Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[F-22Raptor]

Russia casualty rate runs closing 1,000 men per day. There are increasing villages in Russia where no young men below 25y. That’s terrible however not terrible enough for Putin.
Russia must suffer more deaths more casualties before Putin accepts the reality and negotiates a real peace deal. The breaking point probably would be 2,000 men casualty rate per day for Russia. That’s the assessment of the West.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626580265543008256

Probably need to get to 500K+ casualties before Putin realizes he’s lost.

 

[Vergennes]

Spoiler: graphic

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626556395490361346

 

[Get Ya Wig Split]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626302490684665859

LMAO

 

[BHAN85]

I never believed in this. A bit off-topic but can you elaborate on who actually did 9/11?

American imperialism and ruthlessness masquerading as freedom and democracy.

Yeah but here we are talking about America, As a Country/Super power not a ideology like Communism or Religious systems. Those are two separate things and topics. It may sound strange, but while yes, that a country and its foundation ideology are distinct, they are inseparable, meaning if you...

defence.pk

 

[That Guy]

You're right, it's not a debate, it's a dogma of faith for you.

You're the kind of people who swallow complete all authorities fallacies, no question, no use of brain.

You must think that 911 attacks was done by Bin Laden in a Afghanistan cave too.

Unfortunately for us, your beliefs are a false delusion.

There is not enough raw materials and energy for everybody, a Europe destruction is a good thing for USA, and all Ukraine crisis is USA designed.

BTW the official excuse to deploy USA abm shield in Europe was defend Europe of Iranian missiles , they never talked about Russia in the beginning of deployment. And I'm pretty sure that in his day you believed that nonsense lie too .

Potential Iranian Responses to NATO's Missile Defense Shield

The new "Strate

www.washingtoninstitute.org

(2010 American lies about USA abm shield in Europe)

All you're doing is posting your own personal feelings, and bringing up nonsense that has nothing to do with anything.

Who care what the excuse was to bring it to Europe? When military exercises happen, the US says that they're not targeted towards anyone, but we all know that's not true.

Seriously, your pathetic attempts at character assassination is laughable at best, because it really doesn't prove anything.

Dude, just stop, you're embarrassing yourself.

 

[BHAN85]

All you're doing is posting your own personal feelings, and bringing up nonsense that has nothing to do with anything.

Who care what the excuse was to bring it to Europe? When military exercises happen, the US says that they're not targeted towards anyone, but we all know that's not true.

Seriously, your pathetic attempts at character assassination is laughable at best, because it really doesn't prove anything.

Dude, just stop, you're embarrassing yourself.

USA ABM shield in Europe was officially targeted to Iran.

It was a one of too many American official lies.

Lies that someday can be paid with our lives.

The only here who is distilling feeling and emotions like the member of a sect is you, you can't have a rational cold debate about your master.

Each time is harder for USA fool whole world all the time.

But always it will be people like you, that believe any stupid nonsense than come from powerful rich master.

 

[Paul2]

That's probably the worst thing about the Russian military now. And that's what I have been saying repeatedly.

Remember, Russian military does NOT have a NCO corps. Which mean unlike US Military, it would have been a lot harder to replace it because there aren't any command position in Russian Army to replace, for us, I was a platoon commander. If I was taken out, my Platoon Sergeant (E-7) would take over, and if he was also taken out, a senior squad Sergeant (E-6) will take over. And then people kind of slot into places, and if the strength of the Officer Corp started diminishing, we would put those E-7 and E-6 into officer via Battlefield Commission. That you can beef up your leadership in a pinch.

You can't do that in Russia because a Russian Sergeant is like our Specialist (E-4) they don't lead troop into battle, which mean their command ability is limited, which mean if you loses a bunch of Junior Officer, unless you demote senior Officer into the role, you are going to take a chunk out of their command leadership experience of what or who can lead those troop into battle.

Now imagine you have loses a bunch of officer in the field, and then you expand the rank by conscripting people and mobilising the reserve......I mean, you can't just put 300,000 or whatever amount of soldier into battlefield, you need people to lead them, and those people must have command experience, where are all those people come from?

On the paper, Russians have gazillion of junior lieutenants.... but those lieutenants never actually served in the army. They are all in reserve. I am puzzled how in the world that was supposed to work.

It is those middle aged buys who are now reportedly commissioned en masse to lead mobilised rifle regiments (yes, actual rifle regiment.)


Back in WW1, there used to be few officers per huge numbers of drafted rifle infantry, but at least back then lieutenants were expected to be trained quite well compared to today.

 

[That Guy]

USA ABM shield in Europe was officially targeted to Iran.

It was a one of too many American official lies.

Lies that someday can be paid with our lives.

The only here who is distilling feeling and emotions like the member of a sect is you, you can't have a rational cold debate about your master.

About my master? Boy you're out of your damn mind. One more comment like that and I get the mods involved.

Moving on, whatever excuse was used is irrelevant, because the missile shield is going to be used to block missiles, regardless of stated intent. Stated intent is very rarely if ever true. For example, China's stated intent when it bought the varyag was to turn it into a floating casino, but we all know what happened.

You keep telling me I believe whatever the US says, but you're literally doing what you're accusing me of.

Once again, you're embarrassing yourself. I suggest you stop and move on.

 

[Paul2]

Probably need to get to 500K+ casualties before Putin realizes he’s lost.

UA intel claims that Russian leadership has set the pullout line at 3 million losses.

Another remarkable "achievement" RUAF staff got is that they lost nearly all auxiliaries from the initial force.

Military police, national guard, militarized SWAT teams, KGB, military lawyers + untold amount of DPR/LPR levies.

Managing to lose 40k of them is remarkable.

Russian 3 letter services look formidable in numbers, but initial research show most of them are paper pushers, and that 40k loss may be crippling for their enforcement ability.

 

[F-22Raptor]

UA intel claims that Russian leadership has set the pullout line at 3 million losses.

Another remarkable "achievement" RUAF staff got is that they lost nearly all auxiliaries from the initial force.

Military police, national guard, militarized SWAT teams, KGB, military lawyers + untold amount of DPR/LPR levies.

Managing to lose 40k of them is remarkable.

Russian 3 letter services look formidable in numbers, but initial research show most of them are paper pushers, and that 40k loss may be crippling for their enforcement ability.

There’s no chance Russia accepts that amount of casualties. That’s a million dead and over twice the amount the US dead in WW2. Russian armor will be completely destroyed before we ever get to that amount. 500K-1M casualties is more realistic.

 

[Paul2]

There’s no chance Russia accepts that amount of casualties. That’s a million dead and over twice the amount the US dead in WW2. Russian armor will be completely destroyed before we ever get to that amount. 500K-1M casualties is more realistic.

Ukraine is having losses of armour as well. Even if they will cannonfodder UA into spending 1/3 to 1/2 of its current armour fleet, they can potentially hold on for a long time with much less need for own armour.

Russian replenishment rate of 2 battalions per week stayed more or less constant since they started mobilisation. So it's reasonable to assume it's them limited by speed of their logistics, not the materiel supply.

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626600071310774275

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626625310903894030

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626631975892025361

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626620801263730690

https://twitter.com/x/status/1626611514634371073

 

[Viet]

Probably need to get to 500K+ casualties before Putin realizes he’s lost.

Yes the West thinks so do I. 500k deaths and wounded then that will make him thinking the war is not winnable for Russia. That’s still a long way though. Russia prisons have 400-500k inmates. thousands in gulags. He can send them all to the front. Until now Putin has not dropped a single demand he issued towards Ukraine, the US and NATO.

 

[F-22Raptor]

Ukraine is having losses of armour as well. Even if they will cannonfodder UA into spending 1/3 to 1/2 of its current armour fleet, they can potentially hold on for a long time with much less need for own armour.

Russian replenishment rate of 2 battalions per week stayed more or less constant since they started mobilisation. So it's reasonable to assume it's them limited by speed of their logistics, not the materiel supply.

At current loss rates, nearly the entire Russian active tank fleet will have been captured or destroyed by the end of the year. Their armor loss rates are impossible to sustain for another 2+ years.

 

[jhungary]

On the paper, Russians have gazillion of junior lieutenants.... but those lieutenants never actually served in the army. They are all in reserve. I am puzzled how in the world that was supposed to work.

It is those middle aged buys who are now reportedly commissioned en masse to lead mobilised rifle regiments (yes, actual rifle regiment.)


Back in WW1, there used to be few officers per huge numbers of drafted rifle infantry, but at least back then lieutenants were expected to be trained quite well compared to today.

IIRC, most of their "Junior Lieutenant" are professional guy, like a Warrant Officer in the US, not a line Lieutenant.