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Is India Ready For A Dhaka-Like Attack?

Zarvan

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An injured member of the police personnel is carried away by his colleagues, after gunmen stormed a restaurant popular with expatriates in Dhaka. (Source: Reuters)

“Terror struck into the hearts of the enemies”, wrote Brigadier SK Malik, Pakistani military despot General Muhammad Zia-ul-Haq’s ideologue of war, “is not only a means, it is the end in itself. Once a condition of terror into the opponent’s heart is obtained, hardly anything is left to be achieved. It is the point where the means and the end meet and merge. Terror is not a means of imposing decision upon the enemy; it is the decision we wish to impose upon him”.


Now, as we consider last night’s tragic events in Dhaka, those words help us understand what terrorists are trying to do—and what we can do about it.

From Istanbul Atatürk airport to the Bataclan theatre in Paris and the Pulse nightclub in Orlando, attacks across the world have hammered home just how easy it is to inflict fear on modern cities. This kind of killing, we sometimes forget, isn’t new: in 2004, Chechen jihadists killed 330 people, including 186 children, they’d held hostage at a school in Russia’s Beslan.

The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the Dhaka attack, putting out photographs of the carnage inside the café. This isn’t a surprise. In April, the Islamic State magazine, Dabiq, had featured an interview with a Bangladeshi Islamic State commander, vowing attacks. The Islamic State has carried out over a dozen strikes in recent months, targetting Hindus, Buddhists, Shi’a Muslims and the government.

The big question is something police forces and city administrations across India’s major cities ought to be spending some time considering today: how do you protect the public against Holey Artisan Bakery-like attacks? India’s major cities are littered with targets, from shopping malls to movie theatres to fancy restaurants. Each of these is a potential hostage situation—or, potentially, a 26/11 type national crisis.

The truth is there isn’t a great answer—but we know the things we could be doing that we’re not doing.

For years now, governments have encouraged businesses to invest in private security. The guards at malls in hotels and malls are mainly there to give a sense of psychology security. They’re mostly untrained in proper explosives-detection drills—and couldn’t, in any case, withstand an attack by armed attackers.

Part of the answer lies in better training for first responders—the beat police officers who are likely to be at the site when a crisis starts. In India, though, these are the weakest link in the chain.

But because of human resources shortages, less than 5 per cent of these street cops go through any kind of training in a given year. The overwhelming majority—99 per cent in most states— get no firearms training at all on a proper range, with a qualified instructor.

Then, there’s the problem of élite special weapons and tactics, or SWAT, units that intervene in crisis. The British-trained Bangladesh SWAT unit actually did well, rescuing most of the hostages and killing the perpetrators. In India, that outcome’s far from certain.

Force 1 in Maharashtra, set up specifically to deal with these kinds of situations, still doesn’t have its own firing range. Elsewhere in the country, things aren’t very different. Punjab, for example, has had to shut down training courses for its commandos because of lack of funding. India also needs uniform national standards to evaluate the training and preparedness for state SWAT units—and ’till that’s in place, the odds are good that a crisis will end in disaster.

Pathankot was the latest wake-up call that all isn’t well with India’s SWAT set-up. There, the élite National Security Guard spent over 48 hours battling an empty building. Earlier, in Gurdaspur, the Punjab Police’s commandos were tested, and found wanting,

Top-class policing isn’t magic—but it can help. High-quality intelligence work has so far succeeded in preventing a major attack in India since 26/11—helped, on a couple of occasions, by luck. The time will come, though, when some terrorists succeed—and for that day, India’s police forces needed to be properly prepared.

http://indianexpress.com/article/op...y-for-a-dhaka-cafe-siege-like-attack-2889174/
 
I have no idea about how 'Ready' we are, or if at all we can prevent another mumbai from happening, but one thing i know for sure, this time our response will be different as we dont have that bearded lady as our PM anymore
 
I have no idea about how 'Ready' we are, or if at all we can prevent another mumbai from happening, but one thing i know for sure, this time our response will be different as we dont have that bearded lady as our PM anymore
No it won't be different. Your Modi by now have realized that India is not USA.
 
Thing is in times of major terrorists attacks, Indian Police will be asked to stay away. It will become the realm of NSG.

However nowadays J&K Police have been the best counter terror police force in India, followed by Punjab Commandos. Infact they did well in Gurdaspur before IA commandoes actually slowed down the job a little.
Other state forces like Force 1, in TN etc are just shining hollow boxes.
 
No it won't be different. Your Modi by now have realized that India is not USA.
India is not USA, probably will never be, a fact which is accepted by us all. Mumbai indeed was a great achievement for Pakistan and ISI, I give you credit for that, but things have changed, people at the center now are not afraid to pay Pakistan with the same coin, a single incident in India will result 10 incidents in Pakistan. Pakistan is not the only one who can play this game, we excelled in it in the past and we are doing it again.
 
I have no idea about how 'Ready' we are, or if at all we can prevent another mumbai from happening, but one thing i know for sure, this time our response will be different as we dont have that bearded lady as our PM anymore

The focus is on prevention as of late. NIA and IB have been given strong mandates and capable officers and field agents compared to before....on basis of merit and not political affiliation like under scamgress.

This for example has led to numerous arrests of IS people trying to do a Dhaka style attack under the guise of a larger riot (also started by them) in Hyderabad recently.

I talked to one of my friends who's brother is a NIA officer, there is a marked change now in the attitude and the results are showing.

Most of the attacks that succeed to some level (like Pathankot) will originate from western neighbour these days. For every internal one that somehow succeeds through swiss cheese theory, something like several dozen are prevented (and not talked about that much, some dont even see the light of day).

It is the nature of the game, the bad guys need only get lucky once, whereas good guys have to succeed each time. I hope and pray for continued success of our intelligence agencies no matter what people like Zarvan wish on us and boldly declare what will happen.
 
We are obviously ready. After 26/11 things have changed a lot. just few days back in Hyderabad a cell was busted and many more have been successfully busted over the years following 26/11.
 
2, Terrorist always come prepared and can choose any location on any day

Problem is they have to organise and gather all the materials without alerting those that are actively seeking them out.

Its all easier when their origin is from another country and they cross the border to try execute their mission....but when they have to do everything (planning, organising, gathering) within the country to start with...it gets much harder for them to succeed with any competent and active intelligence gathering in place by the country they are in.

So it is not exactly they can choose any location and time...and expect things to be all equally easy and have same chance of success for them.
 
There is no country in the world that is ready for these kinds of attacks.

Probably the OP can let us know which country is prepared? USA had Orlando as recently as last month. EU? few Gun men shook them.

So, no. There is really no defense against fanaticism, except making sure these people are not there in your country. Unfortunately for most countries, they are a bit late.
 
Problem is they have to organise and gather all the materials without alerting those that are actively seeking them out.

Its all easier when their origin is from another country and they cross the border to try execute their mission....but when they have to do everything (planning, organising, gathering) within the country to start with...it gets much harder for them to succeed with any competent and active intelligence gathering in place by the country they are in.

So it is not exactly they can choose any location and time...and expect things to be all equally easy and have same chance of success for them.

Its not the terrorist have to have knife they Guns they have to pull a trigger
 
Its not the terrorist have to have knife they Guns they have to pull a trigger

If it were so easy, we would be seeing Dhaka style atrocities every day in India.

Acquiring and stockpiling firearms, ammunition and explosives is not an easy task to do secretly when you are going with the intent of not surviving (and thus seeking maximum impact).

No doubt some organised sleeper cells (with foreign backing) exist in India still....but they are more for the rare events at the particular time/response to something. ISIS-style online radicals are not the brightest or most trained people, they are caught by intelligence agencies worldwide all the time. Its the one in 50 or so that succeed through dumb luck and/or intelligence agency incompetence/ignorance....but we never talk about all the incidents that were stopped/contained early that much do we? Those are the people responsible for keeping such incidents few and far between when they have full effective backing of their national govt. That is what India has now....and hopefully will have as a given from now onwards.

The Hyderabad IS cells is one example. Many more we dont hear about at all (info is not released).

Its not like India is ever going to have 0 terrorist incidents on her soil (unfortunately)....but the lessons were learned from Mumbai and the ones of that scale should now be a thing of the past.
 

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