Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[Hassan Al-Somal]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546907138907258880

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546637210539425794

 

[vizier]

More and more photos are emerging from downed GMLRS missiles, used by the HIMARS systems and downed by the Pantsir-S1. Pay attention to the shrapnel holes in the front sector in the first pic. That means the fuse used in the 23Ya6 missiles are working very well, even with the extreme high relative speeds of around 2km/s between the GMLRS and the 23Ya6 missile.

Even the top tier american SAM Patriot failed here against Scuds, because the top suberb american engineers failed to consider the high relative speed involved in shooting down ballistic targets, so the patriot warhead detonated too late. Here we have a pointdef SAM downing >M3 ballistic targets on a daily basis ...

Some infos about anti ballistic missile systems and the physics involved here:

Pantsyr missile is clos guided unlike abm oriented missiles that generally use proportional navigation. Clos is like catching a bus directly running towards it. Proportional navigation is like catching the bus running slightly towards in front of the bus while looking at it your head turned towards the bus and maintaining same direction which is why the sensor is for and try to stay at the same sensor angle. Less acceleration is necessary in that type of guidance but onboard sensor is necessary. It means pantsyr missile can stand very high gs if it is also used for abm purpose or maybe a different missile is used.

 

[The SC]

The Russian parliament will hold an emergency session, as all members of parliament were suddenly summoned while they are on vacation
@rzc_o8

 

[Soldier35]

Footage of kamikaze drones of the Ukrainian army shot down by the Russian air defense system has been published. One of the downed drones was destroyed near the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, another kamikaze drone was shot down near the heating water canal of the city of Energodar.

Iran intends to transfer several hundred unmanned aerial vehicles to Russia. Jake Sullivan, national security adviser to the President of the United States, told reporters about this at a briefing. It is not known exactly which UAVs will be transmitted, perhaps they will be Karrar UAVs, Shahed UAVs or Iranian Arash kamikaze drones. According to him, the deliveries will also include UAVs capable of carrying weapons. Sullivan also added that Iran plans to train the Russian military in the use of these drones. The first stages of training should begin in July. Iran has long been developing drones, according to experts, some of Iran's UAVs are copies of American and Israeli models.

The Russian Osa-AKM air defense systems are not new, but they are regularly serving along the entire front line in Ukraine. A detailed story, with an emphasis on the technical aspects of the work of the Osa 9K33M3 air defense system in Ukraine, is in the video from the militia with the call sign "Bars". The video has subtitles

There were shots of the combat work of the Russian T-90M tank Breakthrough in Ukraine. The video shows the destruction of Ukrainian equipment through the video screen of the viewing device of the Kalina fire control complex. Russian digital fire control complex "Kalina", developed for some modifications of the T-90 tank. The complex combines into a tactical combat information and control system, a commander's panoramic sight with an integrated ballistic computer, a gunner's multispectral sight and firing conditions sensors.

 

[The SC]

Use of tos in the direction of Seversk

 

[NotSure]

Pantsyr missile is clos guided unlike abm oriented missiles that generally use proportional navigation. Clos is like catching a bus directly running towards it. Proportional navigation is like catching the bus running slightly towards in front of the bus while looking at it your head turned towards the bus and maintaining same direction which is why the sensor is for and try to stay at the same sensor angle. Less acceleration is necessary in that type of guidance but onboard sensor is necessary. It means pantsyr missile can stand very high gs if it is also used for abm purpose or maybe a different missile is used.

Pantsir uses command guided missiles without a own seaker in the head section, that is correct and this is the reason, why it is very cheap and ideal for mass usage. Regarding the exact guidance method, i think they can use different guidance methods.

Btw: another good videos regarding missile guidance methods:

 

[aziqbal]

Russia is making steady progress

only 50% of the NATO weapons are reaching the front line

and the ones reaching front line have a life expectancy of 7-10 days

the Soviet Steamroller is crushing eveything in its pathway inch by inch metre by metre

all the old Soviet equipment is now gone Ukraine needs to transition to the NATO weapons

this will take time and money and Ukraine has neither

so Russian will move on deeper into Ukraine

will Ukraine counter attack and take back the lands Russia has seized? I highly highly doubt it

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546954450547384321

 

[The SC]

The Russians bought some HIMARS from Ukrainian soldiers

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546961952643203072

Another HIMARS strike

 

[Paul2]

Pantsir uses command guided missiles without a own seaker in the head section, that is correct and this is the reason, why it is very cheap and ideal for mass usage. Regarding the exact guidance method, i think they can use different guidance methods.

Btw: another good videos regarding missile guidance methods:

Command guidance if not that cheaper than semi-active, or beam-riding: you still need a gyro, INS of some kind, precision tracking on the launcher. It's only attraction today is immunity to antiradiation missiles if the search radar is off.

 

[NotSure]

For our "military man", graduated from West Point and worked at the Pentagon as the biggest military expert in the alpha quadrant of our galaxy:

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/vxkoa2

Ofc it's not a M777 howitzer after a meeting with a Krasnopol round. No friggin way!

 

[Paul2]

Russia is making steady progress

only 50% of the NATO weapons are reaching the front line

and the ones reaching front line have a life expectancy of 7-10 days

the Soviet Steamroller is crushing eveything in its pathway inch by inch metre by metre

all the old Soviet equipment is now gone Ukraine needs to transition to the NATO weapons

this will take time and money and Ukraine has neither

so Russian will move on deeper into Ukraine

will Ukraine counter attack and take back the lands Russia has seized? I highly highly doubt it

I am far less pessimistic. There is no breakthrough for Russians, and they stalled after Lysychansk despite them still having at least 3-4 battalions in the rear to attack Sloviansk.

They will be fighting now much further away from their logistic lines they prepared in the past 8 years.

Russians are fighting much less enthusiastically in Kherson exactly for the reason their supply lines being stressed. Less ammo in general, much less rocket artillery, rotation impossible, and they have to deal with Ukrainian specops infiltration, which is not an issue in Donbas, where they had 8 years to setup counterintelligence.

What do Russians can put on the table if they will push from Donbas? They squandered huge part of their armour, and refit only got them at most 1/3 of their losses. I only see them moving with light infantry under artillery cover. To reach Sloviansk, they will have to move their 152mm past Popasna, into the open. Their heavy MLRS will reach Sloviansk from behind the forest, but that's it for the next 2-3 weeks.

The next 3-4 weeks for Ukraine is 10k-15k extra infantry prepared + new artillery ammo + more drones coming, and few dozen pieces of armour being repaired/refitted/resupplied.

For Russia, the next 3-4 weeks is more logistic stress, less MLRS ammo, more officers lost to assassinations, and more morale loss to M270 strikes in the rear, looming battle for Kherson, and the only good things would be Izyum, and Lysychanks R&R operation possibly completing.

Ukraine's ability to inflict costly infantry battles for cities will only get stronger as Russia gets deeper into the country, and they spent 2 months only for Severo+Lysychansk.

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546986491506745346

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1546989621405487105