Mhmoud
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I believe that in a short time, Libya will become defiant again. I think that you're vastly overestimating the influence of Italy over Libya. Right now, German and Dutch money is flowing into Libya a lot more than Italian money. The Germans train our "Presidential Guard" (regular forces), while Italy is relegated to training the coast guard and (with France) our Navy. They do have some cards, but their most potent one is the fact that we are under sanctions (with regards to our massive foreign reserves), which means that our government is skint. This will change soon as their striking down has only been repeatedly vetoed by Russia, which stands to lose from our gaining control of assets held there. Now that the mood's softening, we see an end to that, and once our collective purse is opened, we won't be in need of Italian support. And the time is very near. Tunisians stand as brothers to us, unlike Italians...Italy can offer x1000 more to Libya than Tunisia can ever do...and they already begun to move... whatever by Military help or loans etc.. Even thou' TN helped a lot of Libyans till this day after the revo... (2Mil took refuge in this past 6 years, with 1+Mil living in TN) it's somthing that bear no weight when it comes to their own gain...
Ppl could feel otherway when it come to this matter... Politics do not... it's everyone for himself...
And if Libya move could put relationship btw the two countries in bad weather... it' snot like Tunisia can do anything about it... Since If Libya is back on track they could sustain whatever they want from abroad with their Oil/Gas money...
Tunisia as no power... and International court is meaningless... they could do nothing when it come to Cyprus/Turkey gas fields... let alone to Italy...
TN gov knows it... so that's why they are not counting on it either... they barely speak about it... let alone fighting for a lost cause when you "could be" 2vs1...
Can the Tunisians play their France card and ask France for some help? Italy might not be in a good situation if France realises that it can't secure its purchase of oil from its former colony, it might do something. If only Tunisia could swap some money from the gas field for some Rafales of ships, then it would be a fine deal.
Maybe we could wait until Libya can sustain some hits from Italy, and then just jointly invade the zone? We could split the booty equally.