Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[kingQamaR]

The trust deficit is so low with the West, the Russians can't do a deal with them. If Ukraine agrees to 'neutrality', what is to stop them from reneging on the deal later? The deal has to be bilateral only, and in a verifiable manner.

Lavrov has said before that the US is a disruptive influence in the negotiations.The US has basically stated that this will be a long war, and the end is regime change in moscow.

Ukraine doesn't need donbass, but that doesn't mean it should be handed over to Putin either. If they want to be independent within Ukraine, that is an option. After a referendum that is overseen by the UN of course. But it should never be handed over.

 

[PakFactor]

Russia is going to annex at minimum 2 entire Oblasts and control the mouth of the Dnieper.

This serves as a great wakeup call for the entire global South. The reality is, all your forex reserves - yes, Pakistan and India included - are just some numbers. Those numbers can change at any time as Russia proved. The only way to deter that is to either have more collateral or less exposure.

It indeed is a wake up call for other nations. Not just now but even when Venezuela was trying to recall its gold from London it wasn't released even though London has no ownership of it, if you are to hold something you be honorable.

"The Rest" of the nations non-aligned or in other camp should pull money out, and this goes same for the Chinese who are stashing funds in US/Canada, etc. it's stupid to buy Real Estate else-where 10,000 miles away from home when you might not have any control of it when the time comes.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

It indeed is a wake up call for other nations. Not just now but even when Venezuela was trying to recall its cold from London.
"The Rest" of the nations non-aligned or in other camp should pull money out, and this goes same for the Chinese who are stashing funds in US/Canada, etc. it's stupid to buy Real Estate else-where 10,000 miles away from home when you might not have any control of it when the time comes.

Yep Chinese have some hard thinking to do as well, from workers to private business owner to government. What is a real safe investment, what are real risks. Hopefully this convinces the most corrupt elites that the only way to ensure their personal best interest is not to loot and take money to foreign banks but to build up their own national strength. Why loot and run when you can loot and rule?

China isn't even the worst about this. At least our oligarchs can't buy random football clubs or something.

 

[Wood]

The trust deficit is so low with the West, the Russians can't do a deal with them. If Ukraine agrees to 'neutrality', what is to stop them from reneging on the deal later? The deal has to be bilateral only, and in a verifiable manner.

Lavrov has said before that the US is a disruptive influence in the negotiations.The US has basically stated that this will be a long war, and the end is regime change in moscow.

Many analysts believe that Russia has culminated. As weather improves, Russia may make another attempt to take Kiev. If this is not possible or successful, then Putin has to declare that the territorial gains in South and East of Ukraine as victory to his domestic audience. His TV pundits will attest it for him. Putin will gamble that this is enough to keep his throne.

I don't think Russia can really sustain a long war that can last for the rest of this year while reeling under Western sanctions. Accepting promises of neutrality from Ukraine will not be a matter of choice in this situation. Putin will want to believe it at that point.

 

[F-22Raptor]

Many analysts believe that Russia has culminated. As weather improves, Russia may make another attempt to take Kiev. If this is not possible or successful, then Putin has to declare that the territorial gains in South and East of Ukraine as victory to his domestic audience. His TV pundits will attest it for him. Putin will gamble that this is enough to keep his throne.

I don't think Russia can really sustain a long war that can last for the rest of this year while reeling under Western sanctions. Accepting promises of neutrality from Ukraine will not be a matter of choice in this situation. Putin will want to believe it at that point.

Their southern axis is at risk as well. Ukrainian forces are on the outskirts of Kherson.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1508940429609340929

https://twitter.com/x/status/1508926607628582923

No "Z" or "V" signs. Those vehicles didn't belong to Russia, but as usual you can run with those photos that don't prove anything.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

Their southern axis is at risk as well. Ukrainian forces are on the outskirts of Kherson.

lol

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Their southern axis is at risk as well. Ukrainian forces are on the outskirts of Kherson.

Ukrainian forces lost Mariupol, the most important city in the South - eastern part of Ukraine. Russia has established the land corridor from Russia to Crimea. They are now consolidating their hold of eastern of Ukraine. They've also destroyed the Ukrainian military capability that could post threat to Russia. By and large, Russians have accomplished their strategic objectives.

On the economic front, they're the first country that has completely rejected the US dollar as the fiat money. They've tied their rubble to the gold. So while they're waging war in Ukraine, they're also waging an open economic war against the West. If Iraq and Libya were invaded and their leaders killed after they moved away from the dollar, the West doesn't dare to attack Russia. So while the sanctions are hurting Russia, they're in a solid footing to deal with the challenges. And with the help of China, Russia has established the multi-polar world.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

Ukrainian forces lost Mariupol, the most important city in the South - eastern part of Ukraine. Russia has established the land corridor from Russia to Crimea. They are now consolidating their hold of eastern of Ukraine. They've also destroyed the Ukrainian military capability that could post threat to Russia. By and large, Russians have accomplished their strategic objectives.

Their southern axis is at risk as well. Ukrainian forces are on the outskirts of Kherson.

March 25, 2022 Russia-Ukraine news

A month after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, its forces are being pushed back around Kyiv and are taking defensive positions northwest of the capital, a US official said. Follow here for live news updates.

www.cnn.com

Russian military remains in full control of city of Kherson, residents say​

From CNN's Natalie Gallon, Gianluca Mezzofiore, Nick Paton Walsh, Tim Lister, Paul P. Murphy, Ellie Kaufman and Oren Liebermann

The city of Kherson remains under total Russian control, four residents of the city told CNN, contrary to number of reports from other media outlets, citing a senior US defense official.

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[WotTen]

This serves as a great wakeup call for the entire global South. The reality is, all your forex reserves - yes, Pakistan and India included - are just some numbers. Those numbers can change at any time as Russia proved. The only way to deter that is to either have more collateral or less exposure.

Personally, I don't understand why countries keep their foreign reserves in other countries. This includes government investments in other countries.

For example, Saudi Arabia and UAE have billions invested in the West, and then they go around asking foreigners to FDI in their own countries. Why not invest your own billions in your own country instead of leaving it hostage in other countries?

 

[FuturePAF]

I will disclose that my leaning were for Russia (not because of any Anti-Ukranian sentiments) but because of NATO's role of manipulation and escalation...

But, I agree with your assessment... This whole debacle is the doing of the Russian incompetence on many levels... Putin has essentially put Russia back at least 30 to 40 years... It doesn't look good for Russia.



I also think the fall out from this Ukraine loss for Russia is Russian's active role to destabilize other regions e.g. middle east and take revenge by supporting proxies against the West...

It to mention Russia will fall further behind other nations in military technology, as they will have little extra money to maintain much less modernize their military and military industrial complex once this war is over, for many years to come.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

You are right that all official Russian reserves in the West are forfeit. Russia will never see that money again. Going beyond state assets, the West might confiscate oligarch assets. It might impose a penalty on future oil/gas payments to Russia to make up the shortfall.

It seems all but official that Russia has lost this war, and the winner always writes the rules.

I disagree. In the eyes of Russian intellectuals and many others, Russians, Chinese, Iranians, Turkey and other countries who oppose the hegemonic West will be winners when the dust settles. Why? Because the West using the SWIFT system will no longer be able to sanction other countries as there will be other options. The fiat money will also lose its weight.

 

[F-22Raptor]

Ukrainian forces lost Mariupol, the most important city in the South - eastern part of Ukraine. Russia has established the land corridor from Russia to Crimea. They are now consolidating their hold of eastern of Ukraine. They've also destroyed the Ukrainian military capability that could post threat to Russia. By and large, Russians have accomplished their strategic objectives.

On the economic front, they're the first country that has completely rejected the US dollar as the fiat money. They've tied their rubble to the gold. So while they're waging war in Ukraine, they're also waging an open economic war against the West. If Iraq and Libya were invaded and their leaders killed after they moved away from the dollar, the West doesn't dare to attack Russia. So while the sanctions are hurting Russia, they're in a solid footing to deal with the challenges. And with the help of China, Russia has established the multi-polar world.

Russia has strategically lost and have come nowhere close to achieving its objectives. It’s been humiliated in front of the world and it’s economy has been destroyed.

The Pentagon no longer labels Russia as a long term threat. That really says it all. Russia has been set back decades.

 

[WotTen]

I disagree. In the eyes of Russian intellectuals and many others, Russians, Chinese, Iranians, Turkey and other countries who oppose the hegemonic West will be winners when the dust settles. Why? Because the West using the SWIFT system will no longer be able to sanction other countries as there will be other options. The fiat money will also lose its weight.

It would be interesting to compare the total GDP of countries opposing Russia v/s those which are neutral or supporting Russia.

At the end of the day, the only number that matters is the money not humans (sorry). In fact human without money is a liability, not an asset.

It to mention Russia will fall further behind other nations in military technology, as they will have little extra money to maintain much less modernize their military and military industrial complex once this war is over, for many years to come.

A more likely outcome is that research facilities and personnel move to China with an understanding that results will be shared by both countries.

 

[Wood]