RAW and CPEC
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Muhammad Usman
In 1971, Pakistan played a key role between US and China to open line of communication. Both were happy. Basically it was a political opening which not only helped in their mutual rapprochement but also helped China to break its long diplomatic isolation. Now it is a land opening to China by Pakistan at Gwadar through CPEC.
It lends China an access to oil rich ME, Africa and areas where at present US has hegemony. Consequently, China is glad and smug while. US is concerned and restless. On chessboard, moves are already on to snooker each other. This is in global context. In regional context, it is India which is working to disrupt CPEC.
Strategy employed is asymmetric threats and ploys. Methods are subversion, sabotage, terrorism and separatism.
Responsibility is of RAW because such ulterior tasks are accomplished covertly by intelligence organizations. India is too adept and habitual in pursuits of such sort. It is needless to mention that US is in its support albeit subtly in the moment. Both have own interests to grind. Afghanistan is a puppet at the hands of both.
While addressing a seminar, Gen Zubair Hayat, Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee has revealed that RAW established a new cell with a special allocation of over $500 Million in 2015 to sabotage CPEC projects. It is not first time that Pakistan has flagged the fact. In April 2016, Secretary of Defence Gen Alam Khattak (Retired) also told while briefing Senate Defence Committee “Indian Intelligence agency,
RAW has established a special cell at its HQs in New Delhi to sabotage CPEC projects via Afghanistan”. No amount of Indian denial could obscure truth.
This could also be traced in expressions/utterances appeared time to time. A diplomatic cable sent on December 31, 2009 from US consulate at Karachi as revealed by Wiki Leaks read “it was plausible that Indian intelligence was helping Bloch insurgents”.
Confessional statement of Kulbhushan is a proof of committing terrorism in Pakistan. In April 2017, connection between Indian RAW and TTP was publically revealed by TTP former spokesperson Ehsanullah Ehsan. This could also be extrapolated from an article published in leading Indian newspaper “Hindustan Times” by Bharat Karnard; a national security expert. He wrote that TTP is an active card for India in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Indian belligerence to CPEC could also be deciphered from their official as well as public pronouncements. Indian diplomatic concern about CPEC for passing through disputed area and Chinese maritime hegemony in Indian Ocean in wake of Chinese naval base at Gwadar.
An assertion of Indian defence Minister in May 2015 also betrays Indian proclivity to employ terrorism as a mean to achieve ends “neutralize terrorists through terrorists only”. Modi speech at Indian 70th Independence Day where he boasted that Kashmiris and Bloch alike have thanked him for raising concern about human rights violations against them by Pakistani state. Foreign propaganda at mainstream as well as on social media to dispute credentials of CPEC. In aftermath of US South Asia policy, expression of concern by US over Indian links with TTP is yet another acknowledgement. US knows actual story. Now US offer to Pakistan to take on TTP militants in Afghanistan is more explicit manifestation of Indian meddling in affairs of Pakistan.
CPEC will enhance geo strategic importance and prestige of Pakistan internationally manifold. It is an anathema to India because it would shatter its dream of regional hegemony and beyond markedly. In present shape, India is still bracketed with Pakistan. This is one of main hurdles in way of India to lay pressing claim for its cherished goal of securing a permanent seat at UN Security Council. With CPEC, it would suffer a mortal blow. At present, Indian GDP is about seven times bigger than Pakistan. By year 2050, if things remain constant, it would grow to forty times, entailing grave implications for Pakistan in realm of national security. Conversely if CPEC becomes operational, difference would be vastly narrowed quickly. It would seriously clip Indian vaulting ambitions. It is also their age old hatred, bigotry and rancor against Pakistan which inhibit India to digest CPEC gracefully. Chinese presence in Indian Ocean may be a premium which India has to pay if it remains stubborn. Combined effect of all is too compulsive for India. It leaves India nowhere except to conspire/act against CPEC.
Given conditions, CPEC is vulnerable to sporadic threats of militancy in its entire length and breadth.
Notable militant organizations are East Turkestan Movement, TTP, Lashker e Jhangvi, BLA and BLF. Pakistan specific terrorist outfits are housed, trained, financed and directed by RAW on Afghan soil in close collaboration with Afghan NDS. Assigned tasks include suicide/ bomb blast in major cities/shrines, sectarian/ethnic killing, bombing of installations/railway tracks, Kidnapping/killing of workforce. Underlying purpose is to foment unrest, trouble and insecurity. In their midst, no worthwhile economic activity could take off.
Indian consulates at Jalalabad, Kandhar and Mazar-i-Sharif are handy for RAW to carry out its nefarious activities. Bloch ethno – nationalists are prone to Indian subversion. They oppose CPEC on implausible grounds. Bloch would turn into minority in their own province. On name of development, resources of Balochistan would be plundered. Punjab would skim cream off. Mushroom of strangers would alter their way of life. Regardless of questionability of such misgivings, these needs to be allayed immediately and prudently. Pakistan has successfully broken backbone of terrorism. However, the country needs to keep guard up and powder dry to frustrate foreign designs of all kind.
— The writer, retired Lt Col, is freelance columnist based in Islamabad.
Email:
usman5064@gmail.com