Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[ZeGerman]

“Zelensky will have to flee to the USA,” American expert

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will flee to the West long before Russian troops reach him, Colonel Douglas McGregor, former adviser to the US Secretary of Defense, has said.


The clown shouldn't be allowed to leave alive

you do realise this “expert” predicts the collapse of Ukrainian army every week, and has thus been wrong for 55 weeks straight?

We know who is the clown there.


Also if zelenski would be a “runner” he would have left the first week when Kiev was under threat and there were assassins sent to murder him. USA even offered him a lift out then.

That’s only for beautiful blonde hair and blue eyed nations.

Dont be racist.


Germany would use ukraine as its shield cause ukranians are motivated and tough, while german population massively refuses to fight for the nation.

Ukraine also has the know how, and cheap labor to make such a factory efficient. Also for the germany army

 

[ZeGerman]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1630737111480520706

After throwing hundred of thousands of cannon fodder mobiks and announcing "large waited offensives", Russian forces have been able to secure... 85km² of land in a month.

Just keep repeating this for every propaganda post on the “great victories” of russia. Which amounted to a few villages occupied here and there.

So much for russias feared winter offensive.
Were full in the mud season now. They got another change in middle spring, but in late spring/summer UFA will field the strykers/bradleys and ten thousands of combined arms trained troops already.

 

[Hack-Hook]

Just keep repeating this for every propaganda post on the “great victories” of russia. Which amounted to a few villages occupied here and there.

So much for russias feared winter offensive.
Were full in the mud season now. They got another change in middle spring, but in late spring/summer UFA will field the strykers/bradleys and ten thousands of combined arms trained troops already.

Interestingly Russia is advancing but you consider any Russian supported post as propaganda but have no such problem with Ukrainian supported posts

 

[Solidify]

Zelensky cries for help as Russia inches closer to Bakhmut victory;​

 

[Viet]

Ukraine needs more artillery ammo. Double to triple the current firing rate.

Russia firing 23,000 artillery ammo per day.

Ukraine 4,000-8,000 per day.

Putin, the hooligan, has planned this war since years. He has mountains of ammo.

 

[Ali_Baba]

Ukraine needs more artillery ammo. Double to triple the current firing rate.

Russia firing 23,000 artillery ammo per day.

Ukraine 4,000-8,000 per day.

Putin, the hooligan, has planned this war since years. He has mountains of ammo.

Factories are being spinned up left, right and centre. Ukraine just needs to hold the line and ammo production rate will be there soon - and it seems to be doing that quite well all things considered.

The systems that Ukraine has are far more precise than what Russia has and therefore it does not need to be 1:1 duel.

 

[ZeGerman]

Interestingly Russia is advancing but you consider any Russian supported post as propaganda but have no such problem with Ukrainian supported posts

Nonsense. Many months ago i pointed out sloviansk/kramatorsk as the real “prize” for sealing the Donbass.

“Bakhmut great victory” has seen many hundreds of post these last months.
I expect it to fall somewhere this month. Giving russia (wagner more specifically) a much needed “win”.

However Russias grand winter offensive amounts to 0.01% of territory taken Perhaps 0,02 or 0,03% after march. On the grand scheme this is a minor showing/result. Faaaar from decisive.

Simple facts.

Ukraine and western media even feared the russian winter offensive.
Though i expect zelenski exaggerated to ensure more support.

Russia 'may try to take Kyiv again' in major new year offensive

President Zelenskyy and Ukrainian defence chiefs told a UK newspaper that Moscow is planning a major push that could include a renewed attempt to take the capital Kyiv.

www.euronews.com

 

[Viet]

Factories are being spinned up left, right and centre. Ukraine just needs to hold the line and ammo production rate will be there soon - and it seems to be doing that quite well all things considered.

The systems that Ukraine has are far more precise than what Russia has and therefore it does not need to be 1:1 duel.

Yes however this war here is much a WW1, a primitive war style mass butchering. More is better. If Ukraine has more artillery ammo it can stop the zombies more easier.

 

[ZeGerman]

Factories are being spinned up left, right and centre. Ukraine just needs to hold the line and ammo production rate will be there soon - and it seems to be doing that quite well all things considered.

The systems that Ukraine has are far more precise than what Russia has and therefore it does not need to be 1:1 duel.

Its always annoying how slow pacifistic bureaucratic europe acts on these matters, but slowly but surely they are pumping up ammo production threefold. The USA fivefold.

This indeed will guarantee a steady supply to ukraine. Where its more precise targeting systems and better doctrines will act as force amplifiers to even up the odds greatly.

Russia on other hand is sinking into its reserves. Masses of inaccurate dumb bombs that are slowly reducing however.
From 60.000 at start focus on donbass to 20.000 now.

We might see them drop to 8000 in a year?
(Though i am careful as ammo deletion predictions for russia has been way to optimistic. They just have that many tons of soviet stock)

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1632325120566894592

https://twitter.com/x/status/1632300381924458496

https://twitter.com/x/status/1632316680037703681

https://twitter.com/x/status/1632306837478424577

All you hear from the Russian a$$kissers is about how Bakhmut has fallen, when in reality Bakhmut doesn’t mean that much. They’re so desperate for any victory it’s pathetic.

Just keep repeating this for every propaganda post on the “great victories” of russia. Which amounted to a few villages occupied here and there.

So much for russias feared winter offensive.
Were full in the mud season now. They got another change in middle spring, but in late spring/summer UFA will field the strykers/bradleys and ten thousands of combined arms trained troops already.

The only thing Russia has achieved is becoming the laughing stock of this world.

 

[ZeGerman]

After one year it is interesting to see that so many were so far off in analysis and prediction (not just me/forum, but also media, military analysists and other countries/think tanks)

Militarily most expected russia to roll over ukraine. Though with extended conflict from west ukraine and insurgency in east.
The level of russian corruption and incompetency has been staggering.
Also ukraines resolve and quick adoption to western systems and tactics has on other hand been much better then expected.

Economically, russia thought it could blackmail/strangle europe through oil/gas. It was wrong.
On other hand, west thought its sanctions would quickly bring russia to its knees in no time.
Russias reserves, added oil/gas income, resilience in this was however greatly underestimated.

Same for russia “running out of military supplies”. So far its massive soviet stocks has been keeping them going.

Lastly, public russian support against a war on a brother nation and due to sanctions would surely plummet. Again, this has been very resilient. Part because of years of propaganda, part russians are simply very lethargic about casualties (ukranian/own). Very disappointing that russian soldiers/public do not complain about performing ethnic cleansing, but mostly that they want safer tools to do so.

 

[Ali_Baba]

Its always annoying how slow pacifistic bureaucratic europe acts on these matters, but slowly but surely they are pumping up ammo production threefold. The USA fivefold.

This indeed will guarantee a steady supply to ukraine. Where its more precise targeting systems and better doctrines will act as force amplifiers to even up the odds greatly.

Russia on other hand is sinking into its reserves. Masses of inaccurate dumb bombs that are slowly reducing however.
From 60.000 at start focus on donbass to 20.000 now.

We might see them drop to 8000 in a year?
(Though i am careful as ammo deletion predictions for russia has been way to optimistic. They just have that many tons of soviet stock)

As these factories spin up - economies of scale will start to kick in and the overall cost of supporting the war will decrease which will ease the public pressure of supporting the war - due to lower costs.

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1632344573283299328

 

[Viet]

After one year it is interesting to see that so many were so far off in analysis and prediction (not just me/forum, but also media, military analysists and other countries/think tanks)

Militarily most expected russia to roll over ukraine. Though with extended conflict from west ukraine and insurgency in east.
The level of russian corruption and incompetency has been staggering.
Also ukraines resolve and quick adoption to western systems and tactics has on other hand been much better then expected.

Economically, russia thought it could blackmail/strangle europe through oil/gas. It was wrong.
On other hand, west thought its sanctions would quickly bring russia to its knees in no time.
Russias reserves, added oil/gas income, resilience in this was however greatly underestimated.

Same for russia “running out of military supplies”. So far its massive soviet stocks has been keeping them going.

Lastly, public russian support against a war on a brother nation and due to sanctions would surely plummet. Again, this has been very resilient. Part because of years of propaganda, part russians are simply very lethargic about casualties (ukranian/own). Very disappointing that russian soldiers/public do not complain about performing ethnic cleansing, but mostly that they want safer tools to do so.

I don’t bet on Russians. That’s hopeless. Vast majority Russians support the war against Ukraine. Polls show approval ratings between 80-90 percent. Putin says 99,9 percent Russians support him. Because Russians will give their lives for motherland. He means Russians will die for him. Russians don’t care of whether one million or 10 million Ukraine dying. They believe to Putin’s propaganda the killings are necessary to save their few own people in Donbas.

Once Ukraine is finished the killing will continue in other places. Putin just follows the same path of other psychopaths.

 

[kingQamaR]

As these factories spin up - economies of scale will start to kick in and the overall cost of supporting the war will decrease which will ease the public pressure of supporting the war - due to lower costs.

A war time economic approach is needed. Incentive production.large sporting ammunition producers should switch to military grade and scale production. No time for new production facilitates. Tip for UAF soldiers don’t empty your magazines in the general direction of the enemy without actually targeting a visible enemy as shown in all combat footage, the ammo for that sort of undisciplined behaviour isn’t there.