It's our moment to claim our firm position in Non-Aligned Movement and the reason of my opinion is explain below in summarize manner
- Moscow is just 700 Km from Kyiv
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so for Russia situation is same as
it was in 1962 during the days of Cuban Missile Crisis , only thing different today is the reversal of roles previously US was seeking to defend against the '
Potential threats' to its Nation & was trying to safeguard its Political and Strategic Interest in the region.
Now it's Russia who is defending against the
Potential Threat you can see that Moscow is Just 750 KM from Ukraine's Capital Kyiv and in the days of Hypersonic missiles it is just negligible, so Moscow and main population centers of Russia could be defended if hostile forces to Russia manage to install their missiles in Ukraine.
This thing alone shows the importance of Ukraine for Russia in her defence posture so Russia could seriously go to any extent to defend itself against the potential threat and by any extent I mean I could not rule out the possibility of use of Nuclear weapon, if need arise.
- We have seen Hillary Clinton remarks about Ukraine crisis in which she hinted the possibility of application of Afghan Jihad Model,
BUT we must understand Ukraine is not Afghanistan neither in terms of train nor in terms of Social Behaviour, secondly we know to implement a successful model of Afghan Jihad the whole region has to pay the price not just in terms finance but social and political prices as well, we have paid it therefore we know how destructive it could be.
Therefore I don't think Europe would prefer to apply Afghan Jihad Model at their doorstep (Ukraine) so what could be the possible outcome of Ukraine crisis .... ??
- In my opinion Europe would try to resolve the matter on table but till the resolution will keep supporting mid to low scale military operations by Ukraine arms forces and allied militias & mercenaries from all over the world.
One thing for sure is that
this crises would give raise to the feelings and political ideologies of Ultra Nationalism based on Racism in Europe, we have seen this happening within the first few days of this conflict, I don't want to repeat the media reportings and certain actions of far right groups, this thing will again affect the migrants in Europe negatively.
IF Europ chose to defuse conflict in its immediate neighbourhood (which it should) then it will respond to Russia somewhere else may be in Middle East, which mean a
destabilize Syria and possibly Iran as well, Turkey might also face some of the toughest situation on its borders
In any case this crisis could affect us negatively irrespective of our stance of favoring to any party of the conflict, so rather to pick one side and make other enemy
it's better IF we stick with our stance that we respect Sovereignty of every State and all the crisis must be resolved diplomatically.
One thing is sure general public of west will now understand that the so called Rules based International System which West used to claim to establish was not working for the rest of the world, but now it is not even working for them as well.
