3 biggest losses:
- Tiger's teeth - the glorious Russian tank force. Best hardware gone. More than half of all post 1991 modernised tanks
- PGM stock - 60%-70% exhausted. Looks like only the strategic reserve for cruise missiles is left
- Elite infantry - 60%-70% loss of entire para combat troops, other commando units
They will not invade anybody for a long time. The Kazakhstan's president went to troll Putin on his economic forum fully knowing this. He has Chinese rail hostage, Turkish boots, Bayarkars, and a new airforce deal through the new defence deal with Turkey. Plus, everybody in KZ knows now that he gave a knock on the door to Americans.
He is old enough to be a CPSU insider, and he had a way higher rank in CPSU than Putin (who had none at all.) So he knows how a soviet style military works, and the real condition of Russian military probably better than Putin himself.
Takayev is no angel at all, but he is more experienced as a politician. Last 3 decade of Kazakhstan's political history was all about them tricking Russians, and then Chinese for giant handouts, and then coming out dry out of the water. They made money off Western MNC's for years as well, and, now, they are selling a backdoor to Russian economy to them, and it seems not without success. The hotel is packed with Westerners like it never ever been in the last few years.
He knows, in case of anything, he just need to destroy the infrastructure, retreat south, and let the air defence, tons of young conscripts, and the desert do its job.