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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

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Already land the size of UK is under Russian rule in the Donbass, 100 town and cities all under Russian control, water switched back on to the Crimea, the entire AZ.OV battalion currently incarcerated in Russia, a land Corridor to Crimea, the entire AZ.OV coastline Russian, if that is losing what is winning?
Well their initial aim was regimechange and incorporating ukraine either whole or in a north/south korea style.

Now its 100 days to conquer an extra 10% of ukraine in donbass.

Assuming ukraine settles for peace….that would amount to a pyrrhic victory for russia at best
 
They have very small tactical nukes. They have neutron bombs too. They haven't used them but they have the option too. FOr those who are boasting how powerful Ukraine is , get real.
Again. I don't know if you know how much contamination for any level of tactical nuclear device.

First of all, it NEVER the size of the device that's matter, it's the half life of what that content is that matter, Fall out is the by-product of Radiation which come from the nuclear fission, and that fission material is halved when it reaches half life. The half life of Enriched Uranium and Enriched Plutonium is as follow

Uranium 238 - 4.5 billions years
Plutonium 239 - 24,000 years.

So for every gram of Uranium 238, it become 0.5 gram in 4.5 billions years and for every gram of Plutonium 239, it become 0.5 gram in 24,000 years, then 0.25 in 48,000 years.

Now, you are talking about a 500kg warhead tactical nuke, take Iskander as an example, the lowest yield nuclear warhead is a 480kg warhead, 2 of them would make 960kg, that's 960,000 gram of radioactive material (Not just the Plutonium or Uranium inside, and not including the missile itself which is going to be irradiated when detonated) if it was Plutonium 239, it mean there are going to be 960,000 gram of radioactive dust hovering around Kyiv waiting on wind to blow it every which way, and that 960,000 gram of radioactive dust is going to be there for 24,000 years, and then it become 480,000 gram of radioactive dust. Now tell me, how "probable" if portion of those 960,000 gram of radioactive dust to travel 469 miles from Kyiv to Moscow in 24,000 years??

And neutron bomb is the same concept. You are talking about a little less Plutonium or Uranium.....
 
Are you comparing statecraft and warfare in 2022 to tactics from 1939? Seriously? Now I know you are a child.

Russia always losing a significant number of soldiers in any war it fights. That's how it wins. It just keeps throwing bodies at a problem until the problem goes away. Look through Russia's war history. Russia/Soviets lost 15% of their entire population, including civilians, in WW2, I don't think them losing 30,000 soldiers in 2022 is going to matter...

Nothing to be proud of is it, that sort of history
 
Russia always losing a significant number of soldiers in any war it fights. That's how it wins. It just keeps throwing bodies at a problem until the problem goes away. Look through Russia's war history. Russia/Soviets lost 15% of their entire population, including civilians, in WW2, I don't think them losing 30,000 soldiers in 2022 is going to matter...

Nothing to be proud of is it, that sort of history
Those tactics may have worked in WWII when you had trench warfare and mass produced T-34's, vs heavier German Tigers and artillery which was bogged down in the snow and supply lines were interrupted. If anything this should have been a forewarning from Russia but it made the same mistakes in Ukraine during the start of the conflict.

Russia has now expended a significant number of assets in this conflict, this is going to be a bitter defeat for Russia.
 
That is a good question. What is winning?

For Russia, a win is for Ukraine to change its direction or completely under Russian subjugation, otherwise what is the point losing that many men and resource and literally bankrupt the country just to get some land from Donbas (most of which they had already control since 2014 to begin with) Even if Ukraine is landlocked (Which is almost impossible now), it still process a lot of Military Power and if the Ukraine before that is a threat before, then what would you call the Ukraine that left behind with a lot of US and Western weapon?

On the other hand, you can say capturing Donbas would mean all those oil and gas goes to Russia, but then you will need to be able to sell it, EU isn't going to buy any more if they don't stop buying them altogether. And Russia can sell them cheap to India or China or Africa to earn some bucks, but with sanction and their economy down the drain, even if you can earn money by selling Oil and Gas, you can't exchange it anyway. Which mean this is going to be a moot point for Russia to just capture Donbas.

With the resource they had spend and lost, and the economy done for, Russia goal should be looking at at least a complete occupation of Ukraine, any less for them is in no way a win, not with all the price that they paid, or going to pay.

Just like to reply back to u thanks

No mention of Ukrainian losses. No mention of the damage done to Western Europe by Russian oil, gas, grain and fertilizer sanctions. No mention of power blackouts European NATO countries will suffer this Winter should Russia extend oil and gas sanctions. No mention of German industry grinding to a halt should Russia turn off the gas. No more Mercedes and BMW. But apart from that an excellent analysis. Except it probably isn't true only Russia to suffer in this crisis alone ? We all will be hit by it one way or another
 
The fact that Germany will take its own defence and that of neighbouring countries is a welcome sign - it is sad/dissappointing that is took the invasion and occupation of a European Democracy for Germany to realise that when everyone has been screaming at Germany for decades to take defence seriously.......
The Germans have something called “Ladehemmung” or “Schuldsgefühle“ what other in Europe don’t have. Understandable they lost two WWs. Not too bad. I think they share the fate with the Japanese. But hey thanks to russian aggression we now see a remilitarized Germany. East european countries that were brutal invaded and killed by Germany now ask for protection by Germany. Really comical, but hey so history.
 
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