the globe — management challenges Chinese executives would struggle to tackle. Arvind Subramanian, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.C., says the evidence can be found by evaluating how companies from China and India operate outside their home markets. Indian firms, he notes, not only invest more heavily overseas than China's (as a percentage of GDP), but they also tend to operate core manufacturing and service businesses in advanced economies. China, meanwhile, has focused outward investment on natural resources in Africa and other emerging economies. That, Subramanian contends, shows Indian managers can better compete head-to-head with the world's top CEOs in the most demanding markets.

the truth always hurts

Chinese Companies Dominate Forbes Asia's Newest Fab 50 List


Companies from China dominate Forbes Asia’s newest Fab 50 list, our annual scorecard of the region’s best large businesses.

Some 23 companies from China made the 2011 list, compared with only 16 last year.

A large percentage of the founders of the Chinese companies on this year’s Fab 50 list also appear on the newly released Forbes China Rich List. Notable among that group is Sany Heavy Industry, which competes with Caterpillar and Deere in the construction equipment industry and has a record seven members of the new rich list.

The story of Asia is increasingly the story of China, and this year's list of the 50 best publicly traded companies inAsia-Pacific certainly reflects that. Virtually half of the companies--23, to be exact--hail from China. No country has ever boasted close to that number since we started spotlighting the region's most fabulous companies in 2005.

China's gain was largely India's loss. After tying the mainland for the most companies lastyear, India could muster only seven entries this year. Japan, which led the pack with 13 companies six years ago, had no companies this year for the first time, partly a result of the Mar. 11 earthquake. The strong South Korean economy produced eight Fab 50 companies, the most it's had since 2005.
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and also:Global 500 2011: Top Performers - Most Profitable Companies: Profits - FORTUNE on CNNMoney.com
Global 500 2011: Top Performers - Most Profitable Companies
 
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the west has been saying that for 3 decades,still the Chinese eonomy is racing forward.of cause no country's eonomy can forever grow at double digit speed.it goes without saying and you dont have to tell us this.but it doesnt mean you can follow the same path to catch up,China's past achievement is a sure thing,a fact.your future's development is not,it's too early to take it for granted,it requires hard working people,good government management,peaceful international enviornment....so many factors are so unpredictable in the future.

as for the aging population,yes,in about 20 years China may have the problem.so did it happen to all developed countries.by then,one thing we dont have to worry about is unemployment,ha,and China's huge wealth and high salary rate will attract all surplus laborers from neighboring countries,including India.China has a lot of populous neighbors who have severe unemployment problems especially when the time comes that their young population reach the peak in 10-20 years.

plus,by then,China,just like what happens in other developed countries,can use cheap foreign laborers without burdenning with expensive insurance,medicare,retirement fee....that will save the country huge amount of money.and Indian government also should know,young people will grow old,if you really care long term development.first,what would you do to deal with possible massive unemployment when your working population reach the peak.that will become a very unstable factor for your nation,and what would you do when your young grow old.you can not make them work and kill them all,so how do you manage to support them when the time comes??

This monologue of yours has so many holes it will put the Titanic to shame, unfortunately I don'y have time right now to go through it in detail but in general-

-China's GDp growth really took off from 1988, Indias from 1998, thats just a 10 year difference, and considering Chinas GDP was lower than India's in the 80's you can have an idea of how a short term of excess growth rate creates big margins in GDP.

-India will not have the aging problem, please read about NFR and NRR.

-China has such a big population it will hardly reach a rich status before its growth drops off, it's called the middle income trap, it's happened to countries before, likely for China as well, probably India too down the line.
 
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this article is full of loopholes,not even one point holds water.but anyway you can keep focuing on building up your"democracy" while we concentrate on our infrastructure and enonomy.
Oh yeah? And, pray, what are those so called 'loopholes' you mention? What is your credibility and qualifications where economics are concerned?

What the author has written is bang on target. The bottom line is that China economy is export oriented whereas India's is internal market driven. And that's the reason why India has forged ahead notwithstanding the global downturn.

For the Chinese this article is hard to swallow as they continue to live in a dream world. The facade looks wonderful, but what's inside is another ball game altogether. And once that facade begins to crack the rotten insides are going to come tumbling out. That's when the Chinese economic bubble will burst. The time is not too far away!
 
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Oh yeah? And, pray, what are those so called 'loopholes' you mention? What is your credibility and qualifications where economics are concerned?

What the author has written is bang on target. The bottom line is that China economy is export oriented whereas India's is internal market driven. And that's the reason why India has forged ahead notwithstanding the global downturn.

For the Chinese this article is hard to swallow as they continue to live in a dream world. The facade looks wonderful, but what's inside is another ball game altogether. And once that facade begins to crack the rotten insides are going to come tumbling out. That's when the Chinese economic bubble will burst. The time is not too far away!

ok,dream on you guys,you can talk out of your hat for days,I only show facts and figures.and anyway,China's economic growth pattern is East Asia pattern,what China is doing is just repeating the pattern in a much larger scale,India pattern is South Asia pattern,more like your own neighboring countries or cultures.
 
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and as for China's slowdown and India's picking up.As I mentioned,you can never take it for granted,China's past achievements are the accomplished facts,and India's so called future is still very unpredictable.



India Loses More Ground on China
October 20, 2011, 9:00 AM IST

There were only a few people to begin with who really thought India’s economic growth rate would outpace China’s – at least anytime soon.

Now, those voices are likely to be fewer and weaker.

As China’s economic growth hovers close to double digits, India is having to admit its 9% Gross Domestic Product expansion goal for the year ending March 31 is now pretty unrealistic.

“Let me not hide the fact that I have been disappointed by our growth performance over the last few months. It is evident that India’s growth rate in 2011-12 will be less than what we were expecting in February when I presented the Budget,” Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said in a speech during a media event on Wednesday.

In February, the finance minister said India’s economy was on track to expand 9% in the year through March 2012. On Wednesday, he hinted that 8% – or less –was more like it. That’s what “most observers” are expecting, Mr. Mukherjee said. He stopped short of making a formal growth forecast, saying he’ll share that with Parliament in December.

Those observers would appear to include the World Bank, which in a report released Wednesday echoed Mr. Mukherjee’s fears: it said that India’s economic growth is likely to slow from 8.5% last year to between 7% and 8% over the next two years. In other words, all those GDP headlines are likely to include a 7, or 7 point something, not the 8 or 9 or even 10 of the government’s dreams.

So what’s to blame? In his speech, Mr. Mukherjee said global financial woes – from high oil prices to the volatility of other commodity prices and capital flows – were largely responsible. Monetary policy tightening and interest rates, a response to the country’s uncomfortably high inflation, didn’t help either, he noted. These are points the World Bank also covered.

If –as the finance minister put it – “the dark clouds [that] have gathered in the global skies” are to blame, why isn’t China also suffering?

It appears that Beijing has done better than New Delhi at boosting domestic demand, an area that acquired greater relevance as Western countries are struggling with a prolonged economic slowdown.

“With the slow growth expected in core OECD countries, India’s GDP growth will have to rely on domestic growth drivers,” the report said. To do this, it said major structural reforms aimed at achieving fiscal consolidation (another big challenge for India) and at encouraging investment would be necessary. It said that “regulatory uncertainties” – ranging from environmental clearances to land acquisition laws to tax reforms – were holding back investors, an issue that is less of a problem in China. To strengthen domestic growth, it urged India to clear these up and to invest in infrastructure, among others.

China, by comparison, is now relying more heavily on its domestic demand and this is already helping its economy make up for a weaker export market.

Figures released earlier this week show that China’s gross domestic product expanded 9.1% in the quarter ended Sept. 30 from a year earlier, only slightly under analyst expectations of 9.2% growth.

The World Bank report also said that, compared to the current year, in the year through March 2011 India benefited from the strong performance of its agricultural sector, something that depends largely on a good monsoon.

Mr. Mukherjee invited his audience to look at the brighter side (rather than East.) “This is disappointing but at the same time we must not lose perspective of the global situation.”

However, China didn’t crop up in his comparison, which focused instead on debt-strapped Western countries – and their less than 2% growth
 
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all i see from the article is big words after big words like 'freedom' 'democracy' and 'human rights'`but none of these have anything to do with India, as a businessman traveling to different countries and doing market and social researches are my main job, to be honestly India is the last place we would choose to live.

one simple thing, like 99% indian officials are corrupted but to what extend that your so-called 'free' media actually expose this wide widespread phenomenon and futher dig deep into the core? as far as I was in India I saw none``,

but in China there are also corrupted officials, and there are over 6000 local news agency in China, government scandles, official misconducts are all over the presses and newspapers DAILY, and most of these inside news lead to the arrest or prosecution of those government officials. people with common sense will easily find it contradicts with the 'China' only lives in western propaganda which some clueless Indians here believe in without a question``like the OP`lol

those simpleton indians believe that China overperform India in every aspect of life is just because of infrastructure and buildings``lol this explains the level of naivety of Indians general public, and the excuse their incapable government wants their poor citizens to believe.

there are too many reasons to the success of China atm, and some of them that india will never have, for examples the level of self-criticism, the level of policy flexibility, the level of openess and the freedom of education, job and social status. but when we wanted to set-up anything in India the level of bureaucracy and working environment will kill your passion within few days
 
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india is still far away to acheive the very basic human rights like the rights of education, food, job and clean drinking water, yet your media and government constantly bragging about its a 'free' country that respects 'human rights'``its like a poney thinks it can run as fast as prime stud!
 
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So what if India having a more sophisticated banking system than China? or having better managed companies? Barely more than 30 years ago there's no financial market or private companies in China. India, despite its socialist tendencies, has never abolished commercial banking or private ownership. Many better known Indian companies like Tata or Wipro have history longer than the PRC.

When we started 30 years ago, we had no expertise in running private business, let along any exposure to modern management or international business. We had no functioning legal system, we didn't have a corporations law until 1993. Look at where we are now and there's no doubt we're on a much faster upward trajectory.
 
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india is still far away to acheive the very basic human rights like the rights of education, food, job and clean drinking water, yet your media and government constantly bragging about its a 'free' country that respects 'human rights'``its like a poney thinks it can run as fast as prime stud!
Who knows whats on in China?...your media reports what the government wants the world to see...no freedom...truth hidden...i wonder China being the worlds second largest economy and still majority people are poor..with Chinese per capita income at $4,200..
Where does the money go?..no one knows the truth..and no one will till its dictatorship!
 
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Who knows whats on in China?...your media reports what the government wants the world to see...no freedom...truth hidden...i wonder China being the worlds second largest economy and still majority people are poor..with Chinese per capita income at $4,200..
Where does the money go?..no one knows the truth..and no one will till its dictatorship!

haha,how about India's per capita?it's always easy to be in denial.
 
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This thread is infected by the Chinese. If they are not insecure about India, they wouldn't even bother to visit this thread. All I here from them is China is great :blah: and India is poor :blah:
 
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This thread is infected by the Chinese. If they are not insecure about India, they wouldn't even bother to visit this thread. All I here from them is China is great :blah: and India is poor :blah:

Wow, u r unbelievable, you post this, looking for a fight highlighting the part comparing india with China, then you turn around and blame Chinese? You fuking wanted this!

If you indians aren't so insecure about China, why the hell in almost every post you have to compare with China? If a post is only about india, trust me, most of us wouldn't bother to look at it at all.
 
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