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Iranian Chill Thread

The regular Israeli Soldiers resolve is not that high which is why they are terrified of engaging a Hamas or PIJ who they know are batshit crazy and not intimidated by death whatsoever. facing an opponent whos not intimidated by death is scarier than death itself. The random joe Israeli soldier doesn't wanna die.. It is key to know your opponent first and in my opinion the revolution guard haven't really figured this out yet.

Just a little detail: this particular point - materialist attachment to this worldly life in economically developed western and zionist society versus total selflessness of Islamic fighters dedicated to their cause, is something the IRGC knows better than anyone else.

Shahādat-talabi or longing for martyrdom forms the very core of the military doctrine of the Islamic Republic of Iran's armed forces, and particularly of the IRGC. Their entire ideological training revolves around this concept. Also Iran cherishes and commemorates her martyrs like no other nation in the world.

Examine a map of any Iranian city and notice how many streets, avenues, highways and other facilities are named after martyrs. Watch Iranian TV and see what prominent role programs focusing on martyrs fulfill.

Iranian scholars involved in the training of IRGC members, such as Dr. Hassan Abbasi, are conducting serious sociological research on Iran's martyrs, among other things in order to determine what distinguishes the martyr from other folk. Which in turn is of help in cultivating the spirit of shahādat among contemporary Iranians exposed to modern life. Dr. Abbasi and others like him have given countless speeches and conferences about the biographies of individual martyrs or to the Islamic principle of martyrdom in general.

Iran's enemies, namely NATO regimes, know this full well (but will not often admit to it) and it is one of the main factors deterring them from launching military aggression against Iran. And this is also the reason why the liberal fifth column inside Iran, which is working in the interests of the country's existential enemies, has been attempting to water down the centrality of martyrdom culture in the country - as an example, certain reformist or moderate elements at the Tehran Municipality proceeded to remove the word "martyr" from some streets named after Iranian shahids...

In fact, in recent times it was (pro-)Iranian forces who pretty much pioneered this approach at the regional level. Prior to the rise of an Islamic-oriented Resistance in Palestine, Iranian and allied Lebanese fighters displayed this mindset right from the early 1980's onwards.

So Iran and the IRGC are perfectly aware of this topic, and have integrated it in their calculations and strategies.

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IMO, Islamic Republic under Khamenei will not back down. So the shadow war will continue until the Supreme leader dies. We still do not know who his replacement is and even known he will never have the same courage and determination as the current supreme leader in confronting Israel.

To me, the candidate with the best chance of assuming Supreme Leadership after Imam Khamenei (hA) is increasingly identified, and it is none other than Seyyed Ebrahim Raisi, of course. Various analysts in- and outside the country, including for example ostad Raefipour, have either explicitly expressed this view or at least hinted to it.

Should this take place, then we can rest assured that under the upcoming Leader, Iran isn't going to back down in the face of her enemies anymore than now. Seyyed Raisi is an authentic revolutionary loyal to the principles of 1979, pretty much the ideal sort of person to pursue the legacy of Imam Khomeini (rAa) and Imam Khamenei (hA) and faithfully follow in their footsteps.

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That's when things get complicated. We'd need atleast 10,000 ballistic missiles to fight them both.

I would say Iran most probably has many more than 10.000 ballistic missiles in her arsenal.

It wouldn't be a surprise nor a stretch by any means if Iran possessed 20.000, 50.000 or even 80.000 operational ballistic missiles.

Why? Because after all, these are being produced since around 1987, that is nearly 34 years now... And ever since, Iran's official yearly defence budget has revolved at around 10 to 15 billion USD. I don't know what percentage of this has gone to procurement of new weaponry, but in EU countries, the figure in 2019 stood at some 23%, while it reached no less than 29% in the USA. India allocated nearly 28% of its 2020 defence budget to new procurements.

So even if we suppose Iran channeled only 10% of its military spending toward producing or purchasing additional arms, that's more than a billion USD on average per year since 1987. We know how little Iran bought from foreign suppliers since the Revolution. And we know that the bulk of Iran's defence investments have first and foremost gone into ballistic missiles, followed by air defence and UAV's (both R&D, setting up of mass-production facilities, bases, and manufacturing of missiles).

At a price tag not exceeding some 200.000 USD - but let's take a more conservative estimate and assume it's closer to 300.000 USD apiece, even a mere 300 million USD spent each year on these weapons, would have given Iran one thousand missiles per year. Multiply this by 34 and you're beginning to get the picture (we arrive at a total of 34.000 ballistic missiles already!)...

Notice that this is without counting in other sources of revenue that the IRGC might have partly employed to fund missile production, such as possible profits stemming from its economic activities.

So once again, we must logically conclude that Iran's BM arsenal is so massive that there are strictly no worries to have as to Iran's overwhelming deterrence power against a major attack, including against an impressive force such as the US plus its entire host of both western and regional allies.

The "estimates" of Iranian BM numbers announced by US authorities in public represent nothing more than propaganda and psy-ops, aimed not only at Iranian audiences but also and mostly at their own, including their armed forces personnel, who, should they learn the real extent of Iran's deadly missile arsenal, would see their morale take a serious hit in any contingency scenario in which a large scale war against Iran should actually break out.

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They will do a bombing campaign like in Libya

In 80s under Reagan, no actual regime change

Iran has enough options for counter attack to deter them from engaging in such an ill-advised adventure. Apart from what user TheImmortal mentioned above, ie Iran's ability to cause global economic crisis via knocking out oil infrastructures in neighboring states and extensively mining the Strait of Hormoz, Iran's massive and precision-guided ballistic missile arsenal puts every US base in the area at Tehran's mercy.

It is furthermore capable of dispensing a traumatizing blow to the tiny zionist entity, devastating once and for all the Isra"el"i myth of military invincibility and resulting in massive emigration of settlers from Occupied Palestine, which would directly jeopardize the zionist project - and we know that to US decision makers (both Republicans and Democrats), the zionist entity comes first and precedes America's own national interests.
 
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Very, very interesting and instructive discussion about Iran's reformists, their origins, the reasons behind the 180 degree ideological u-turn operated by their founding members, which underlay the initial genesis of this political current, their evolution throughout the past couple of decades, and what the future might hold for them.

Hosted by Vahid Farkhondeh with the participation of journalists Dariush Sajjadi and Sara Zahiri.


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And another fascinating one: Dariush Sajjadi, Sara Zahiri and ex high-ranking MKO member Mas'ud Khodabandeh (who left and now firmly condemns the grouplet) along with host Vahid Farkhondeh discussing the issue of infiltration (nofuz).


@Shawnee Inke cherā ye mohreye arshadeshun mānande Kashmiri rā "suzundan", morede barresi gharār migire.
 
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با توجه به شاهکارهای اخیر پهپاد بال پرنده ایرانی یادی کنیم از علامه بزرگ ایت الله شبیری از بنیانگذاران مثلثات نوین و ایرو دینامیک بال پرنده

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Some interesting figures..for roughly the same population.. (100 million EGYPT and 85 for iran and turkey).

EGYPT GDP : $303 billion (2019)
IRAN GDP : $635 billion (2020)
TURKEY GDP: $719 billion(2020)..

With a small push and a resistance economy iran can smoke them all and become double Turkish GDP just like 1970's whe Iran GDP was double Turkish one..

President Raisi this is now your challeng..lol
 
Some interesting figures..for roughly the same population.. (100 million EGYPT and 85 for iran and turkey).

EGYPT GDP : $303 billion (2019)
IRAN GDP : $635 billion (2020)
TURKEY GDP: $719 billion(2020)..

With a small push and a resistance economy iran can smoke them all and become double Turkish GDP just like 1970's whe Iran GDP was double Turkish one..

President Raisi this is now your challeng..lol

If you add foreign debt to it, we are doing well already.
 
Some interesting figures..for roughly the same population.. (100 million EGYPT and 85 for iran and turkey).

EGYPT GDP : $303 billion (2019)
IRAN GDP : $635 billion (2020)
TURKEY GDP: $719 billion(2020)..

With a small push and a resistance economy iran can smoke them all and become double Turkish GDP just like 1970's whe Iran GDP was double Turkish one..

President Raisi this is now your challeng..lol

World Bank has Iran at $192B USD GDP. Not sure where you got $635B. At best Iran is 300-400B GDP economy.
 
World Bank data..Google iran GDP for 2020.

The value is increased a lot due to Iran gov official exchange rate. It was still around 458 billion USD in 2019 and suddenly jumped into 628 billion USD in 2020 despite that was a tough year for almost all countries, including Iran.

This is just a window dressing and not good for Iran export. This will make foreign goods floaded to Iran and Iran will get difficulty to export their manufacturing output.

Just check on PPP to see true economic number, there Turkey GDP PPP is still double than Iran. This is actually a very important issues and I dont see you guys criticizing this policy

 
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I get the sense it is due to debt to GDP ratio that was already high, so it could be good to solve debt issue but it will have double sword effect on the manufacturing sectors if we manipulate the currency ( not using market system). Other reason is to curb inflation coming from imported goods ( making the imported goods cheaper).

Vietnam also increase their GDP quite significant in 2020, but they dont use currency to do that, just changing the calculation method so their higher GDP number will not effect their export and import ( it makes the economy remains competitive).

The reason Vietnam increase the GDP calculation method to increase the number is due to their debt to GDP ratio which has already high and there is law to prohibit gov to increase more debt at some debt to GDP ratio level where previously they have already reach the limit ( so they cannot increase borrowing) while last year all nations need to increase debt to remedy their economic problem due to Covid 19. Despite so IMF doesnt complain and the latest calculation may be more accurate.

Here is Iran GDP number in 2019.

 
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Guys I quoted all three figures from the same source that uses the same data strategy..I can not add any further info..if you do not believe it you just have to contact the world Bank..
 
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GDP is all bullcrap numbers which mean very little in reality. People should look into how GDP is calculated. ( it includes money lent into the economy, so if the government borrows money and spends it in the country, then the GDP goes up)
Trade balance, industrial output and foreign debt are much more informative.....
 
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