insight: Casualties and pro-active operations Ejaz Haider
Despite all these difficulties, the army must strive to procure equipment for the foot-soldier, make him an expert in the use of such equipment and the handling of general purpose weapons and develop SOPs and drills to minimise casualties,
In the ongoing operations in Swat, Lower Dir, Buner and the forays into Waziristan, the army has so far lost 144 officers and men; the toll for the injured stands at 450. Among those killed, the ratio of officers is about 10 percent, so nearly 14 have died so far.
Is this rate acceptable?
This is a difficult question; very difficult to answer. But before we get into this issue of what is acceptable and what not, let me flag one point. For those who remain sceptical about the genuineness of the operation(s), these figures should provide the occasion for review.
These figures should also provide an answer to those analysts, inside and outside, who never tire of questioning whether the army and the ISI are on the same page. Unless the DG-ISI is fighting a covert war against the COAS and getting his operatives to help those who are killing the officers and men under the overall command of the army chief, logic would dictate that both are on the same wavelength.
Also, since the DG-ISI serves at the pleasure of the army chief and the ISIs upper echelon belongs to the three services, including the army, it would stretch ones imagination to think that a subordinate organisation, even a spy agency, is plotting against the army and getting brother officers and men killed in the process.
But since other than logic seems to be at work in such sceptical assumptions, we shall move on to the issue of casualty rate of the army.
Ideally, every man who falls is a life lost, a family traumatised. But soldiering involves a clear understanding that some day one might be called upon to kill and get killed. A civilian is called a soft target because a civilian does not bind himself to managing or perpetrating violence through such an understanding.
The upshot is that soldiers, in a conflict, do get killed; many more sustain injuries, some are left disabled for life.
Even so, the entire thrust of training during peacetime revolves around developing skills, standard operating procedures and battle drills to keep casualties to a minimum. The entire exercise involves multiple training regimens because no matter how sound the plan and leaving aside the truism that in any conflict the first casualty is the plan it is effective execution that ultimately matters, and effective execution involves a range of coordinated activities among elements from fighting and supporting arms and services.
The irregular war the army is fighting, where the adversary begins with an asymmetric advantage over the soldier, requires constant innovation the need to stay ahead of the opponent. Not an easy thing to do since irregular war essentially presupposes a combination of conventional and unconventional fighting and techniques.
Lets consider some of the reasons for army casualties. Two stand out: IEDs (improvised explosive devices) and sniping. The third reasons is ambush, which can involve the use of IEDs, snipers and a body of men positioned to take on a convoy at a point of their own choosing (this is what happened two days ago in North Waziristan).
The fourth reason for casualties is ground assaults to capture entrenched positions, especially in built-up areas, orchards and on heights. Attacking troops always have a disadvantage, even when the attacker is using area weapons (and aerial platforms) to soften positions or destroy the enemys cover to make the use of general purpose weapons more effective.
The army has used direct fire from tanks to hit houses or visible enemy locations; fire from the tanks co-axel guns to clear orchards; indirect artillery fire and TOW (tube-launched, optically-tracked, wire-guided) missiles from Cobra helicopter gunships and in some cases jet fighters. But all said, ground has to be captured and that involves, at the end of the day, boots on the ground. That is where the real danger lies.
Clearing heights is another problem area. The planner can decide to roll up or use helis to land troops on the heights to roll down. Both courses of action have their own downsides and it is difficult to avoid casualties.
To be sure, the army uses jammers with vehicles during convoy movement, especially when the movement is large. But the adversary can work around this by finding a vehicle that is outside the range of the jammers or use wires to activate the IED. Sometimes wires can get entangled with a vehicles tyres and activate the device.
Similarly, while large movements are covered from the air, it is difficult to provide that kind of cover to every movement. Also, even when cover is provided, it is virtually impossible for it to be all-pervasive. No area can be hermetically sealed or sanitised. All it takes are a couple of snipers to take out two or three soldiers.
Thats the nub of the matter. The adversary doesnt have to win. He just has to ensure that the other side doesnt. This is why, while it is important for the Taliban fighters I use the term Taliban generically to retain control of territory already under their control, they can afford to withdraw if and when the going gets tough. They dont have to necessarily strike as part of a larger plan; they can also strike just simply to kill. Thats exactly what happened to the police and FC contingent in Buner in which Captain Mairaj of 12 Cavalry was killed.
The Taliban could not hope to exploit that operation as part of a larger plan. But they could kill and show that things havent returned to normal. And they did that.
Despite all these difficulties, the army must strive to procure equipment for the foot-soldier, make him an expert in the use of such equipment and the handling of general purpose weapons and develop SOPs and drills to minimise casualties. It has to stay ahead of the adversary in terms of innovations and initiative.
Yet, all said and done, pro-active operations will always beget casualties, especially given any number of hostile factors, not least the horrendous terrain and a porous border. The only way to avoid them is to garrison oneself and let the countryside go to the dogs. That is not really an option.
Ejaz Haider is Consulting Editor of The Friday Times and Op-Ed Editor of Daily Times. He can be reached at
sapper@dailytimes.com.pk