Pakistani Oil and Gas will finish by 2025-2030, Dr Iqtidar Cheema

[AsifIjaz]

Biogas plant is a viable option. It is doable but from a differnet perspective requiring government support and subsidies.
In Punjab and sindh hundreds of farm houses have come up in the last few years. Government needs to make it mandatory for every farm with 90-100 animals or more population to set up a biogas plant from the 2 or 3 approved companies under the known subsidies. These can easily produce close to a 0.4 or 0.5 megawatt extra power for the national grid. Alone this may sound as rubbish but multiply this by a few thousand and u have a sizable size.
Add in to this the extra solar power obtained from consumers and you might be able to supply atleast 1thousand watt to the national grid in less than 5-6 years.
This requires better laws and policies than the ones announced recently for the purchase of extra solar power from consumers. That policy has lots and lots of room for kickbacks and bakshish. its is not a policy for common people and can only be worthwhile for ppl with links or deep pockets.

 

[PATHAN786KING]

balochstan and chakwal are full netural resources like gas or oil nothing to worry just get out this noora or mr 10% out of paistan

Pakistanis are facing one of the worse oil and gas shortage crises which has crippled the life of many in the country. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif who is famous for his international tours has canceled his planned tour to Switzerland. He definitely wouldn’t like public to be on the streets once again, protesting against his government. Media is consistently showing the long queues of the public at the petrol and gas station. Minister for Petroleum, Shahid Khaqan Abbasi reported on 21st January that Pakistan has left with only 10 days of oil reserves short of the 20 days.
The current oil and gas crises is a clear matter of poor governance and bad management as the Ministry for Power and Water failed to pay Pakistan State Oil an outstanding debt of 171 billion rupees ($1.7 billion), to import the oil for two months. The fuel shortage has also led to a major decline in electricity generation, causing daily power cuts of more than 12 hours that severely restrain the manufacturing and service sector. The persistent energy crises of the country has adversely affected the national economy. Industrial production has been severely hit; and also triggered social unrest which sometimes turns violent thus, creating law and order problems in many urban centres in the country. According to one estimate energy crises have resulted in an annual loss of about 2 percent of GDP. One of the recent studies suggests total industrial output loss in the range of 12 percent to 37 percent due to power outages.
The Gas shortages will definitely prompt an increase in oil imports, which in turn will both increase the inflationary pressures and the budget deficit. The government has previously estimated that over $15 billion are required to meet the country’s immediate energy needs, and at least twice of this is needed for its longer-term energy plans. A Washington DC based Federal Institute which was proudly visited by the Prime Minister Sharif in October, 2013 has reported that Pakistani Domestic oil and gas supplies are forecast to be exhausted by 2025 and 2030 respectively. The institute has also suggested that Pakistani energy imports could rise to as much as $38 billion by 2015–16 if there is a failure to take action to increase indigenous resources.
It is about time that Pakistani government should work on an effective energy policy. Pakistan has a national energy policy, but it is unresponsive, only partially implemented and implementable, and at the mercy of competing bureaucratic interests. Overall, the sector is poorly managed, exhibiting considerable institutional overlap and poor capacity, a situation that has become more evident as the energy situation has deteriorated. Six ministries and forty-two agencies are involved in Pakistan’s energy policymaking and provision. Successive administrations have added task forces, created special adviser posts, and one-off commissions. But unfortunately, the scale of the problem has now grown beyond any immediate solution. In the last ten years there has been no substantial exploration of energy reservoirs. The government should now act timely and every potential project needs to be initiated to ensure the development of hydropower, wind power, nuclear power, and coal reserves and biomass for the national energy supply mix.

 

[Basel]

Pakistan have huge gas reserves which are not developed.

Pakistan said to have large reserves of shale gas, oil - Pakistan - DAWN.COM
.
natural gas reserves in pakistan | PakistanEconomy's Blog

as per below link Pakistan has 27th largest gas reserves in the world.

Natural gas - proved reserves - Country Comparison
.
Samples sent: US to assess potential of Pakistan’s shale gas reserves – The Express Tribune

 

[Jaanbaz]

And if this is also not possible then the stone age is the last possibility.

We have some people like @Zarvan who not only wants Pakistan but rest of Islamic world to go back in 7th Century.

I would urge you to pick the easiest option: pipelines to Iran.

Its the easiest but who cares? certainly not the rulers of Pakistan. They only think of short term solutions which help their own businesses. Most of them all ready have palaces around the world. When something goes wrong they will be the first one to leg it out of Pakistan.

 

[Cheetah786]

People often get confused by the rising threshold of economic viability of conventional fuel because they ignore the rising demand of the same in poorer countries. Even in US & China, steel production requires massive use of coal. Or tell me, if you didn't have coal or oil, but had sustainable amount of wood to burn in the power plants, would you use it or not?

Years of hiring practice of retired military personals and political appointees instead of qualified personals was going to have an effect.

 

[niaz]

Pakistan have huge gas reserves which are not developed.

Pakistan said to have large reserves of shale gas, oil - Pakistan - DAWN.COM
.
natural gas reserves in pakistan | PakistanEconomy's Blog

as per below link Pakistan has 27th largest gas reserves in the world.

Natural gas - proved reserves - Country Comparison
.
Samples sent: US to assess potential of Pakistan’s shale gas reserves – The Express Tribune

The words ‘huge’ and large are very confusing. One must at the look at supply versus demand figures and not on the supply alone.

The Dawn article of 28 August 2013 sates crude oil reserves at 300-million bbl. & gas reserves at 27-tcf. The article ‘natural gas reserves of Pakistan’ only gives the gas figure at 29.671 TCF as of 2009. Proven reserves by the country data mentions Pakistani 840.2-billion cubic meters (29.671- TCF). There is nothing in any of the above articles that contradicts Dr Cheema.

All the rest is only about POTENTIAL; not drilled and not proven. Proven reserve is money in the bank. On the other hand tight/shale oil & gas potential reserve is somewhat similar to Kalabagh Dam which could have been built in 1980, but 30 years on it is still only a dream. While making decisions that determine fate of future generations; one must not bet on “Hope” but on concrete facts.

Fact: Proven gas reserves are about 30-tcf. Gas consumption (2011 data) is 1.5 TCF. It means by 2030 all gas reserves will be exhausted. This despite the fact that there is so much gas load shedding.

Dr Cheema’s article is meant as a warning to shake people up from slumber so that steps to remedy the situation are taken before it is too late. Such steps could be reduction in gas use as well as increasing the supply of gas.

For example, slowly phasing out CNG cars with no additional gas connections to power plants would reduce percentage of gas use in the energy sector. Work on pipelines from Iran & Turkmenistan, increasing exploration activity and setting up more LNG import terminals would increase gas supply.

Some of the posts are related to suggestions to remedy the situation to enable Pakistan to cope with the impending energy crisis. These are commendable. On the other hand some posts appear to be a rebuttal as if Pakistan was awash with oil & gas and idiots like Dr Cheema & I are scare mongers trying to frighten their fellow countrymen to no purpose.

I have nothing more to say on this subject.

 

[Daneshmand]

We have some people like @Zarvan who not only wants Pakistan but rest of Islamic world to go back in 7th Century.

Its the easiest but who cares? certainly not the rulers of Pakistan. They only think of short term solutions which help their own businesses. Most of them all ready have palaces around the world. When something goes wrong they will be the first one to leg it out of Pakistan.

Well, I do not think Pakistan is North Korea. If majority of people really want it, then the visible government or the deep government will have no choice but to implement it.