https://libya.liveuamap.com/en/2020/8-december-un-report-an-iranian-dahlawi-antitank-missile
NOTE: I believe they mean Dehlavieh ATGM, the Iranian Kornet copy.
UN report: An Iranian Dahlawi anti-tank missile was found in Libya
United Nations: 4 missiles were found in Libya, one of them Iranian-made. Explore Libya local news alerts & today's headlines geolocated on live map on website or application. Focus on politics, military news and security alerts
libya.liveuamap.com
United Nations: 4 missiles were found in Libya, one of them Iranian-made
Iranian weapons are in LIBYA according to the UN. ATGMs and Iranian made missiles.
Honestly after Erdogan's recent words, stirring the pot, Iran should sell drones, air defense systems, missiles to Armenia and LNA.
Even help them build a few hardened underground facilities. If Armenians could hit Baku and the pipelines successfully, repeatedly, it would be a great deterrent.
Iran should consider an underground tunnel from Iran to Armenia to transport missiles. In secret of course. Hopefully they're already working on something this. If Turkey and Russia can flood the area with weapons then why not Iran ?
Honestly before the conflict broke out, if The Armenians had modernized their SAMs and had a better inventory of missiles & drones, they would have done much better.
At the end of the day though, most of the Armenian army stayed in their barracks and it was during a very crucial moment, during the climax, the fight for Stepanakert, the capital of the enclave was about to begin.
Imagine if the Russians in WW2 had surrendered to Hitler right before the battle for Stalingrad began or when Hitler was outside of Moscow right before winter ?
BTW The Armenians still control the capital, which houses the vast majority of Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh)'s population.
The thing is that near the end of the conflict, the Armenians were putting out more drone footage than Baku, which had lost 200+ drones, helicopters, aircraft, loitering munitions, etc and 7000-10,000+ soldiers in the conflict.
Baku's army only numbers 50,000. They casualties had reached a critical level. That is precisely the reason why they signed the ceacefire. I honestly don't think they had the will to fight for Stepanakert house by house, street by street.
In the end Pashiyun the tool, sold out Armenia badly. This is why he's now being threatened and has a heavy security presence accompanying him everywhere.
Being so PRO-WESTERN, he refused to allow Russian troops "peace keepers" into Artaskh (Nagorno-Karabakh) earlier. What a fool
Honestly I'm not sure how this transition is going to work, since many of the areas that are supposed to be handed over to BAKU are 90%+ Armenian.
Right now Russian troops are there and will most likely remain for the foreseeable future. Remember it's a 5 year deal and Russia can choose to extent it for another 5 years automatically.
You know there are Turkish fanboys online who are saying that Iran is vulnerable etc, but really Turkey is actually very vulnerable, which is why Erdogan is stirring the pot.
Their economy is finished. Unlike Iran they have no natural resources to fall back on. At the same time EU, US sanctions are incoming on Turkey, while they're most likely outgoing on Iran. Corona is down in Iran, WAY up in Turkey.
This is why Erdogan is desperately trying to claim the natural gas of southern Cyprus.
Turks claims northern Cyprus, which nobody in the entire world recognizes, however at the same time they claim the natural gas resources of southern Cyprus ? WTF ?
Again it's pure desperation. Erdogan needs to find a way out of his economic rut. This is also why Erdogan is stirring the pot with Iran recently. He wants to rile up nationalist sentiments as a way to distract Turks from the badly faltering economy.
However if Erdogan thinks that the EU with nukes and aircraft carriers is going to let Erdogan steal their natural gas, he's completely mad. Also if Erdogan thinks that he can take Iranian Azerbaijan, he is in for a rude awakening.
Like I've said before. Erdogan has has partial success, a few victories, with some very serious setbacks (encircled bases in Syria, ISIS destroying Leopard tanks and much more) against ethnic groups and lightly armed militias like LNA, PKK/ YPG etc
Even the SAA humiliated Turkey when they retook Saraqib and encircled a dozen of their bases.
Against Iran or Egypt, a country with massive resources, manpower and allies to boot, I don't think that things will turn out well for Erdogan.
First of all, Erdogan has foolishly created a situation where Turkey has overstretched its resources onto multiple, various fronts. Syria, Iraq, Libya, Caucasus, etc. Wars cost $$$$. Turkey's economy is kaput and sanctions are on the horizon. Iran has resources to sustain a long war, access to the Persian Gulf and Caspian and powerful allies, Russia, China.
If Iran were to seriously arm Turkey's enemies, like PKK/YPG, Armenians, SAA, LNA all with advanced weapons (ATGMs, MANPADS, even small missiles), it would be devastating and extremely detrimental for Turkey. This would be aside from thousands of Iranian missiles raining down on their heads.
BTW are we forgetting that Iran has enough fissile material for a nuclear bomb ? I can see it now. Turkey crying about Iranian missiles, yapping about human rights, begging their EU "brother" and NATO "partners" to help them.
Aside from all that, right now I'm hearing that Turkey's airforce is only working at half capacity. This is because many fighter pilots were a part of the failed coup and are therefore now imprisoned for life. Pilots take millions of dollars and years to train properly.
Meanwhile Iran's airforce is extremely under-rated. Western sources always say "oh they're old" this that but really they're well maintained and even Iranian Su-22's can launch cruise missiles.
To top it off, the corridor connecting Turkey to the territories of the BAKU republic are mountainous and narrow. Perfect target practice for Iran.
I honestly hope that this conflict doesn't materialize but regardless Iran's leadership must be extremely vigilant and well prepared for it. If Erdogan tries to attack, Iran must hit them hard and mercilessly as soon as they try taking even an inch of Iranian territory.
I would say sever the BAKU pipelines immediately, hit them where it hurts. Nothing should be off the table. At the same time, in case of war, Iran should consider building several tactical nukes immediately. However this might bring down too much international condemnation on Iran.
In that case I believe that Iran should feed them missiles for a while. soften them up, arm their enemies and coordinate attacks on them and then Iran should take back chunks of BAKU territory that rightfully belong to Iran and Iranians.
Make them pay massive reparations. However unlike in the Iran-Iraq war, Iran should get out while its ahead and not get too ambitious. Remember when the Persian Gulf Arabs offered Iran a small fortune in reparations so that Iran would stop attacking Saddam's regime ?
The thing about wars is that timing is everything and sometimes economic benefits are more beneficial than even territory, which has to be maintained with blood and treasure.
www.wsj.com
