I'm very doubtful that Saudis, who are completely dependent on US for military, and government stability will shift away from them.
It's doubtful indeed. Not so much because Saudi Arabia needs the USA - for it's not as if a vassal could freely choose its destiny anyway, but because Washington has the means to fatally punish recalcitrant clients in a flash. Unless China offered firm security guarantees to the regime in Riyadh while warning the USA that the Saudis are from now on under Chinese protection. However it's highly unlikely Beijing would get quite as confrontational with the Americans at this point in time. They certainly will in future, but we're not there yet.
I see this as a game by Israel and it smells very bad for Iran. Soon, we could have Saudis normalizing relations with Israel and Iran will look like a fool, Having sent a message that anyone can normalize relations with Israel and still be in good relations with Iran.
In this scenario Iran would have resumed diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia prior to the latter normalizing relations with Tel Aviv. Therefore it could not be interpreted as a signal that Iran doesn't care about neighbors recognizing the illegitimate occupation regime. Also, in such an eventuality Iran would always have the option to walk back on the present agreement.
Also, Yemeni's must feel betrayed. Nothing is resolved from their end. They're still under blockade from Saudi and western side, slowly bring strangled. At least resolve that issue and force a Saudi retreat, then think about relations.
No, they don't. AnsarAllah officially gave their blessing to the move.
CHIEF NEGOTIATOR OF YEMEN'S IRAN-BACKED HOUTHI MOVEMENT, MOHAMMED ABDULSALAM
"The region needs the resumption of normal ties between its countries for the Islamic nation to reclaim its lost security as a result of foreign interference."
Here are some key quotes and reactions after Iran and Saudi Arabia agreed on Friday to re-establish relations in deal announced after four days of previously undisclosed talks in Beijing.
www.reuters.com
What Iran gained from Saudis to think about normalizing relations? I mean, in a war you think about relations when you did something dirty to that nation or even taking a part of their country, even subduing them for some.
Iran didn't lose anything either. So even if the reopening of embassies yields no particular benefits, no price will have been paid.
Saudis and Zionists constantly attack Iran, threats about bombing Iran and in return turn the other cheek. It's like in warfare when the enemy attacks, then when its our turn, they sue for peace, until they're ready again. We seem to be falling for it constantly.
I was hoping in the aftermath of the recent "revolution" attempts in Iran, Iran would have Yemenis cripple the Saudi oil infrastructure and finally force an end to the blockade. This would have sent a strong message to neighboring countries about forming relations with Israel. But Iran gets this, weak diplomacy,
Well, the Saudis are reported to have backtracked on their support for the exiled Iranian opposition, and the future of the Saudi International broadcaster is in question.
A correct analogy with a situation of open warfare would thus be more akin to this: the enemy launched an aggression (the failed pseudo-"revolution" of late 2022), was defeated big time, and then agreed to disarm unilaterally (since Riyadh's only weapons in this fight were their petro-dollars, with which they bankrolled anti-Iranian separatist terrorists as well as the Saudi International TV station).
Iran achieved this without having to fire a bullet.
This is something akin to something the westernized Rohani would do.
Iran made zero concessions at the negotiating table. Which sets this deal apart from what the Rohani administration would have been willing to agree on, that is virtually unlimited one-sided concessions to the west.
As said before, for Iran to ensure that her allies will not initiate armed hostilities against Saudi Arabia is not a concession at all: it's always been part of Iran's and her allies' principled policy not to start any wars, but to defend with force when attacked.
What's more, AnsarAllah just declared that any decision on their part to resume fighting will not depend on Iran - a way for Iran to keep all options open.
Saudi Arabia’s normalization agreement with Iran will have no impact on the Yemen war because the Houthis are not “subordinate” to Tehran, a spokesman of
english.alarabiya.net
Bottom line, Islamic Iran gave nothing in exchange for Saudi Arabia dropping its support for anti-Iran elements.
What will happen to ISIS, Al Qaeda and Iran International if "Non-interference in internal affairs of states"? What will happen to Wahhabis in Pakistan and Afghanistan?
It's difficult to trust Wahhabis
If there's no evolution in this regard, Iran still won't have lost anything since she made no meaningful concession to start with.
Also when it comes to "I"SIS, Al-Qaida and the likes, Saudi contribution was mostly focusing on funds and preachers. The main handlers of these terrorist groups are Mossad, the CIA and their colleagues from the EU. So "I"SIS and company will not cease to exist if the Saudis stop their involvement.
A last point to consider, this agreement could possibly encourage Chinese investment in Iran and facilitate the establishment of the southern land-based BRI corridor.
Iran and Saudi Arabia have specific playing cards, and after building these playing these cards over last 8 years, have traded them in for the reduction of tensions.
We traded our playing cards,
From reports published to this day, I don't see what card Iran traded in.
In my opinion, and perhaps
@SalarHaqq agrees, The Revolutionary committee in Yemen has the potential to be even more powerful than Hezbollah overtime.
In my opinion it would depend on how power is defined, or what aspects of it are considered.
Lebanon is more developed than Yemen, far more interconnected with the rest of the world including with its western part - which can create opportunities, it's for instance the reason why an exceptional operative like shahid Emad Moghniye was fluent in French and English, something that comes in handy when you're at the helm of an intelligence apparatus, and Lebanon can moreover be supplied with greater ease as compared to Yemen.
This is not to downplay AnsarAllah's achievements of course. Given the circumstances, they've done wonders.
