illusion8
ELITE MEMBER
- Joined
- Sep 18, 2011
- Messages
- 12,232
- Reaction score
- -20
- Country
- Location
I don't have time here to go into detail but I assure you there are various sources that paint Pakistani nuclear capability to be greater than is assumed. What your saying is [ which is possible ] that these sources are 'sexing up' the facts to raise fears about Jihadi factor.
Whilst that is possible but equally it is plausible that Pakistan nuclear capability is greater than is recognized. You or I are not in a position to make a absolute statement of fact. I don't have any insiders in the Strategic Plans Division, although it is possible you might.
Nobody said India would back off from a war if Pakistan initiated it. That was true in non nuclear South Asia as well as today. What I can say is India could crush Pakistan with it's conventional forces but if it ever happens there will be a nuclear riposte. Only than would we able to judge the potency of Pakistani nuclear capability from the the size and number of mushrooms in India.
I am pretty sure that India would have launched some type of limited attack on Pakistan after the Mumbai incident. India did nothing. In the Kargil war despite clear Pakistani provocation the war remained restricted to the LOC/Kargil sector. Back in 1965 when Pakistan attacked across the LOC in Jammu sector India launched an all out war along the entire international border.
No such thing happened in the Kargil provocation. You can find all sort reasons for this very 'restrained' behaviour by India but I know the nuclear factor is what capped everything. You are aware in 1998 India enjoyed massive conventional superiority, so what prevented India from launching two massive hammer blows.
One on the Lahore sector and another thrust towards Multan. 50 miles ingress and Pakistan would be finished. If India had done so in 1998 she woud have been morally justified. If Mexico attacked Texas with brigade sized formation what do you think US reaction would be. Or China for that matter?
We, Pakistan are a tiny mole compared to India. Despite this India postured, mobilized but then went silent. I say it was the Pakistani nuclear deterance that caused this. If you think differant fine.
And best of all every year the quantum and quality of Pakistani nuclear force goes up and up.
* I am rather miffed why you brought up North Korea, how is that relevant to this discussion?
** Peaceful Civilian why are you using 'Sir' in referance to Debashish? Can't you surmise from his post that he is only 10 years old, so address him accordingly.
There are lot things that come in the way of a country's decisions to retaliate against an aggression, It's a bit complicated and if I delve into that then the topic at hand will take a whole new direction - lets leave it here.
There is a point to ponder the points raised by the author referencing his dinner engagement.
1. The author says that the Pakistani 5 star General kept insisting on him to warn India that Pakistan will launch a Nuclear strike on India if it does not stop killing its own people portraying them as terrorists - thats a lameduck excuse to launch nukes at a nuclear power. Does that add up to Pakistans credibility as a nuke power? Britain feared that Pakistan will attack India with nukes for silly reasons and not a war between us.
2. The 8 second launch of nukes - meant to whitewash Pakistan's claim of dismantled nukes and stored safely in numerous locations.