On Sanjan Day, Parsis dwell on future (Sunday is Sanjan Day)

[Gandhi G in da house]

The thing is, when people use the term "fall" they don't literally mean fall like the regimes in Iraq, Egypt etc... in Iran the power is not in the hand of a single person/family/clan/class. The power is dispersed between a small minority. Now this minority is very samll, but it's vastly larger than the Saddam regime or Bahrain's current regime, or Saudi's regime etc... There is no family or clan controlling the country. The minority in charge is more like the Soviet regime in that they're just big enough to be able to stay in power for as long as they want. So when people say "fall" they're actually hoping for an evolution in the regime or a coup within the regime or a deal between the Americans and IR etc... Something that would change the status quo. Of course in any of these scenarios a certain group within the regime will have to fall, literally, but the regime will stay in tact.

Short of war, there won't be a regime change in Iran b/c people don't want a revolution anymore (after the disaster that was the 78 revolution and the subsequent take over by the Islamists and the 8 year Iran-Iraq war, ppl literally don't have the stomach for another one) and even if there is another uprising the regime is powerful enough to beat as many skulls as it wants. Another reason is that the Iranian society doesn't operate the same as arab societies. There are no clans, tribes etc... and nobody has weapons. You take these two elements together and you're gonna have the 2009 post election uprising. People will go to the streets by the millions and will just walk around. The regime will crack some skulls and then wait it out. Eventually people will just go back to their homes on their own after a couple of weeks lol.

Yes, but the Soviet regime did fall and the Chinese regime doesn't fall because it has the support of its people.The Iranian regime , if it has a majority of Iranians in its opposition should fall like the SU.

 

[Abii]

Yes, but the Soviet regime did fall and the Chinese regime doesn't fall because it has the support of its people.The Iranian regime , if it has a majority of Iranians in its opposition should fall like the SU.

The soviet system fell after 7 decades! That's a lifetime. IR has been in power for only 33-34 years. Heck, by never I was thinking 5 decades or more. Anything above that is pretty much a lifetime. And totaliterian regimes by nature don't have the support of their people, it's almost a given. They wouldn't have to control their people if they had the support. China is a rare counter examples. The Chinese regime gets its legitimacy from the multi-decade economic growths that they have. They have also opened up considerably and aren't really a totaliterian regime anymore. You can't compare China to Iran and the USSR. In Iran you can't breath without somehow breaking some stupid rule and it was the same in USSR where rock music was banned, Western symbols were banned etc... China is literally open in every aspect except politics and as long as things are working fine, nobody should have a reason to try to change things.

The Iranian regime is as extreme as it gets in the world today (if we ignore the crazy North Koreans cuz NK is another case all by itself) in the way it controls its people. If they had support of the masses they wouldn't do all this. If their laws were accepted, like the dress codes for men and women for example, they wouldn't need morality police.