Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Viet · Jan 16, 2023

ziaulislam said:
I think that's the play but Putin will keep some forces in Belarus as decoy trump card

Best case scenario is eternal stale mate.
Likely remaining area 20% left will be taken in next 3-6 months followed by unilateral cease fire

It's then up to ukriane how much misery they want

Are you sure Russia can afford this war for eternity? Then you should ask China if they are willing to buy Russia oil for eternity.
Western oil price cap is $60.
Russia oil is traded at $50.
Russia oil production cost is $40.
So just $10 gap to bankruptcy.
If I was chinese I would only pay $41 for Russia oil.

Analysis: Russia may hike taxes as military spending, oil price weigh on budget

Russia is becoming too dependent on oil revenues to support its budget as it ramps up military spending, economists said, warning that the government may have to raise taxes if prices of crude fail to meet expectations this year.

www.reuters.com

jhungary · Jan 16, 2023

Reashot Xigwin said:
"success" 4000 dead in just a single battle for a minor strategic town.

I guess you never heard of a pyrrhic victory, huh?

I would not call it even a victory yet, the Ukrainian is still lying on the outskirt of Soledar if not still have hold out inside the city, the "Control" of Soledar is not firmly established as there are still reported fighting in and around the town center.

Ukrainian forces still holding out in eastern town of Soledar in fierce battles, UK

Ukrainian troops are holding out in Soledar despite Russian claims to have captured the town in the east of the country, British defence chiefs said on Monday.

www.standard.co.uk

ziaulislam · Jan 16, 2023

Viet said:
Are you sure Russia can afford this war for eternity? Then you should ask China if they are willing to buy Russia oil for eternity.
Western oil price cap is $60.
Russia oil is traded at $50.
Russia oil production cost is $40.
So just $10 gap to bankruptcy.
If I was chinese I would only pay $41 for Russia oil.

Analysis: Russia may hike taxes as military spending, oil price weigh on budget

Russia is becoming too dependent on oil revenues to support its budget as it ramps up military spending, economists said, warning that the government may have to raise taxes if prices of crude fail to meet expectations this year.

www.reuters.com

I asked China and India they said they are happy to by for eternity

Then I checked how much of oil and gas they are exporing and what will be the benefits even at Cap prices(which isn't happening by the way only Europe following Cap prices)

So even at Cap prices Russia is pumping 300 million worth of crude oil EACH DAY.

That's just oil not gas not refined oil and Petro chemicals.

So can a country of 120m survive on 100b$ of oil exports..

Why don't you tell me??.

Jeez I have been hearing Russia will bankrupt since 2021

Russia will still profit till oil prices drop below 20$ as average cost of Russian oil is less then 20$

So USA need a 20$ price cap on India and china.

India alone can take all the Russian exports

Viet · Jan 16, 2023

ziaulislam said:
I asked China and India they said they are happy to by for eternity

Then I checked how much of oil and gas they are exporing and what will be the benefits even at Cap prices(which isn't happening by the way only Europe following Cap prices)

So even at Cap prices Russia is pumping 300 million worth of crude oil EACH DAY.

That's just oil not gas not refined oil and Petro chemicals.

So can a country of 120m survive on 100b$ of oil exports..

Why don't you tell me??.

Jeez I have been hearing Russia will bankrupt since 2021

Russia will still profit till oil prices drop below 20$ as average cost of Russian oil is less then 20$

So USA need a 20$ price cap on India and china.

India alone can take all the Russian exports

That’s impossible for Russia to continue the war with $50 or lower. Russia needs to pay for the imports. The Russians produce nothing. Much like Venezuela. Putin participated with $100.
Russia oil production cost is $40. If the cap sinks below it Russia is bankrupt. China, India will not buy any Russia oil higher than price cap.

Hassan Al-Somal · Jan 16, 2023

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614888282864906241

Hassan Al-Somal · Jan 16, 2023

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614999030844776450

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614917120323723264

Hassan Al-Somal · Jan 16, 2023

The images of the heavy casualties suffered by the Ukrainian forces is coming out after the town was seized by the victorious Russian forces.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614967753890304000

It looks like the Russian forces are on a roll.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1615006904782127104

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614917614559498242

ziaulislam · Jan 16, 2023

Viet said:
That’s impossible for Russia to continue the war with $50 or lower. Russia needs to pay for the imports. The Russians produce nothing. Much like Venezuela. Putin participated with $100.
Russia oil production cost is $40. If the cap sinks below it Russia is bankrupt. China, India will not buy any Russia oil higher than price cap.

Lol 40$

Hassan Al-Somal · Jan 16, 2023

What happened to Western propagandists' claim that Ukraine was supposedly winning? Why are they lying landmines even in and around Kiev?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614939726389166082

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614879277731782657

Hassan Al-Somal · Jan 16, 2023

https://twitter.com/x/status/1614933891701252099

S10 · Jan 16, 2023

Reashot Xigwin said:
LOL ever learn how to read?

What he said the quality of the chinese airforce must be so bad if they start headhunting from their enemy.

And seeing that the chinese airforce learned from the russian and seeing how bad they are in actual conflict it's probably true.

You are aware of the concept of time and things change with time right? Or not because you're an obvious moron.

Vergennes · Jan 16, 2023

Hassan Al-Somal said:
What happened to Western propagandists' claim that Ukraine was supposedly winning? Why are they lying landmines even in and around Kiev?

Dude the 3 days special military operations went from "3 days to take Kyiv" to "We have to fortify crimea,belgorod and kursk and voronej. :lol: