Whether or not the report of a TV channel is authentic, the news that the PPP government is thinking of setting up a National Commission for Counter-Terrorism (NCCT) should arouse a lot of curiosity, if not relief. The Commission will coordinate efforts in countering the threat posed by the Taliban and serve as an umbrella organisation. The reference to the Taliban is reinforced by the observation that Intelligence Bureau (IB), Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) and Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) are all doing the same job of counter-terrorism without enough coordination. The Commission presumably requiring an act of parliament will be a constitutional body.
There is no doubt that coordination is needed among our intelligence agencies. And this is not a problem peculiar to Pakistan. The most advanced nations have felt the need to create an umbrella structure to oversee and coordinate the work of their spooks after suffering serious damage from agents hugging their secrets in jealous turf wars. The most recent example is India where important intelligence was ignored because no one at the top of the intelligence pyramid was able to analyse the available information and then have the authority to demand counter-action. Pakistan is no exception to the incidence of this fault in its intelligence system.
It is mentioned in the news that the proposed NCCT will analyse as well as strategise at the top of the pyramid. Because the Commission will come under the tutelage of the prime minister just like the ISI the strategy thus arrived at will be followed by the other agencies working under it. Since only the Taliban are mentioned as the jurisdiction of the Commission, one wonders if that would not distract from the usefulness of the exercise. Counter-terrorism should relate to sources of danger other than the Taliban. Will the strategy-making function of the Commission therefore exclude all dangers emanating from sources other than the Taliban?
The report that the head of the NCCT will be a retired chief of the FIA puts yet another gloss on the motivation behind the idea of the new apex coordination body. The FIA is the bailiwick of police officers who also normally dominate the IB. Unlike the ISI, the FIA and the IB work under the Interior Ministry. Is this therefore a mechanism to indirectly bring all intelligence function under the tutelage of the Interior Ministry which is treated as one of the administrative structures ruled by the prime minister and his cabinet? The last time Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani tried to subject the ISI, legally functioning under him directly, to the authority of the Interior Ministry, he was unsuccessful.
While it is true that the ISI has formally disbanded its political wing in deference to the wishes of the prime minister, many commentators have doubted if this has actually happened. This brings us to the oft-repeated view that the ISI, by reason of its dominance by army officers, doesnt always defer to the prime minister. The last time the prime minister thought he could send the ISI chief to India after the Mumbai attack, he encountered resistance. This will definitely not happen if he orders the chief of his new NCCT to fly to New Delhi in short order to create an environment of confidence and to deescalate tensions.
Even if the idea of NCCT is mere loud-thinking to test the waters, so to speak, one cant help meditating on the state of our counter-intelligence. Retired intelligence officers are unfortunately not barred from boasting about their derring-do in service. Coming from them, spy work is some kind of fairyland adventure where Pakistani officials usually engage agents of Mossad in cloak-and-dagger games in which our men usually win. But the truth is that, like other countries, intelligence has failed us in crucial moments. The flaw is blatant when it comes to the activity of the Taliban and Al Qaeda whose suicide-bombers can be seen to have departed in the direction of Islamabad without us being ready for them in Islamabad. Perhaps the biggest failure was the development of Lal Masjid in Islamabad into a den of fortified terrorists without our spooks getting an idea of what was going on.
Pakistans intelligence needs to pull up its socks. In recent times, overly patriotic analysts with the security of Pakistan close to their heart have complained about the inadequacy of our secret services. If it is the enemy abroad whose actions have to be kept an eye on, what about those enemies who have entered our territory and have made our populations hostage? Intelligence work is not merely gathering raw information, it is sitting down and authenticating it and then making an analysis of it. Sadly, judging from TV statements of senior retired intelligence officers, it is analysis which is lacking. And if analysis is the weak point, then the formulation of strategy by them is even more of a danger to the security of the state.