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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

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Use of naval and air power has been pretty limited and use of naval power in Black Sea came later in the invasion. That’s what those pro-western articles don’t tell you. Again they have been fighting this war with their C grade forces.

As of today Russia has blocked off and controls much of Ukraine’s southern coast, eastern territories and everything east of the Dneiper river and that’s with limited force.

Russian losses have been exaggerated as of today they’ve only lost 5% of their invasion force. How much has Ukraine lost?

Russian Air Force is much less capable than its NATO counterpart:


Russian Air Force have suffered losses over Ukraine:




This might be the reason why Russian Air Force is not very active in Ukraine airspace.

Russian forces are using cruise missiles and ballistic missiles as much safer alternatives to strike at high value targets inside Ukraine:

The U.S. military now assesses that the Kremlin has committed almost 100 percent of the forces it had arrayed around Ukraine in recent months and that it has lost around five percent of that combat capacity since the invasion began. Russian forces have now launched more than 670 ballistic and cruise missiles against Ukrainian targets, according to the Pentagon and appears to be stepping up those and other kinds of strikes.


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Russian C grade forces are equipped with latest Russian AK-12 rifles, sophisticated main battle tanks including T-90 variants, different types of helicopter gunships, and heavy artillery pieces including TOS-1A MLRS ???





WRONG, my friend.

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I am well-aware of Russian military movements inside Ukraine. I can check mapping sources myself.

My thread for reference:


Russian forces have advances to show on the ground in Ukraine (huge number of troops involved) but this war has proved very costly to Russia on all counts as well. Russia has also earned the trophy of becoming the most heavily sanctioned country in the world due to this war effort.

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How cute.


Russian equipment losses in Ukraine in a span of 13 days:

Tanks = 164
Armored Vehicles = 352
Logistics Vehicles = 303
Mobile A2/AD systems = 37
Engineering vehicles = 36
Towed Artillery = 26
Self-propelled Artillery = 25
MLRS = 19
Aircraft = 12
Helicopters = 11
Communication Stations = 8
UAV = 3
Logistics Trains = 2
Jamming Systems = 1

NOTE: Actual count is higher than the aforementioned figures but contents are being processed for verification.

No big deal, right?

From one of the links shared above:

Russia's invasion of Ukraine kicked off two weeks ago, although it feels like much longer ago. The Kremlin's advances on the ground appear to have largely stalled out in the face of Ukrainian resistance and major supply chain problems. Its forces have now shifted their focus to a brutal campaign of encircling and bombarding major cities. At the same time, the United States and other countries continue to levy new sanctions on Russia and work to isolate it politically on the international stage while pouring thousands of weapons into the country to support Ukraine's defense.

Russians have also lost thousands of troops in Ukraine by now:




All of the above is no issue, right?

Wasn't Russia supposed to steamroll Ukraine and NATO by extension?

Vladimir Putin have grossly miscalculated his options in Ukraine; Russian prestige is on the line now. RAND fooled him perhaps.

This war will haunt Russians in the years to come. My sympathies are with Russian commoners.
 
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Putler will be jailed :lol:
And what about Bush,Clinton and Albright?

Can someone find this video?
Screenshot_20220310-214755.jpg
 
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Yes it's minimal for a country with 900k active duty soldiers. The invading force they used was 130k troops most of whom are conscripts, paramilitary (Chechens), and some regular military. Ukrainian military in total is 200k active duty soldiers. In the first wave of the invasion they used 1/3 of the 130k, then 2/3rds on the second wave Russia is using their C class army at best to inflict as much damage on Ukrainian military. They barely used any of their air power or naval power.

You also have to keep in mind Russia isn't trying to destroy Ukraine and views eastern Ukrainians as their own people so they aren't as careless as typical invading countries can be.

They are keeping the vast majority of their forces, air and naval power on standby at home such as their 1st armored division. As per NATO, Russia would steamroll most NATO countries only several can put up a real fight outside the US, like Turkey, Germany, France, and UK...
With each 24 hrs passed, this argument (highlighted) become increasingly less tenable. Am going to look at this from an airpower perspective.

k57GL27.jpg


Ukraine is a sophisticated country. More than Iraq and definitely more than Afghanistan. Why does this matter? Because the more sophisticated a country, the greater its wealth are concentrated in the cities, and Russia is slowly destroying the cities via first encirclement then artillery to reduce the cities to rubble. Essentially, destroying the country's wealth.

The longer the absence of Russian airpower over Ukraine per the relative power levels chart above, the greater the intensity and destruction of ground Ukraine if Russia is going to commit their 1st tier combat forces LATER as you posited.

Airpower requires the best of everything a country has just to create a basic air force. It is only when an air force meet against another air force in combat is when that sophistication manifest in a binary win or lose outcome, and because airpower operate at higher speed of operations than other powers, airpower have a greater affect on time than other powers. In simpler language, the sooner you take control of an airspace, the more time you give to ground forces, especially if they are directly below the contested airspace. Because airpower operate at speed greater than other forces, when an air force attack a ground force, time is compressed for the enemy ground force. Each attack is faster than the ground forces can response. The only respite the ground force have is when the attacker reorient himself to attack again. But if there are multiple air attackers, the ground forces will have no respite at all. Ask the Iraqi Army for this experience.

In the air, there is no negotiated settlement possible. Either you win or you lose, and if you lose, you die. Am not saying the pilot die, even though he often does, but that you lose a valuable asset: the pilot-aircraft asset. Without one, the other is useless. An aircraft is not like a rifle where anyone can learn how to become lethal in one day. An aircraft require complex and sophisticated training methodologies and time in order for that pilot-aircraft combination to become valuable, so instead of one day it is more like one yr.

Currently, air forces all over the world are seeing 'Air parity' in Ukraine when it should be 'Air supremacy' in Russia's favor. Each air asset that Russia lose, whether fixed or rotary wing, in this slow march that you are saying for Russia in order to conserve forces, it will be tougher for Russia to subjugate Ukraine and greater destruction on Ukrainian wealth which equals to destroying Ukraine. What am saying is that to give your argument validity, that Russia is not seeking to destroy Ukraine but only capitulation thru ground pressure, Russian airpower should have been at the 'Air superiority - Air denial' on the first day and escalated to 'Air supremacy - Air incapability' on the second day.

Does this mean Russia cannot win? Russia will win even at this pace. But the longer this 'Air parity - Air parity' status exists, Ukraine will suffer greater destruction as time go by as Russian ground forces struggles against Ukrainian ground forces because Russian airpower is not putting enough pressure on Ukrainian ground forces. The longer this 'Air parity - Air parity' status exists, the less impressive the VKS will be. The negative impression maybe unwarranted, but it will occur even if Russia eventually raised that status in its favor. The airpower lesson here is this: achieve Air Superiority ASAP no matter what may happen on the ground.
 
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