Iran’s threat to avenge Fakhrizadeh: Don’t hold your breath

[Stryker1982]

Nothing will happen. 20 missiles for Soleimani, 0 for Fakhirzadeh for sure. If Khamenai is assassinated, we'd probably see 30 missiles lol.

 

[BATMAN]

Nothing will happen. 20 missiles for Soleimani, 0 for Fakhirzadeh for sure. If Khamenai is assassinated, we'd probably see 30 missiles lol.

In which direction?

 

[Salmanov]

In which direction?

At your fancy house and secret hideout Bruce

 

[fitpOsitive]

Iran’s threat to avenge Fakhrizadeh: Don’t hold your breath | CGS

cgs-bd.com

On July 20, 1988, Iran’s then supreme leader, Ayatollah Khomeini said in an unusual statement that he agreed to ending the war with Iraq, initiated by the former Baathist regime in Baghdad eight years earlier.
Until that day, Khomeini rejected all regional and international efforts to end the war. He had vowed to continue fighting against Saddam Hussain until “the last drop of my blood” — which I assume meant the last drop of Iranian soldiers. “Even if the Security Council orders, we will not make peace. Even if the whole world gathers, we will not make peace [with Saddam],” Khomeini said in 1982. Six years later, though, and with his country increasingly on the defensive with hundreds of thousands of soldiers dead, tired army and depleted military gear because of the lack of spare parts, Khomeini, claiming he was acting upon the recommendations of his top aides, decided to stop the war.



He must have been so reluctant to take that decision he compared it, in his letter to the Iranian people, to taking “a poison pill.” Since then, his successors have been taking the pill once in a while. Gulping the bitter pill has become so much an Iranian regime thing that few believe that Tehran will retaliate for the killing of its top nuclear scientist last month despite all the daily rhetoric and threats of revenge. At the end of the day, I think the top echelon of the regime will just take another one of those poison pills and move on. Business as usual.
Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, who was killed by a team of assassins outside Tehran on November 27, is not the first top scientist to be assassinated supposedly by Israel as Iranian officials seem to confirm. Since 2007, six other leading scientists working on Iran’s secret nuclear programme have been killed. After each of those assassinations, Iran vowed revenge. But it was mostly another poison pill.



Israel has been engaged in a war of intelligence, assassination and target bombing with Iran for years. However, the Israelis have intensified their campaign in recent years as Iran has become dangerously too close for comfort after the start of the Syrian civil war. Iran, obviously supporting President Bashar Al Assad’s military efforts, has sent weapons, senior military advisers and thousands of paid-for militias to fight against the Syrian opposition, which almost overthrew Al Assad’s regime early in the war. Iran has also been using its heavy presence and bases in Syria to deliver weapons and cash to its Lebanese ally, Hezbollah.

Israel has been looking warily to the growing Iranian presence in Syria. The free movement of weapons had to stop. In January 2013, Israeli planes reportedly struck a Syrian convoy transporting Iranian weapons to Hezbollah. In the past seven years, Israel has reportedly carried out at least 35 attacks like that one in Syria against Iranian targets. The latest was just late last month, on November 26, when an air strike killed at least 19 pro-Iran militia fighters in eastern Syria, according to news agencies at the time. Obviously, Iran has yet to retaliate, despite the aggressive rhetoric and usual threat of ‘painful response’. There apparently is a decision not to strike back — the poison pill again. But why?
Iranian leaders know very well that a military response against Israel will not be a walk in the park. Far from it, it will lead to an all-out war that may involve Israel’s closest ally, the United States, which will definitely not sit on the sidelines watching Israel attacked, especially the current hawkish administration. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said last week that a military option to neutralise Iran’s nuclear programme was still on the table. A war, instigated by an Iranian attack on Israel, will immediately be fought in Iran. With the US military and its state of the art arsenal stationed in many countries surrounding Iran such as Iraq, Qatar, Afghanistan and Azerbaijan as well as in the Persian Gulf waters, it will expectedly deal a devastating blow to Iran’s outdated defence systems. This is a fight Iran cannot afford.
Secondly, Iran seems to be betting on the upcoming Joe Biden administration to revive the nuclear deal Tehran signed with the West in 2015 but was abandoned unilaterally by the Trump administration. By attacking Israel, a Biden administration will also be compelled to stand by its ally — and that will of course mean the end of the nuclear deal and any hope Iran has of lifting the sanctions.
Even a targeted response to the assassination of Fakhrizadeh, such as a bombing by Iranian agents or its proxy arms, such as Hezbollah and Iraq’s Hashd militias, against an Israeli target will unleash a severe US response. It could also lead to renewing international sanctions against Tehran as it will be seen as a state sponsored terrorism.
Iran, thus, doesn’t seem to have many options here. And just like those last days of the war with Iraq, Iranian leaders may have to opt again to taking the bitter pill, hoping for sunnier days to come when Biden takes the reins in the White House.

انتقام؟ تمام کاری که ایرانی ها می توانند بکنند کشتن مسلمانان است. بنابراین هر وقت یک ایرانی می گوید ایران انتقام می گیرد ، ما قبلاً می دانیم که شما قصد کشتن بیشتر مسلمانان را دارید.

 

[BATMAN]

At your fancy house and secret hideout Bruce

My house is in Mecca Saudi Arabia.

 

[Dariush the Great]

انتقام؟ تمام کاری که ایرانی ها می توانند بکنند کشتن مسلمانان است. بنابراین هر وقت یک ایرانی می گوید ایران انتقام می گیرد ، ما قبلاً می دانیم که شما قصد کشتن بیشتر مسلمانان را دارید.

vali fekr mikonam ke koone shoma mikhare :/

 

[Salmanov]

My house is in Mecca Saudi Arabia.

No it’s in the suburbs of Gotham city Bruce

 

[BATMAN]

No it’s in the suburbs of Gotham city Bruce

Than fire and post.

 

[Salmanov]

Than fire and post.

I got no time for you Bruce go with joker and Rubin and have some biryani

 

[Stryker1982]

Soleimani was martyred (20 or so missiles), Farikhzadeh was martyred (no retaliation). What credible threat does the UAE have to fear if Iran does not want to use force as deterrence.

If UAE decides to seize the Islands in the Persian gulf, will Iran annihilate Dubai and Abu Dhabi or will we sit back and do a half-handed retaliation. I am not convinced anymore as I was that Iran would initiate a heavy retaliation to this action. We will not be able to send troops to the Islands without aircover either and our military is not designed to initiate offensive amphibious operations. Our only action is to bomb Dubai and Abu Dhabi into submission until they withdraw. Is Iran prepared to do that?

 

[yavar]

It is on its way but we have too many leaks so not clear if we can continue it

موشک های برد کوتاه آرش و هواپیماهای بدون سرنشین سپاه
در عراق

We already have Iraqi delegation here in Tehran protesting Not use there airspace, After being briefed and giving intelligence images by U.S
Iraqi delegation asks Iran

Israeli chief of staff issued warning so their intelligence has picked it up they know is happening but they don’t know when and in what scale
IDF chief of staff warns Iran attacking Israel

US send this submarine strikeforce to Russell had Oman
Navy submarine packed with missiles sends Iran a message

it will be multi layer, cyber ex.......+++ at same time, the ground is already prepared for it
Iranian hackers hit top Israeli defense contractor, data leaked


minutes after Trump Kick out of the office so .........

so far The order is standby

 

[RΛIDEN]

It is on its way but we have too many leaks so not clear if we can continue it

موشک های برد کوتاه آرش و هواپیماهای بدون سرنشین سپاه
در عراق

We already have Iraqi delegation here in Tehran protesting Not use there airspace, After being briefed and giving intelligence images by U.S
Iraqi delegation asks Iran

Israeli chief of staff issued warning so their intelligence has picked it up they know is happening but they don’t know when and in what scale
IDF chief of staff warns Iran attacking Israel

US send this submarine strikeforce to Russell had Oman
Navy submarine packed with missiles sends Iran a message

it will be multi layer, cyber ex.......+++ at same time, the ground is already prepared for it
Iranian hackers hit top Israeli defense contractor, data leaked


minutes after Trump Kick out of the office so .........

so far The order is standby

Brother Yavar, why do we see so many leaks? My logical guess is that the retaliation is a large scale strike of some sort. But if Israel is the target, I am a little sceptical.

 

[Crystal-Clear]

yawnz . its been a month still no retaliation on israeli soil .

 

[WudangMaster]

It is on its way but we have too many leaks so not clear if we can continue it

These leaks are the problem to begin with and until they are addressed first and foremost, anything else is stupid at this point especially if they cannot even carry out an operation without mko roaches and/or ms zarif et al and/or some other low life elements constantly back stabbing from within.
I think the best retaliation at this point is to carry a violent internal purge with some public executions and even allowing "leaks" of the brutal torture and demise of the infiltrators. A thorough spring cleaning should be done in the country before 1400 Khorshid.

 

[WudangMaster]

If UAE decides to seize the Islands in the Persian gulf, will Iran annihilate Dubai and Abu Dhabi or will we sit back and do a half-handed retaliation.

Oh come now! Those things couldn't fight their way out of a wet paper bag, they would be wiped out before they reach those positions and Iran has already practiced invasion tactics I believe twice already in recent major war games. They would have their air assets knocked out shortly after takeoff and their maritime toys will be handled by IRGC and IRIN.
I think they know that just because Iran does not want to escalate with international terrorist israhel and its brainless goyim amerika, it does not mean they are in any position to do anything stupid other than to spew some foul propaganda gases from their mouths.